Compound X capital

CA| Financial Industry|Trend following | VCP| Passionate learner|Fundamental research | Trading Psychology| mindfulness | Strength Training

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

My goal for 2030, trade with own capital of Rs 100 million . Beginning of 2026 I m at 5 million. Let’s go

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

Keep watching out for this one. This is yet to fully explode

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

1/ 🧵 Why I believe Skipper Limited could be one of the most interesting infra/manufacturing opportunities in the Indian market over the next few years.

Not investment advice. Just deep-dive thoughts after studying the business, sector tailwinds, financials & charts.

👇

2/ First — what does Skipper actually do?

Most people think it’s just a “transmission tower company.”

But the business is much broader:
• Power transmission towers
• EPC projects
• Telecom structures
• Railway infrastructure
• Polymer/PVC pipes

This diversification matters.

3/ The BIG thesis is simple:

India is entering a once-in-decades power infrastructure expansion cycle.

Why?
⚡ Renewable energy
⚡ Grid expansion
⚡ Manufacturing growth
⚡ Rising power demand
⚡ Green energy evacuation

All of this requires massive transmission infrastructure.

4/ You can build solar plants.

You can build wind farms.

But unless electricity is transmitted efficiently across states, none of that scale matters.

Transmission infra is the “hidden backbone” of India’s energy transition.

And Skipper operates right there.

5/ India’s transmission capex opportunity over next several years is enormous.

Government + private sector investments are accelerating in:
• High-voltage lines
• Inter-state transmission
• Renewable corridors
• Grid modernisation

This creates long-duration demand visibility.

6/ One thing I like in cyclical/infrastructure businesses:

➡️ Order book visibility

Strong order inflows provide future revenue visibility and operating leverage opportunities.

In infra companies, earnings can suddenly accelerate once:
• utilisation improves
• execution scales
• fixed costs get absorbed

7/ Why could operating leverage become powerful here?

Example:

If revenue grows 25–30%
but fixed costs grow much slower,
profits can grow MUCH faster than revenues.

That’s how many infra/manufacturing multibaggers are created.

8/ Another underrated point:

Skipper is not only an EPC player.

It is also a manufacturer.

That changes the economics.

Manufacturing businesses with:
• scale
• relationships
• execution capability
• approvals

can create stronger moats than plain contractors.

9/ The PVC pipes segment is also interesting.

India’s:
• housing growth
• plumbing demand
• agriculture irrigation
• rural infra

continue to expand structurally.

If this segment scales well, market may start valuing Skipper differently over time.

10/ What makes infra stocks dangerous?

❌ Too much debt
❌ Poor cash flow
❌ Weak execution
❌ Aggressive accounting

So balance sheet quality matters a LOT.

Skipper historically had working capital intensity concerns, but recent execution trends appear better than older infra names.

11/ The technical setup is another reason the stock is attracting attention.

The chart structure shows:
📈 Higher highs & higher lows
📈 Strong relative strength
📈 Institutional-style accumulation
📈 Momentum supported by earnings expectations

That combination matters.

12/ Markets usually reward companies where:
• earnings growth
• sector tailwinds
• technical strength

all align together.

Skipper currently checks many of those boxes.

13/ Why could rerating happen?

Because markets often move from:

“this is a cyclical infra stock”
➡️ to
“this is a structural growth manufacturing story”

That shift in perception can dramatically change valuation multiples.

14/ Risks? Plenty.

This is NOT a risk-free business.

Key risks:
⚠️ Raw material volatility
⚠️ Execution delays
⚠️ Working capital stress
⚠️ Government capex slowdown
⚠️ Margin pressure
⚠️ Order conversion delays

Need continuous monitoring.

15/ Biggest reason I find it compelling:

The opportunity size ahead may be MUCH larger than what current market cap implies.

When:
• sector tailwinds
• earnings acceleration
• narrative shift
• technical strength

come together…

small/mid caps can surprise massively.

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

This stock has done well over past month or so when it was called out on my account. Simple things work well in market if you size up well at right time

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

BHEL- another 2 year long wait and stock is looking for break out. There are many stocks which are looking like this, they should be tracked closely for building positions. Move can be really fast here

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

@SandeepMall Agreed. I went there in 2025 and before that was there in 2019, things have gone really bad in few years.

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

@DietDrsayajirao I eat eggs each day except Tuesday but thanks for quick revert

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

Today’s heatmap made with AI. Gives you quick glance of market

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

@AFitTrader Nike Free Metcon

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

@volklub Hahaha nice one bro. I m the other Virtus driver, koi yaad rakhe na rakhe , tu mujhe yaad rakhna

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

@AlphaMind101 Thanks Steven for sharing wisdom with us. Coincidentally, I started reading your book again “ mental game of trading” .
With every reading, there is different perspective one gets . One of my favourite ones to be honest

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

“Your trading psychology is being destroyed by one habit: system hopping.”

Most traders don’t lose because of a bad strategy.
They lose because of bad behaviour.

A thread on why discipline > indicators, and why jumping systems destroys psychology 🧵

1/
Trading is one of the few professions where doing more often makes results worse.

More trades.
More indicators.
More “new strategies.”

Yet consistency comes from doing less, but better.

2/
Most profitable traders are not geniuses.

They are simply boringly disciplined.

They:
• Follow rules
• Respect stop losses
• Size positions properly
• Accept losses calmly

No drama. No revenge.

3/
Your biggest competition in trading is not the market.

It is your own behaviour.

