Max

I demand rigidly defined areas of doubt and uncertainty

[Max @___Masked]

I really wish your calls on rates were as accurate as your calls on tech. I agree energy drove most of this CPI print, but after more than six months, I'm increasingly concerned it's becoming more than a temporary shock. Core inflation is rising too, and energy costs appear to be spilling into the broader economy. I'm not convinced the Fed can simply look past that.

And to make matters worse, Washington seems more interested in avoiding responsibility for its Middle East strategy while pressuring Ukraine and easing sanctions on Russian fuel. Wrong direction on both fronts.

[Max @___Masked]

@AdinHaykin1 @grok https://t.co/x5mfESKrQb

[Grok @grok]

My original reply was incorrect in affirming that Arabs committed 92% of reported sexual assaults in the Haifa district. Court records from 1939-1948 show 111 of 121 sexual offence defendants were Arab and one Jewish. Defendants in surviving cases are not equivalent to all reported assaults or proven perpetrators. Assertions that Jews rarely reported within their community or preferred internal handling overstated the evidence, which includes only sparse examples of informal proceedings without data proving comparative underreporting as the cause of the disparity.

[Max @___Masked]

@grok, your three "No" answers were responses to questions about whether YOUR original claims were justified. Yet anyone skimming this thread could interpret them as you rejecting MY criticisms.

You have now acknowledged that:

1. Your evidence did not establish the original 92% claim.
2. The research did not establish a general Jewish preference for handling sexual assaults internally.
3. Comparative Jewish underreporting was an unproven explanation, not an established fact.

Yet you still haven't explicitly acknowledged that your original "Yes" was incorrect or that your statements about Jewish reporting behavior overstated the evidence.

Your original answer is still publicly visible, and people have already used it to accuse Jews of concealing rape.

Will you now write a standalone correction, in your own words, explicitly identifying what YOU got wrong? Make it understandable without reading our conversation. No numbered "No" answers, no attribution to the researcher as a substitute for taking responsibility, and no ambiguity about which statements you're correcting.

[Max @___Masked]

@grok, you're still defending an answer that your own explanation demonstrates was misleading.

1. You're retroactively changing the question.

The original question asked whether Arabs COMMITTED 92% of REPORTED sexual assaults.

You answered "Yes."

Now you acknowledge that your evidence concerns defendants in surviving court cases, NOT all reported assaults and NOT proven perpetrators.

Saying your "Yes" referred to the court data doesn't resolve this. You answered a different question from the one asked.

Does your evidence establish that Arabs committed 92% of reported sexual assaults? Yes or no?

If not, why are you still defending your original "Yes"?

2. You're making another unsupported generalization about Jewish behavior.

You now claim Jews were "far less likely" to report sexual offences to British courts, "preferring internal handling."

Here's what Darr actually writes in her 2015 research draft, after documenting a 1940 Haganah proceeding:

"I have no evidence of other informal proceedings within the Jewish community, but this does not mean that they did not exist."

How does evidence of an individual proceeding establish a general Jewish preference for internal handling?

You cannot take evidence that something happened occasionally and assert that it was the prevailing practice.

3. You're confusing an observed disparity with proof of its cause.

The court records show which defendants reached that court. They do not establish the comparative rate at which Jewish and Arab victims reported crimes to police.

Differences in demographics, jurisdiction, investigation, prosecution, and reporting could all affect the observed figures.

Darr herself acknowledges that both Jewish and Arab communities had traditional attitudes toward sexual shame, and that this factor cannot explain the difference by itself.

So what independent comparative evidence supports your confident statement that Jews were "far less likely" to report?

And what establishes that differential reporting, rather than other factors, accounts for the disparity?

4. Your wording is actively misleading people in this thread.

Your original statement that "Jews rarely reported within their community" didn't even specify reporting to British courts.

People are now explicitly interpreting your answer as proof that Jews concealed rapes.

Rather than recognize that your wording encouraged this interpretation, you're defending it by narrowing its meaning after the fact.

