Nobody is ready for a scenario like this
But if Wyckoff were alive today, he'd be accumulating $BTC here
That could happen under certain conditions:
- The FED stops raising interest rates
- No new wars or geopolitical conflicts
- No major negative political news
- Strong institutional and corporate demand
- On-chain accumulation by whales and long-term holders
- Favorable cycle positioning
- Market cleansing and capitulation
- Declining exchange reserves
Only under these conditions would accumulation at this stage become possible
Most people will only notice the setup after the move starts
Bookmark this. The next phase is gonna be very important
$SOL
Solana is slowly entering the area where I'm starting to pay attention for the next cycle.
Last bear market, SOL topped around $260 and eventually bottomed near $8.
Most people quote the full 97% drawdown, but that number was heavily distorted by the FTX collapse and subsequent estate liquidations.
Before that event, SOL had already lost roughly 90% of its value.
That's the ballpark I think is more relevant.
This cycle, SOL topped around $295, and at current prices, it's already down roughly 77%.
If you apply the same drawdown compression we've seen across BTC and ETH over multiple bear markets, then an 80-85% correction feels like a reasonable baseline.
That would put SOL somewhere in the $45-60 region.
Coincidentally, that's also where the lower acceptance cloud likely sits for the cycle bottom based on predictive maths.
That's the area I care most about.
Historically, every meaningful accumulation opportunity in SOL has come from that region and below.
Last cycle, price first touched the lower cloude line around $17 before the FTX liquidation event forced a temporary overshoot to $8.
And the reality is that nobody spent the next cycle regretting purchases made at $17.
The question this time is whether that support holds without a forced seller distorting the chart.
If it doesn't hold, then I think the weekly support just above $50 becomes the obvious golden opportunity to buy.
That's where my interest starts increasing significantly, and not because I think SOL can't go lower.
But because the risk-reward starts becoming difficult to ignore.
Personally, I'm not interested in chasing it here at $68.
Give me the lower cloud. Give me a flush below $60.
Then let the market build a base.
That's where I'd start executing accumulation for the next cycle.
$BTC
Video elaboration on BTC's macro bearmarket bottoming formation.
In this video I don't tell you what I want to happen for BTC, I tell and teach what NEEDS to happen in order for price to deliver macro bullish reversals.
I advice you guys to watch the entire video, take notes and be on the correct side of the market from a HTF expectational orderflow perspective.
Later I will write an in-depth post with different phases and potential playbooks within, but first I wanted to share my thoughts via video so every single one of you will understand the post better later on.
Wyckoff M1 Accumulation.
This is how smart money loads before markup.
Entries:
Spring / Test → safest entry. Market structure flips, confirms demand.
Bojan low in Spring → aggressive entry, highest R/R if confirmed.
LPS (Last Point of Support) → possible re-entry, but riskier.
Inside the range:
Always watch the return-to-zone. Initial Range High fresh is a must.
The sequence:
PS → SC → AR → ST → Spring/Test → SOS → LPS → BU → Markup.
Rule: The edge is in the manipulation phase, not when the trend is already obvious.
Another important date in June is the 27th.
On that day, transiting Mars will activate the 17th Feb Solar Eclipse, with Saturn across the dial.
Mars/Saturn are the 2 malefic planets which could reignite/increase global geopolitical tensions.
Also, Sepharial taught that this transit can time major seismic events.
orb 2-3 days before and after.
#eclipses #earthquakes #mars #saturn
Keep Watch
OM
Kristjan Qullamaggie ran his trading account up from roughly $7,000 to a peak of over $100m
His trading stats were something like the following.
Win Rate~30% (He loses 7 out of 10 trades)
Risk Per Trade (1R) = 0.25% to 1% of total account (1.5% when under $1m account size).
2R to 3R on initial partial sells; 5R to 20R+ on trailing "home runs".
Making approximately 10% per month on average.
This allowed him to turn a small trading account into $100m in a decade.
This should be the goal of any trader, and it puts you among the elites.