$MU $LRCX $STX
Good time to take on some risk in the leaders of the tech cycle.
Price has stabilized off the thematic-wide sell-off, and weakness in the $SOXX this week has given an opportunity for entries at the lower end of what seems to be a basing/reversal area, setting up a potential rally back to ATHs.
All share similar price action, with higher highs and cupping bases around key 6 month support levels.
Structure remains intact until proven otherwise, and with a clear visual of the setup, RR is attractive with clean stops in the case of a failed reversal.
$MU $LRCX $STX
Good time to take on some risk in the leaders of the tech cycle.
Price has stabilized off the thematic-wide sell-off, and weakness in the $SOXX this week has given an opportunity for entries at the lower end of what seems to be a basing/reversal area, setting up a potential rally back to ATHs.
All share similar price action, with higher highs and cupping bases around key 6 month support levels.
Structure remains intact until proven otherwise, and with a clear visual of the setup, RR is attractive with clean stops in the case of a failed reversal.
$MU $LRCX $STX
Good time to take on some risk in the leaders of the tech cycle.
Price has stabilized off the thematic-wide sell-off, and weakness in the $SOXX this week has given an opportunity for entries at the lower end of what seems to be a basing/reversal area, setting up a potential rally back to ATHs.
All share similar price action, with higher highs and cupping bases around key 6 month support levels.
Structure remains intact until proven otherwise, and with a clear visual of the setup, RR is attractive with clean stops in the case of a failed reversal.
$MU $LRCX $STX
Good time to take on some risk in the leaders of the tech cycle.
Price has stabilized off the thematic-wide sell-off, and weakness in the $SOXX this week has given an opportunity for entries at the lower end of what seems to be a basing/reversal area, setting up a potential rally back to ATHs.
All share similar price action, with higher highs and cupping bases around key 6 month support levels.
Structure remains intact until proven otherwise, and with a clear visual of the setup, RR is attractive with clean stops in the case of a failed reversal.
$QQQ flagging after a strong bounce post momentum crash. Price holding the 50 day ma, potentially setting the base for the next leg up to all time highs, or what could be a ride back down to the 200 at ~$660.
Given the bull case, I think there is good RR in select large-cap tech names like $GOOG and $TSM.
Both remain in long term trend, and now in buying zones. Great tech exposure for the portfolio that doesn’t come at a beta of 5.
Looking for $TSM to base and make a leg up, which would be consistent with the 4hr 50 and 100 ma crossover while remaining above the 200. This setup has been very profitable and caught bottoms throughout its run.
Looking for $GOOG to hold the line at $340. Recent pivot high can be viewed as a break of short term trend structure, and a bounce here would remain consistent with the long term uptrend.
$QQQ $GOOG $TSM
$MU $LRCX $STX
Good time to take on some risk in the leaders of the tech cycle.
Price has stabilized off the thematic-wide sell-off, and weakness in the $SOXX this week has given an opportunity for entries at the lower end of what seems to be a basing/reversal area, setting up a potential rally back to ATHs.
All share similar price action, with higher highs and cupping bases around key 6 month support levels.
Structure remains intact until proven otherwise, and with a clear visual of the setup, RR is attractive with clean stops in the case of a failed reversal.
$MU $LRCX $STX
Good time to take on some risk in the leaders of the tech cycle.
Price has stabilized off the thematic-wide sell-off, and weakness in the $SOXX this week has given an opportunity for entries at the lower end of what seems to be a basing/reversal area, setting up a potential rally back to ATHs.
All share similar price action, with higher highs and cupping bases around key 6 month support levels.
Structure remains intact until proven otherwise, and with a clear visual of the setup, RR is attractive with clean stops in the case of a failed reversal.
$QQQ flagging after a strong bounce post momentum crash. Price holding the 50 day ma, potentially setting the base for the next leg up to all time highs, or what could be a ride back down to the 200 at ~$660.
Given the bull case, I think there is good RR in select large-cap tech names like $GOOG and $TSM.
Both remain in long term trend, and now in buying zones. Great tech exposure for the portfolio that doesn’t come at a beta of 5.
