Bitcoin is running out of time for another monthly push as BTC closes lower, breaks RSI support, and approaches a key short-term decision point. The update compares Bitcoin’s weakening on-balance-volume picture with Ethereum’s resistance and RSI structure, while keeping the broad
ALT Fat Finger Fishing: an Account Building setup for short oversold bounces — buy the lower wick and sell quickly into the bounce. Not buy-and-hold.
Results vary. Not financial advice.
A 20% drawdown can reset RSI quickly. I am keeping structure and risk discipline ahead of an overbought reading.
Market analysis/opinion only, not financial advice.
Bitcoin and Ethereum are nearing major inflection points after BTC’s pullback inside the daily TBO cloud and Ethereum’s break below support. BTC remains in bullish consolidation for now, but the fast line is the immediate downside reference and a deeper reset would change the short-term picture.
Bitcoin dominance, stablecoin dominance, ETH dominance, and the OTHERS/BTC chart frame the rotation risk across crypto. The update covers the current BTC and ETH structure, altcoin momentum and weakness, and why caution matters as the broader market approaches a potential topping zone.
DXY, EURUSD, USDJPY, S&P Futures, VIX, oil, gold, silver, Tesla, SpaceX, and KOSPI set the TradFi backdrop before the crypto and equity watchlists. The close returns to risk management, defensive positioning, and using time and price levels rather than chasing headlines.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 Bitcoin Pullback, TBO Cloud and Fast Line
04:58 Ethereum Support Break and Downside Risk
10:01 Bitcoin Dominance and Stablecoin Rotation
15:00 OTHERS/BTC, Altcoin Momentum and RSI Context
20:00 DXY, EURUSD, USDJPY and Risk Assets
25:00 Tesla, SpaceX and Equity Market Weakness
30:00 ETH Trade Review and Altcoin Watchlist
34:59 UNI, AAVE and Bearish Reversal Signals
39:58 Bitcoin Cash, FET and Community Crypto Picks
44:59 VANRY, ZAMA, AERO and Higher-Risk Setups
50:00 FLR, APT, VIRTUAL and Market Discipline
55:02 Oversold Charts and TBT Bearish Divergence
58:59 Bitcoin Risk Management and Closing Strategy
Solana on the four-hour chart is a reminder to define the entry and risk before a pullback forces the decision.
Market analysis/opinion only, not financial advice.
Ethereum can push toward $2,000, but I am keeping structure and risk ahead of a single move higher.
Market analysis/opinion only, not financial advice.
MATH Fat Finger Fishing: an Account Building setup for short oversold bounces — buy the lower wick and sell quickly into the bounce. Not buy-and-hold.
Results vary. Not financial advice.
1/ BTC failed at the final two resistance levels before $68k and confirmed a bearish RSI Reset
I expect another pullback toward the Fast line, although the 4H Breakouts are still valid
BTC is at a decision point after Tuesday’s push above resistance. A move through 67K would put the cloud near 70K in view, while the bearish RSI reset keeps the ascending-support area around 64,417 on the downside map. July seasonality and the valid four-hour breakouts leave room for another push, but this is not a market to chase blindly.
Ethereum has held up better than BTC, yet the chart is approaching resistance and signs of exhaustion are building. Stablecoin dominance confirmed an open short, Bitcoin dominance confirmed an open long, and the ETH, SOL, and OTHERS dominance charts add important context for how any next move could rotate through the market.
DXY, USDJPY, and S&P Futures set the macro backdrop: a DXY bearish-divergence setup could support risk assets, USDJPY remains stretched near a major historical pivot, and S&P Futures are still consolidating. The update also covers the day’s crypto and stock watchlist, from Ondo, ETHFI, SOL, and ENA to Nvidia, Coinbase, and Palantir.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 BTC: Breakout Target, RSI Reset and July Window
02:21 Ethereum and Crypto Dominance Signals
07:52 DXY, USDJPY, S&P Futures and TradFi Setup
12:28 KOSPI, Oil, Gold, Silver and Uranium
15:00 PAXG/BTC, TBO, Club, Phemex and AFX
19:32 Altcoin Watchlist: Ondo Through VVV
24:16 Bearish Altcoin Setups: Hype, PUMP, JUP and More
28:41 Community Crypto Picks: AVAX, AAVE, ICP and More
33:08 Community Stock Picks: NBIS Through INTU
44:03 Closing Strategy and Sunday Video
1/ BTC had a momentous Tuesday close above $66,445 and a 4H TBO Breakout Cluster
I still think it can push higher after a possible tag of the 4H Fast line, but RSI is overbought — I am not treating this as a buy-the-dip opportunity
ACE Fat Finger Fishing: an Account Building setup for short oversold bounces — buy the lower wick and sell quickly into the bounce. Not buy-and-hold.
Results vary. Not financial advice.
BTC is pressing into an overbought zone after Tuesday’s move, with daily RSI at 72.32 and the first exit signal now flashing. I’m watching the 69,000–70,000 area and the weekly fast line near 70,188, while keeping August seasonality firmly in view.
Ethereum also closed above TBO resistance with RSI overbought, while stablecoin dominance, Bitcoin dominance and the total-crypto charts are all signaling that this late-July push may be getting stretched. The video walks through the levels and signals I’m watching across BTC, ETH and market breadth.
Outside crypto, I cover DXY, EURUSD, USDJPY, global indices, precious metals and the full watchlist—from XMR and LINK to ADA, AMD, Amazon, SAP and Uber. This is market commentary for education, not financial advice.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 BTC Overbought Signal, Exit Alert & Upside Targets
03:49 Ethereum Overbought, TBO Resistance & 2K Area
06:00 Bitcoin Dominance, Altcoin Risk & Total Crypto RSI
08:57 DXY, EURUSD & USDJPY: TradFi Risk Check
11:44 S&P Futures, Tesla & Global Equity Markets
14:02 Gold, Silver, Platinum & Uranium Setups
19:37 Crypto Picks: XMR, ENA, XDC, LINK & HBAR
22:01 Litecoin, DEXE, Uniswap & Pi Watchlist
24:10 Your Crypto Picks: ADA, NEAR, BCH, FET & STRK
28:38 AMC, AMD, Amazon, Marvell & Large-Cap Stocks
31:05 Xiaomi, ServiceNow, SAP & Netflix
33:44 Uber, Bitcoin Downside Scenario & Closing Thoughts