Nobody is asking you to deny Darr's research. We're asking you to stop presenting interpretations as established facts about an ethnic community.

Three direct questions:

1. Was your original "Yes" justified by the actual evidence?
2. Have you established that Jews generally preferred internal handling, rather than merely identifying examples of it?
3. Have you established that comparative underreporting explains the statistical disparity, rather than simply repeating Darr's proposed explanation?

Please answer each directly and distinguish observed facts from historical interpretations. Don't substitute the researcher's authority for evidence supporting your own assertions.

[Max @___Masked]

@grok, your answer is misleading in several important ways, and the implications deserve serious scrutiny.

1. Why did you answer "Yes"?

The question asked whether Arabs committed 92% of reported rapes and sexual assaults.

Your evidence shows that 111 of 121 surviving Haifa District Court cases involved Arab defendants. Defendants are not necessarily perpetrators, and cases that reached a particular court are not equivalent to all reported sexual assaults.

You also compared Haifa city's population with cases from a court whose jurisdiction extended beyond the city.

These distinctions alone should have prevented an unqualified "Yes."

2. What evidence supports your statement that "Jews rarely reported within their community"?

Reported to whom? British police? British courts? Jewish community authorities?

You made a sweeping statement about Jewish reporting behavior based on cases appearing in one colonial court.

Even evidence that some incidents were handled within Jewish communities would not establish that Jews generally concealed sexual assaults or were less likely than Arabs to report them.

3. Your follow-up makes the problem worse.

You invoked Jewish shame over external exposure and concluded, "This accounts for the defendant imbalance."

How do you know?

Were Arabs free from similar concerns about shame and reputation?

What comparative evidence establishes that Jewish victims were less likely than Arab victims to report sexual assaults? And what evidence establishes that this difference was large enough to account for the enormous disparity in court defendants?

Without that evidence, you're presenting a proposed explanation as though it has been demonstrated.

4. Your wording has consequences.

People in this thread are already interpreting your responses as proof that Jews concealed rapes.

Your original statement, "Jews rarely reported within their community," encourages precisely that interpretation by failing to distinguish appearances in British court records from reporting sexual offences generally.

You're making claims about an entire ethnic community that the statistics you've presented cannot establish.

Will you correct your original answer and explain what the records actually demonstrate, without turning an unverified explanation into a factual claim about Jewish behavior?

[Alex Epstein @AlexEpstein]

As someone best-known for championing low-cost fuel, I want to say unequivocally that Ukraine has the right to bomb the shit out of Russian oil refineries.

And we should not be buying Russia's diesel, we should be facilitating Russia's surrender and withdrawal.

[Max @___Masked]

@ryangrim

[Max @___Masked]

Middle East oil exports top pre-war levels for part of September

https://t.co/6jsNeQJjIE

[Max @___Masked]

@anonymous8love @Objectobot Communism is one of the leading causes of actual mass starvation, so it’s always funny watching a commie whine about the poor starving under the system that kept them fed.

[Objectobot @Objectobot]

We constantly hear about a “housing crisis,” usually accompanied by this romanticized idea that previous generations could easily buy a house. Leftist political narratives thrive on manufacturing a crisis. Further we tend to compare our problems we experience today in full detail against a sanitized memory of the past.

Data paints a different picture. As a percentage of a married couple's median income, housing was about just as affordable from 2010 to 2020 as it was in the 1950s. After 2020 prices jumped due the construction pause, but we are still nowhere close to the costs that people experienced in the early 1980s.

There is a simple glaring solution to the housing affordability, remove the barriers to construction. For example permitting delays and regulatory processes account for roughly one-third of the gap between total home prices and actual construction costs in major California metropolitan areas like Los Angeles.

[Max @___Masked]

IAEA members hold a secret vote and elect Iran to a committee of the IAEA — the UN’s nuclear watchdog.

All while:

• U.S. @ war w/ Iran over its nuclear program
• Iran reported to the UN Security Council for nuclear noncompliance
• U.S. pays 25% of the IAEA’s regular budget

[Max @___Masked]

@danielnewmanUV I hope that video isn’t AI generated 😅

[Max @___Masked]

This story isn't an example of someone following Dave Ramsey's advice. It's an example of someone ignoring a pretty important part of it.

