Conference Championship Preview and a Player Prop Best Bet we absolutely love.
Check out our article on why Elijah Mitchell OVER 17.5 rushes is the bet of the day.
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Best Bet: GB -5.5
🏈 Since Week 2, GB is 13-1 in gms Aaron Rodgers starts and finishes
🏈 GB is well rested and healthy (2 bye weeks in last 7 + rested starters in 2H of Week 18)
🏈 SF is banged up and tired, facing its 3rd straight must-win game as road underdogs
Article below:
Thanks in large part to our season win totals and season-long player props (combined 13-3-1), we absolutely crushed the 2021 regular season (42-27-1 overall). Find out who we like as we head into the playoffs.
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Week 18 player prop: Tyler Huntley OVER 209.5 passing yards. He’s gone over in 3 of 4 starts, with 32+ pass attempts in each game. BAL is due for a bounce back performance and all of their TE/WRs are healthy.
Our Week 18 Best Bet is on Seattle +6 in Arizona. A few nuggets:
- AZ is 2-5 ATS on the road (-7.9 ppg margin) and 8-1 at home (+10.5 ppg margin)
- Russell Wilson is 6-1-1 in his last 8 games in AZ, and hasn’t lost in regulation
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Week 17 prop: D Samuel OVER 44.5 rec yds. In his 1.5 gms, Lance has not shown the ability to work through progressions. Luckily for Deebo, Lance was almost exclusively locked onto him (Deebo had 9 targets in each gm). If he even gets 5-6 tgts, he should be able to eclipse this #
3) Evans OVER 61.5 rec yd. Godwin had his huge gm last week, and Gronk has been the guy last 2 weeks. Brady likes to spread the wealth, so this could be an Evans game. He’s gone over this # in 8 of his 12 gms this yr as well, and it’s a great spot for TB v BUF off a MNF snow fest
Week 14 Player Props:
1) Ekeler OVER 44.5 receiving yards. He’s gone over that number in 9 of 13 games this season and with Keenan out, he’ll become Herbert’s #1 security blanket today.
Kittle UNDER 66.5 rec yds. We’re selling high after Kittle’s huge gm last week. The 49ers gameplan often dictates whether Kittle booms or busts, and w/ Deebo likely back, it’s tough to see Kittle going over this number > 50% of the time (only been over 66 in 4 of 9 games this yr)
3) J Landry UNDER 44.5 rec yds. Landry has eclipsed 37 receiving yds in only one of his five games since returning from injury, and Baker Mayfield is playing hurt, limiting Landry’s ceiling. Odds are, Landry doesn’t break his recent trend today
Week 12 Player Props:
1) M Gordon UNDER 50.5 rush yds. Apart from 2 very positive gamescript gms (NYJ and DAL), he hasn’t gotten > 13 carries all yr. Also under this number in 6 of last 9 and max was 56 apart from the NYJ and DAL gms. Post bye, J Williams could get more work too
2) K Golladay UNDER 51.5 rec yds. We’ll believe it when we see it. Kenny G has a total of 3 receptions for 40 yards…in his last 3 games. He’s been a huge disappointment and 51.5 is a lofty number for a receiver who has yet to prove it in a Giants uniform
Week 10 Player Prop: Trevor Siemian UNDER 207.5 passing yards. Reports said that the Saints planned to use T. Hill more last week, suggesting that Hill should take a larger % of snaps under center this week. Without Kamara, we expect the Saints to play low variance w/ Ingram/Hill