One of the biggest things I look for before taking a V-Shape setup is CONDITIONS.
A setup can look “perfect”, but if conditions are bad, probability drops massively.
Things I look for:
- Clean LTF FVGs
If price is constantly creating clean FVGs on lower timeframes, it usually means price is delivering efficiently instead of chopping sideways.
- Major liquidity getting swept
When price takes liquidity and either:
continues aggressively to the next objective
OR
sharply reverses
it’s a sign of strong price delivery.
- Small wicks / strong candle bodies
If candles are displacing with strong bodies and minimal wicks, it usually shows a cleaner direction.
A lot of traders only focus on the setup itself.
But conditions/context are often what determines whether a setup is high probability or not.
This is also one of the reasons I didn’t take a trade Friday.
Conditions simply didn’t feel optimal enough for a high probability trade.
V-Shape of the Week 📈
Wednesday, May 13th - 11:30 AM NY Time
+1.78RR
One of the cleanest setups this week.
15M rejection
3M V-Shape
Obvious bullish bias
Clear targets towards EQHs + Data Highs
Simple execution always wins 🤝
Macros repeat every hour, and I personally focus on the 20-40 and 50-10 windows for my trades.
ICT has mentioned the 50-10 macros, but the 20-40 is something unique to my strategy & been a part of my model for past 3 years.
My setups consistently repeat in these periods, especially because of high volatility as at 8:30, we often see a strong injection of liquidity that triggers my model on lower timeframes. Same thing happens around 9:30 with NY volatility kicking in and also at the end of every hour.
These windows repeat my setup & model consistently so thats why i refer it as macro.
Other folks can see their setup repeating at different macros though:)