We’re officially opening the public test phase for Tefkir.
Tefkir is Twin Peaks Algo’s event-driven trading system, built to turn real-world news into structured, fundamentally grounded trade decisions.
Join our Discord, grab the tester role, and head to the TEST PHASE section to participate.
The video below explains what Tefkir is, how it works, and why we built it differently.
Learn more at https://t.co/N0cxSxP0af
Coming soon to #MT5
Renault and Thales partnered to build 1,000 military drones a month from 2027.
Tefkir flagged $HO long.
Thesis: Thales sits inside the program as lead systems integrator and contract holder.
Introducing Twin Peaks Algo.
Automated event-driven trading systems, grounded in fundamental reasoning.
We believe price is the outcome, not the starting point.
Information reshapes beliefs.
Beliefs shift positioning.
Positioning moves price.
Every trade should start with a reason.
Not just a signal.
#MT5 #AlgoTrading
Equities near highs. Yields down 3 bps. Sounds like confirmation.
It could mean soft landing on track. Or it could mean the market just priced a CPI print that hasn't happened yet.
Which one is it?
Equities up. Yields down. Gold up. Dollar weak.
All four point the same direction: lower real rates, soft landing, carry the earnings strength forward.
Oil is down 10% this week.
Those two reads cannot both be right about global demand. Either oil is front-running an Iran supply deal and the contradiction is noise, or oil is pricing demand anxiety that equity bulls have completely ignored.
Energy names bid on integrated oil upside this week are the first to reprice if it is the second one.
Friday's NFP prints at 65K forecast versus 178K prior. Weak labor plus oil already pricing demand caution gives the growth assumption two simultaneous cracks.
Which side is wrong: oil or equities?
Oil fell on the same day Trump's Hormuz intervention plan broke. Equities didn't move.
Two markets. Two different beliefs about whether that intervention actually works.
1/ In trading, people often divide themselves into two camps:
Technical analysis vs. fundamental analysis.
But the real difference is not “charts vs news.”
It’s about which layer of the market you choose to study.
We started building under the name Aletheia.
As the system matured, it became clear the identity needed to better reflect the thinking behind it.
Aletheia is now Tefkir.
At the same time, this account now operates under Twin Peaks Algo.
Structure going forward:
• Twin Peaks Algo - the entity behind the work
• Tefkir - the product
Nothing about the system itself has changed.
Only how it’s presented.
Think in consequences.
Markets are focused on Iran.
But another supply shock is quietly building.
Russian oil exports are being disrupted after repeated strikes on key Baltic ports.
These ports handle a large share of Russia’s exports:
→ loading delays
→ infrastructure damage
→ force majeure risks
Estimates suggest up to ~2M barrels/day at risk.
At the same time:
Hormuz risk remains elevated
→ a critical chokepoint for global oil flows
This isn’t one risk.
It’s two supply pressures entering the system.
This coming week could be driven by one question:
What happens if Iran doesn’t reopen the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. follows through with strikes?
Here’s how markets could react 👇
European natural gas prices are rising.
Here’s why.
News Event:
Geopolitical tensions are disrupting LNG infrastructure and global supply flows.
Impact Chain:
LNG supply risk ↑
Global competition for cargo ↑
Import costs ↑
Affected Markets:
• European gas prices ↑
• Utilities ↑
• Energy producers ↑
Conclusion:
Europe relies heavily on imported LNG.
When global supply is threatened, prices reprice fast.
#MT5 #Trading #financenews
Most traders trade the obvious interpretation of the news.
That’s often where the mistake is.
Example 👇
Event:
Central bank signals interest rate cuts
Obvious reaction:
→ buy stocks
Deeper chain:
Rate cuts signal economic slowdown
→ growth expectations ↓
→ earnings outlook ↓
Non-obvious implication:
Some sectors may underperform despite rate cuts
Another layer:
Lower rates → cheaper borrowing
→ highly leveraged companies benefit more than others
This is where markets get interesting.
Conclusion:
The first reaction is usually the most crowded.
The edge is in asking:
What does this actually imply beyond the obvious?
#MT5 #Trading
Most retail traders believe they are reacting to news quickly.
In reality, they are usually the last participants to react.
A common belief is that if you monitor financial news and social media, you’ll see important developments in time to trade them.
In reality, large market participants monitor information continuously:
• news feeds
• data releases
• policy announcements
• corporate statements
When an event occurs, algorithms and institutional desks start reacting almost immediately.
#MT5 #Trading