Cosmos_Zone

“Only those who will risk going too far can possibly find out how far one can go.” | T.S. Eliot

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

ThE fOur YeAr cyCle iS dEAd

https://t.co/GMiUq4kFWH

If you've enjoyed this Bitcoin Journey over the past 8 years, appreciate a Retweet and sharing on other forums. Thanks,.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Just about every crypto chart is in deep bear mode now. Still a decent amount of Denial from perma-bulls, which is natural at this stage.

It's just a process down, self fulfilling and takes time, so stay patient. Like to focus on preparing for a bottom vs focusing on finding short term opportunities. Should expect one really solid counter-trend move between now and the eventual bottom.

I suspect the bottom comes with equities pushing down hard at some point in 2026 and likely well before the mid-terms.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

The next installment of the Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle is out.

"It's Not Different This Time" https://t.co/b36nDIhm4k

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

That was an epic two year run for gold. But the juice has been squeezed. On to the next.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Bitcoin 4 Yr Cycle update.

On month 38 of 48(avg). Closing 3rd month below the 10ma. About to close 4 red months in a row, not seen since 2018. Looking like the recent move to $98k was the counter-trend move. Clear divergence from all other assets.

I hate being bearish any asset, especially bitcoin. I rarely short markets or believe any decent asset class stays down for long. I always want to be a bull in general. But this "currently" is a perfect 4yr cycle and mirrors all priors. Remember you can be very bullish on the fundamentals, but also realize that everything is cyclical and respecting there is a time and place.

Ofc, markets can change in a heartbeat, every strategy is breakable, and it's our job not to get hung up on any narrative or bias. In that regard, on the positive, Bitcoin's declining phase is likely accelerated now, as sentiment has been repeatedly killed. Cycle declines are ALL about sentiment clearing events, and on that front we could be looking at an earlier (month 44?) low as a result.

But many of the bulls on X are just selling services, funds/DAT's, clout, etc, choosing personal gain/bias over reality and price action. Shifting narratives to keep the hope alive. They're human after-all.

I think that if this consistent historical structure were to change, then we would see a close back over the 10ma and i would want to quickly start to shift focus to the bull side. If such a change is structure were to happen, then I believe it would be signaling something massive afoot. I'll never say it can't happen here, I have strong convictions that I want to constantly challenge. I also think you're not giving up (besides some upside) being defensive and risk adverse here, even if this reverses and goes on to new highs.

Lastly, I also think most investors are still better off socking bitcoin away and ignoring all the volatility. And just use long drawdown period to aggressively accumulate.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

The Peak - Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle Video

"The Top is Likely In".

Appreciate any shares on other platforms and a RETWEET.
https://t.co/eh05ngFhbw

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

The problem with being a bulltard or a permabear is you can’t escape the identity.
And the market doesn’t even have to beat them, ego will.

Realize that these accounts have sold out for likes/followers.

[Matthew Hyland @MatthewHyland_]

Will there be an alt-season?

[Cosmos_Zone @Z1Cosmos]

@lourenco_vs 👆Simple reason portfolios round tripped chasing 10x. Hoping for miracle🤷🏼
Post Mar 2024 also coins pumped. Summer 2025 selloff? Memes crushed it

Biz model folks? Most are clueless on markets just post tricks. Learn equity finance not crypto gambling
A gambler can't teach basics

[WIZZ🥷 ( beware scammers ) @CryptoWizardd]

If you could time travel back to the beginning of your cryptocurrency journey, what would you do differently to make the most of that opportunity?

[Cosmos_Zone @Z1Cosmos]

@CryptoWizardd I would never rely on investment advice found on CT

Always use common sense, regardless of how promising it sounds or how trustworthy the person giving it seems

You can gain this knowledge of investing through exp, Ind. research, or by taking a course from an equity analyst 💥

[Jacob Canfield @JacobCanfield]

Predictions are useless

Execution is everything

Don’t follow predictionists that declared, “I called it.” with no skin in the game.

It’s easy to slap an arrow on a chart and wait for price to get reached to hindsight tweet.

Follow people that have gotten rich and kept it through multiple market cycles.

That’s a much harder skill to master.

[Cosmos_Zone @Z1Cosmos]

@CryptoWizardd Last year it was ZEN over TRB and this year it’s again ZEN over ZEC.
The trend is clear so far, but no one can say for sure what will happen next.

[Cosmos_Zone @Z1Cosmos]

@Nebraskangooner In early 2018, bear market, there was excitement about LTC and ZEC. People invested into these two coins driven by bullish expectations of them reaching $1400
Twitter was filled with narratives predicting gains for both assets.

What if the prediction comes true this time?

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Are Your Ready? https://t.co/0I2iMKExya

Latest Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle Video.

Appreciate a retweet and share on other platforms.

All the best.

[Lourenço VS @lourenco_vs]

So this is what we have:

- Some say BTC has topped
- Some say BTC will top at 130k
- Some say BTC up to 200k
- Some say no Altseason
- Some say half Alt season
- Some say just a few Alts will run a bit
- Some say cycle will top in 1 month time
- Some say cycle peaks by year end
- Some say cycle extends into 26

Good, I really like this, I hate when we have consensus in the markets.

[Cosmos_Zone @Z1Cosmos]

@Nebraskangooner 2017 bull run delivered multiples because of untapped adoption and zero institutional brakes.

2020/2021 had a DeFi bull summer, similar to 2017

This cycle coins pumped separately, similar to 2021

Focusing only on one project while neglecting other’s is a recipe for failure

[Jacob Canfield @JacobCanfield]

If we’ve learned anything, it’s that the collective IQ of the internet is a lot lower than we possibly could have imagined and 99% of opinions should be disregarded and ignored.

[Cosmos_Zone @Z1Cosmos]

The traditional Bitcoin cycle may be ending, with more moderate corrections replacing deeper crashes as seen in established stocks.
A minor Bitcoin dip can still cause severe losses of 90% or more for altcoins.
This highlights the need for careful research and risk management.

[Dan Gambardello @dangambardello]

If you can manage to zoom out and also escape crypto tribalism this cycle, you will be the minority…and you will win.