BTC Monthly Chart – Cycles aren’t random (for BTC holders only)
Current price: ~$70.8K
Last ATH: ~$126K (Oct 2025)
📉 Historical drawdowns:
2018: -85%
2022: -77%
This cycle (projected): ~-72% (expected ~20-35k)
This isn’t random
Bitcoin moves in cycles driven by halving:
Supply shock → Euphoria → Deep correction → Accumulation → Repeat
Most people who say “this time is different”
have never survived a real bear market.
👉 The real edge:
Survive the drawdown
Keep cash to buy fear
----Not financial advice----
#BTC #LongTermTA
Price rejected the downtrend → sharp drop this morning.
Plan unchanged:
Wait for a retest of demand at the lows, then look for reversal to long.
Short-term: possible scalp short on trend retest → 4.1K–4.3K.
Gold setting up 👀
Weekly tapped key zone → strong close = buyers stepping in.
But structure still bearish → expecting one more dip before the real move.
HTF still bearish → stay flexible.
But if trend breaks → plan changes.
Gold setting up 👀
Weekly tapped key zone → strong close = buyers stepping in.
But structure still bearish → expecting one more dip before the real move.
HTF still bearish → stay flexible.
But if trend breaks → plan changes.
GOLD did exactly what we expected , bounce from key zone ✅
Now it’s all about retesting and confirmation around ~4K
No FOMO, no rushing
Patience pays
----Not financial advice----
Trendline test → reaction confirmed
Breakout odds have weakened.
Expect consolidation here before another move down.
Still bullish on BTCXAU mid-long term,
but short term? Stay cautious
----Not financial advice----
BTC may have just bottomed vs Gold
Currently reclaiming a key level that acted as support/resistance multiple times
Flip this → and the outperformance phase begins 📈
----Not financial advice----
BTC on HTF still looks heavy
No signs of exhaustion
No real momentum shift
Until that changes…
$60K and below is still in play 📉
👉Follow for more updates
----Not financial advice----
In my view, BTC still has room to push likely targeting the 75K and above zone to sweep large leveraged positions sitting above.
🔍 From the chart:
Clear liquidity clusters stacked above current price
Recent bounce looks like a move to hunt liquidity, not a confirmed reversal
Market still lacks strong participation → thin liquidity environment
⚠️ Bigger picture:
Trend remains bearish. This upside move (if it happens) is more likely a liquidity grab than a true breakout.
----Not financial advice----