Looking for $TSM to base and make a leg up, which would be consistent with the 4hr 50 and 100 ma crossover while remaining above the 200. This setup has been very profitable and caught bottoms throughout its run.
Looking for $GOOG to hold the line at $340. Recent pivot high can be viewed as a break of short term trend structure, and a bounce here would remain consistent with the long term uptrend.
$QQQ $GOOG $TSM
$QQQ flagging after a strong bounce post momentum crash. Price holding the 50 day ma, potentially setting the base for the next leg up to all time highs, or what could be a ride back down to the 200 at ~$660.
Given the bull case, I think there is good RR in select large-cap tech names like $GOOG and $TSM.
Both remain in long term trend, and now in buying zones. Great tech exposure for the portfolio that doesn’t come at a beta of 5.
Looking for $TSM to base and make a leg up, which would be consistent with the 4hr 50 and 100 ma crossover while remaining above the 200. This setup has been very profitable and caught bottoms throughout its run.
Looking for $GOOG to hold the line at $340. Recent pivot high can be viewed as a break of short term trend structure, and a bounce here would remain consistent with the long term uptrend.
$QQQ $GOOG $TSM
$MU $LRCX $STX
Good time to take on some risk in the leaders of the tech cycle.
Price has stabilized off the thematic-wide sell-off, and weakness in the $SOXX this week has given an opportunity for entries at the lower end of what seems to be a basing/reversal area, setting up a potential rally back to ATHs.
All share similar price action, with higher highs and cupping bases around key 6 month support levels.
Structure remains intact until proven otherwise, and with a clear visual of the setup, RR is attractive with clean stops in the case of a failed reversal.
$MU $LRCX $STX
Good time to take on some risk in the leaders of the tech cycle.
Price has stabilized off the thematic-wide sell-off, and weakness in the $SOXX this week has given an opportunity for entries at the lower end of what seems to be a basing/reversal area, setting up a potential rally back to ATHs.
All share similar price action, with higher highs and cupping bases around key 6 month support levels.
Structure remains intact until proven otherwise, and with a clear visual of the setup, RR is attractive with clean stops in the case of a failed reversal.
$QQQ flagging after a strong bounce post momentum crash. Price holding the 50 day ma, potentially setting the base for the next leg up to all time highs, or what could be a ride back down to the 200 at ~$660.
Given the bull case, I think there is good RR in select large-cap tech names like $GOOG and $TSM.
Both remain in long term trend, and now in buying zones. Great tech exposure for the portfolio that doesn’t come at a beta of 5.
Looking for $TSM to base and make a leg up, which would be consistent with the 4hr 50 and 100 ma crossover while remaining above the 200. This setup has been very profitable and caught bottoms throughout its run.
Looking for $GOOG to hold the line at $340. Recent pivot high can be viewed as a break of short term trend structure, and a bounce here would remain consistent with the long term uptrend.
$QQQ $GOOG $TSM
$NOW $INTU $VEEV $CRM
There are some basic truths about markets that can be used to profit when applied selectively. Being greedy when others are fearful is one of them.
AI will inevitably put pressure on margins, software enterprises will fail, but high-quality names with real FCF and pricing power will persist.
The current SaaS meltdown is reminiscent of the 2025 broad market tariff sell-off. A headline event which brought down practically every name, only to become one of the best buying opportunities of the last century.
History shows that the best returns are often captured in periods of sector-wide pessimism, when quality businesses become marked down along the structurally weaker names. Stepping away from the headlines and analyzing businesses is how mass sell-offs turn into opportunity.
Fundamentally, these firms are trading at their lowest valuation of the past decade while maintaining strong YoY revenue and FCF growth.
Technically, RSI shows these firms to be extremely oversold, with a few printing their lowest RSI readings on record (weekly). Prices are also approaching major trendlines and key areas of support formed years ago.
Successful investing often means owning assets nobody wants and selling them once everyone does.
$NOW $INTU $VEEV $CRM
There are some basic truths about markets that can be used to profit when applied selectively. Being greedy when others are fearful is one of them.
AI will inevitably put pressure on margins, software enterprises will fail, but high-quality names with real FCF and pricing power will persist.