Fear makes you exit winners too early.
Greed makes you overstay.
Ego stops you from cutting losses.

The market exposes psychology every single day.

4/
Many traders confuse strategy failure with discipline failure.

After 3 losses:

“This system doesn’t work.”

So they jump to:
❌ New indicators
❌ New mentor
❌ New setup
❌ New timeframe

And repeat the cycle.

5/
Here’s the hard truth:

Even a good system will look broken in the short term.

Every profitable edge has:
• Losing streaks
• Drawdowns
• Frustrating periods

If you quit too early, you never experience the upside of probability.

6/
Jumping from one system to another damages psychology more than people realise.

Why?

Because your brain never builds trust.

You become:
“Always searching, never executing.”

That creates anxiety, hesitation, and self-doubt.

7/
Imagine digging for water.

You dig 10 feet. Stop.
Move elsewhere. Dig 10 feet. Stop.

Again and again.

You blame the ground.

Reality?
You never dug deep enough in one place.

Trading systems work similarly.

8/
The irony:

The trader changing systems every month often learns less than the trader using one average system for years.

Why?

Because mastery beats novelty.

Repetition builds intuition.

9/
Discipline in trading means:

✅ Taking setups even after losses
✅ Sitting out when there’s no edge
✅ Following position sizing
✅ Protecting capital
✅ Accepting uncertainty

Discipline is expensive in the short term.

But priceless long term.

10/
The market rewards consistency of behaviour, not intensity of emotion.

You don’t need to predict every move.

You need to:

Have an edge
Follow it repeatedly
Survive long enough

That’s it.

11/
A simple question every trader should ask:

“Am I changing systems because the edge is broken…

Or because my emotions are uncomfortable?”

That answer changes careers.

12/
Your system matters.

But your behaviour around the system matters more.

A mediocre system + strong discipline > brilliant system + weak psychology.

Trading is less about prediction.

More about self-control.

13/
The best traders aren’t always smarter.

They are often simply more emotionally stable and disciplined.

The edge is useless if behaviour destroys execution.

Master yourself first.

The market comes later.

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

Everyone's scared of Indian markets right now.

FIIs have pulled ₹1.92 lakh crore out in 2026.
Nifty is flat. Sentiment is broken.

But here's what the data quietly says:

Nifty PE is 20.45. The 10-year average is 23.43.
You are buying India's best 50 companies below fair value.
This is not a crisis. This is a clearance sale.

GDP is growing at 6.9%. Inflation is near 4%.
RBI has cut rates 125 bps. US-India tariffs dropped from 25% to 18%.
S&P upgraded India's sovereign rating for the first time in 18 years.

The economy didn't break. The sentiment did.
Those are very different things.

And while FIIs exit, Indian SIP investors put in ₹29,000 crore every single month without blinking.
For the first time ever, domestic ownership of Indian equities has overtaken foreign ownership.
India's market is no longer controlled by foreigners.
That is a permanent structural shift.

Nomura sees Nifty at 29,300 by end of 2026.
HSBC is bullish. JP Morgan is bullish.
They're publishing buy targets while retail sits on cash.

The biggest risk in investing isn't losing money.
It's watching the next rally from the sidelines.

The market never rings a bell at the bottom.
But right now — it's leaving clues everywhere.

#Nifty #SIP #Investing #India

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

If you are struggling financially or you need some guidance in managing your finances, do reach out. I have decent experience in managing this personally and helping out friends with guidance which has benefited them. Happy to share whatever I have learned from experience plus education

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

I need one @ganeshsonawane . I have been using frido slippers, shoes and other stuff in home and car. Would surely recommend your products with honesty

[Ganesh Sonawane @ganeshsonawane]

Long time no giveaway! So here we go.

We’re planning to gift Frido Wallet to 5 people(3 above 1000 followers and 2 below 1000) who will have to post a fair and honest review clearly mentioning as a paid partnership.

Comment below if interested 👇

We will give a preference to those who comment and retweet. Let’s go 🚀🚀

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

BHEL has crossed 2007 level today. This is breaking out after almost 20 years. Imagine potential of this stock now

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

This chart is showing how it is done. As mentioned, focus on value stocks which are breaking 2 year or more cycles

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

It all depends on your priority bro. I would prefer buying bmw/merc any day. Also, driver can be kept for luxury car as well, just prefer going for skilled driver who has experience in managing luxury vehicle. Any german car is way better than Fortuner if you go in other direction

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

Almost 25 percent up from the time it was shared. That’s the power of fundamental and technical research done right

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

This chart is showing how it is done. As mentioned, focus on value stocks which are breaking 2 year or more cycles

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

Jinxed myself. Down with cold n flu

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

1 month of continuous gym sessions and body starts feeling more energy.
We just need to take care of our body and it will return back with multi folds benefits

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

1 month of continuous gym sessions and body starts feeling more energy.
We just need to take care of our body and it will return back with multi folds benefits

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

This chart is showing how it is done. As mentioned, focus on value stocks which are breaking 2 year or more cycles

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

Bhel is breaking on weekly time frame after almost 2 years. This is no ordinary movement, something big on cards, do keep a watch out

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

@AmazonHelp Thank you , matter got resolved. Appreciate your support

[Compound X capital @_Conservative18]

@amazonIN
We have been trying to reach out and raise complaint regarding one order which has been mentioned as delivered on app (28th April) . However, it has not been delivered and we are unable to get this matter resolved. In the world of AI, such simple things are so difficult to raise and get them resolved. Please reach out to me soon