I test NQ edges on 7 years of data and post what actually holds β including what doesn't.
14 tested Nasdaq stats every daytrader should know ππ
SMT Divergence β the ICT classic.
Tested on 7yrs of NQ: +7β12pp reversal tilt. Turns out it holds up.
A genuine tilt β but even with SMT price continues >half the time. Confluence, not gospel.
"Fade the open β it's a Judas swing." Is it? Tested on NQ π§
1,794 sessions (2019-2026): the first 15-min move is a fake that reverses the day only 37% of the time.
So the opening move CONTINUES ~63%. The Judas is the exception, not the rule β fading the open blind fights the odds. π
π NQ brief β Friday Oct 02
Last 31,120, gap π’ +1.1%. high-impact news today β let the reaction clear first.
Open draws β above: ON High 31,147 | below: PDH 30,884 Β· Weekly Open 30,844 Β· ON Low 30,760
Range: ~268pt daily avg (5d), overnight's used ~144% β range mostly spent overnight β expansion less likely
Fridays: 57% close green (lean green), avg range. The NY first hour (9:30β10:30 ET) sets the day's high or low ~78%.
Levels first, then the reaction. π