_Bob Loukas

Position Trader, Entrepreneur, Family Man, Fulfilled. Omnia mea mecum porto.

[_Bob Loukas @_BobLoukas1]

⚠️Scammer warning: I will never DM you.
My only official accounts are X and YouTube.
No Telegram. No other socials.
Where I publish analysis:
🎥Bitcoin Live - 3 videos/week on crypto & market analysis. LINK>https://t.co/GDt4x4rpGb
📊The Financial Tap - Weekly coverage on equities

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

If Bitcoin sees no counter-trend relief rally, and instead continues the downtrend to sub $50k (into March/April), the possibility this type of action induces an early 4 Year Cycle low is real.

Again just possibilities, but extreme price action can/does force premature ends to cycle. Those price levels, regardless of where we think the low forms from a time perspective, should be too good to pass up, accumulate.

Then what you see during the "expected timing - Q3" is a retrace and only partial test of the lows.

Stay flexible, multiple paths. Focus on accumulation opportunities now, not doomer posts.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

All eyes on stocks now. Week 14 and 3rd week under the 10wma. A loss of support here would indicate a Weekly Cycle in decline and likely an acceleration to the downside into late April or May.

Such an event (again IF) also suggest a top in the 4 Yr Cycle.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Everything happening in crypto right now is simply natural ebb and flow.

The more global, unregulated, and unconstrained an asset class is, the clearer its cycles generally are.

Yet people still try to project their biases onto it, believing their narrative can or should override the natural course of a market.

[Meltem Demirors @Melt_Dem]

https://t.co/mulNfkdgC3

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Four year decline for crude oil could be coming to an end now.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Some sanity from the supreme court.

Governing from a position of everything is a permanent emergency is an old authoritarian trick.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Don't put much weight to monthly gov numbers. But Growth well below expectations and inflation above, is not the trend we want in a relatively overvalued market.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

If you find these levels attractive for the long term, buy it and own it.

Be content, because that should be a decision that spans whatever happens in 2026.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

You cannot rush the transition from a bear market to a bull market. #bitcoin
In a bear market, hope destroys more portfolios than price ever could.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Tip on how to be a permabull or permabear for great engagement!

Post these charts every single week for as long a it takes, along with a cool sounding narrative.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Bitcoin price action remains horrendous. Very weak.

After the recent flush out, a natural, sharp counter trend bounce would be expected, but was not forthcoming.

Has to reclaim $72k to even consider a counter-trend move.

Just bear market things.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Yet another intra day/week breach of the last Cycle Low for SP500. More red flags.

If it loses that level the Daily Cycle fails, which could have broader implications for the 4yr cycle and the next 6 months.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Really happy to collect this wonderful piece by @JenPanepinto, along with 3 others works.

[Charles Curran @charliebcurran]

Seedance 2.0

Prompt: Sum up the AI discourse in a meme - make sure it’s retarded and gets 50 likes.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

One thing is clear. If or when we get a really gut wrenching correction in Tech/AI (say 30/60%), you better buy that hand over fist.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Not true on social media, but you can only “be wrong” when you don’t respect your strategy.

Once you do consistently, you can focus on the real alpha, improving it.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Week 12 for Stocks, in the middle of the Cycle.

Still leaning and positioned on the bull side as it holds the primary trend. As long as the Feb 5th lows hold no damage.

But not loving the repeated failed attempts to break higher through 7k. The longer it takes brings a rounded top possibility into play.

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

Bitcoin Live members, I’ve posted a new piece breaking down how to approach shifting market conditions through the lens of disciplined mental models.

Link >
https://t.co/ntUKLW8RVU

[Bob Loukas 🗽 @BobLoukas]

The slope is growing like a cancer. (sorry if there is a human in that group).