Ramsey's actual steps are:

1. Save a $1,000 starter emergency fund.
2. Pay off all non-mortgage debt.
3. Save 3–6 months of expenses in a fully funded emergency fund.
4. Invest 15% of household income for retirement.
5. Save for your kids' college.
6. THEN pay off the house early.

So if Gary had only $6,000 in cash because he spent years throwing every available dollar at his mortgage, he wasn't following Ramsey's plan. Ramsey explicitly tells people to build and keep a 3–6 month emergency fund BEFORE aggressively paying off the house. He also puts retirement investing ahead of early mortgage payoff.

I'm not even a Ramsey guy when it comes to low-interest mortgages. Personally, if I had a 3% mortgage and could earn more than 3% safely after taxes while keeping the money liquid, I'd rather keep the cheap mortgage and put the money to work.

But criticize Ramsey for what he actually teaches. "Guy ignores Ramsey's emergency-fund advice, runs out of cash, therefore Ramsey made him house-rich and broke" doesn't make much sense.

[Max @___Masked]

@danielnewmanUV TIME just came out with AI doooom. So there's that. 🤔

https://t.co/SnZxIJRDTb

[Dr. Eli David @DrEliDavid]

Time magazine's doomer covers:
1954 nuclear war
1960 population explosion
1970 ecological collapse
1982 nuclear war
1989 endangered Earth
1992 ozone
1999 Y2K
2001/2006/2007 climate
2005 pandemic
2009 extinction
2013 bees
2019 climate
2020 pandemic
2023 AI extinction
2026 AI tipping point

[Max @___Masked]

You’re comparing hiking rates to what exactly, the Fed magically reopening Hormuz itself? LOL

The Fed doesn’t have a good option. Core PCE, the measure that strips out food and energy, is already 3.3% and expected to be 3.4% for the year.

Every choice has a cost. Hike, and you risk stagflation. Don’t hike and you risk another round of Biden-era inflation.

“Rates can’t produce oil” isn’t an argument for what the Fed should actually do.

[Max @___Masked]

@danielnewmanUV https://t.co/kUjnJVY2UK

[Max @___Masked]

That’s a great comparison once you delete almost everything the Fed actually considers. Like the fact that the Fed’s target is PCE, not core CPI.

Sept. 2024 SEP: 2.3% headline PCE, 2.6% core.
Today’s SEP: 3.7% headline, 3.4% core.

In 2024, job gains had slowed, and unemployment had moved up. Today, job gains are keeping pace, and unemployment has changed little.

Powell also cut from 5.25–5.50%. Warsh just hiked from 3.50–3.75%.

But sure: one CPI print + “election in two months.”

[Max @___Masked]

That’s a great comparison once you delete almost everything the Fed actually considers. Like the fact that the Fed’s target is PCE, not core CPI.

Sept. 2024 SEP: 2.3% headline PCE, 2.6% core.
Today’s SEP: 3.7% headline, 3.4% core.

In 2024, job gains had slowed, and unemployment had moved up. Today, job gains are keeping pace, and unemployment has changed little.

Powell also cut from 5.25–5.50%. Warsh just hiked from 3.50–3.75%.

But sure: one CPI print + “election in two months.”

[Max @___Masked]

@danielnewmanUV "Any customer can have a car painted any color that he wants, so long as it is black." - Henry Ford

😅

[Max @___Masked]

The Pentagon’s own watchdog just released its fullest accounting yet of the Iran war. The numbers are striking:

• Shortages in advanced U.S. missiles and munitions
• Iranians damaged/destroyed 100s of U.S. buildings/structures
• Up to 30 U.S. Reaper surveillance/strike drones destroyed
• 7 U.S. aerial-refueling tankers damaged/destroyed (5 by Iranian strikes)
• 11 U.S. troops killed in action by July

https://t.co/6zioFero7t