The current SaaS meltdown is reminiscent of the 2025 broad market tariff sell-off. A headline event which brought down practically every name, only to become one of the best buying opportunities of the last century.
History shows that the best returns are often captured in periods of sector-wide pessimism, when quality businesses become marked down along the structurally weaker names. Stepping away from the headlines and analyzing businesses is how mass sell-offs turn into opportunity.
Fundamentally, these firms are trading at their lowest valuation of the past decade while maintaining strong YoY revenue and FCF growth.
Technically, RSI shows these firms to be extremely oversold, with a few printing their lowest RSI readings on record (weekly). Prices are also approaching major trendlines and key areas of support formed years ago.
Successful investing often means owning assets nobody wants and selling them once everyone does.
$NOW $INTU $VEEV $CRM
There are some basic truths about markets that can be used to profit when applied selectively. Being greedy when others are fearful is one of them.
AI will inevitably put pressure on margins, software enterprises will fail, but high-quality names with real FCF and pricing power will persist.
The current SaaS meltdown is reminiscent of the 2025 broad market tariff sell-off. A headline event which brought down practically every name, only to become one of the best buying opportunities of the last century.
History shows that the best returns are often captured in periods of sector-wide pessimism, when quality businesses become marked down along the structurally weaker names. Stepping away from the headlines and analyzing businesses is how mass sell-offs turn into opportunity.
Fundamentally, these firms are trading at their lowest valuation of the past decade while maintaining strong YoY revenue and FCF growth.
Technically, RSI shows these firms to be extremely oversold, with a few printing their lowest RSI readings on record (weekly). Prices are also approaching major trendlines and key areas of support formed years ago.
Successful investing often means owning assets nobody wants and selling them once everyone does.
Pattern recognition is the ultimate $ maker.
$BABA structured break out following 2+ years of basing.
Looking for either:
-Break above the triangle, retrace and bounce
-Break below triangle to trend line below as support
Moving average crossover for confirmation.
Break above to 52-week high is ~40% upside.
Chinese equities tend to exhibit recurring price action patterns, and in waves. Companies/sectors like this are best to trade, and create strong alpha opportunities over buy and hold.
Over the past five months, I acted as Fund Manager for the Queen’s Wealth Management Committee, a student-managed investment fund at Queen’s University.
The fund was managed following a growth and outperformance objective, implemented through a swing-trade framework across multiple long/short equity strategies. Primarily 5–8 week positions in established large-cap equities coming into key support/resistance levels, structural reversal setups, or exhibiting strong relative strength and momentum. This was complemented by shorter-duration, 2–8 day trades in high-beta, growth, and speculative opportunities, selectively taking advantage of the thematic landscape in 2025.
The strategy achieved its stated objectives. Notable portfolio metrics include:
-Total Return: 14.88%
-Total Trades: 16
-Win Rate: 68.75%
-Avg (+/-): 8.73%
-Avg Trade Size as % of Portfolio: 10.96%
-Sharpe Ratio: 4.35
-Max Drawdown: -2.97%
-SPY Return: 7.05%
-Alpha vs. SPY: +7.83 pp
-Correlation vs. SPY: 0.20
-Beta vs. SPY: 0.16
A complete trade log since inception is included in the second image.
$IBM
Circled areas = Daily RSI < 30
Pivot/short-term low on every occurrence since 2020.
Price was higher 5 weeks later 9/9 times, averaging ~15% once bottoming.
Current RSI is at its lowest level since 2018.
However, have not entered yet and only looking for entry as a swing trade, medium/long-term drawdown potential still seems high and break of 200 DMA is not a great sign.
More support near the 100 week. Current price action is very reminiscent of 99’. Sharp retrace back to major support by the 100 week after a strong, several year rally (Refer to last image).
$ASML price action aligning exactly with thesis.
+20% currently✅
The break above $815 level confirms the clean reversal set-up, could call it an inverse head and shoulders.
By next week the 200D MA will have a clearly defined upward slope, leading the way for a ride up to $1030.
Elevated RSI suggest some chop before another leg up. I will be buying into any dips between $780 and $700.
ASML has been a laggard in the tech space, and may just be starting its period of out-performance. Asymmetric opportunity.
Buying good companies at good relative prices, what could go wrong✅