⚾ Consensus Alert ⚾
Cardinals @ Yankees — ML: Cardinals longer (FanDuel, BetMGM, DraftKings, BetRivers)
Model: St. Louis 3.85 - 4.39 NY Yankees | ML: NO PLAY | RL: NO PLAY | Total: NO PLAY
→ Consistent moneyline movement toward the Yankees across all four books indicates sharp money backing New York at home, pushing Cardinals odds longer as a result.
Apparently Mr. #HoodDildo or someone who looks similar struck another time and seems to have a liking for similar SUV’s as he was spotted near-95 in #Baltimore performing the same act! Take a look! 🫢🤯🍆
#Bigorecap#Bigolive#Bigousa#Bigo
Giannis says he showed up EARLY to work out with Kobe, and the Black Mamba made him pay for it
“Working out with Kobe, I showed up before him. I love that I did it, but it was a mistake”
“Kobe came and said, ‘What are we gonna do?’ I said, ‘Whatever you tell me to do.’ He said, ‘Go right, make 25.’ I usually make four or five. I said, ‘Yeah… make 25.’ I made 25. ‘Okay, go left, 25.’ Then, ‘Go right, two dribbles’”
“We worked out for two hours, intense, and I’m thinking, I shouldn’t have shot before this, I’m tired, I wanted to show him my best version”
“But here’s what players won’t do today: they won’t be vulnerable. They won’t show weakness, or show appreciation to somebody better. If you always think you’re the best, you can never learn”
“I had my notebook, I asked a lot of questions, he answered every single one, and never made me feel like we were running out of time. It was one of the best experience in my career”
I have a theory, France gets robbed against Morocco because all the referees are from Argentina, they won’t let Spain reach the final either, clearing the path for Messi. Jude also gets a yellow, so even if England reach the semifinal, he’ll be on the bench. Argentina then gets Switzerland, followed by Norway or an England side without Jude, while avoiding France and Spain in the final.
It’s basically over. Messi wins his 2nd rigged World Cup.
Mexico v Ecuador best bets🇲🇽🇪🇨
- BTTS +140
- Gonzalo Plata 1+ SOT. +110 (FD)
Score prediction. 1-1 draw after 90 minutes. I lean Ecuador advancing.
I said this morning this was BY FAR my least favorite match of the day which is why I'm only going 2 bets. I don't expect these choices to be popular, but as always I'm trusting my gut here!
Please tail with caution and if you want to skip this game I wouldn't blame you. We've done well today so I'm playing it safe, grabbing a little Cesar salad, and enjoying what I assume with be a very defensive heavy matchup.
BOL if ya choose to tail!
Malik Beasley BEEN GAMBLING lmaooo.
Here he is going coast-to-coast with 5 seconds left like his life depended on it just to cut the lead from 9 to 7.
The spread was +8.5 😭
The Knicks will win their first championship in over 50 years Saturday...
I've spent 5+ hours researching this game so you don't have to.
Here are the 5 picks you need right now:
WNBA Prop Thread for 6/13
Fever vs Sun
- Sophie is PROBABLE after being out last game.
- Aneesah Morrow and Brittney Griner are IN after missing the last two games.
- Griner and AB do not like each other so that'll make this battle a bit interesting. AB is coming off a monstrous 34 point game, and her point lines remains the same as her closing line last game. Griner still has a ton of size and can reasonably hold her own against post-ups (where AB gets 22% of her production from) which is a big reason why the Sun are allowing the 4th fewest points here. They are also allowing the 4th fewest points to the PNR roller and a large part of that is that Griner doesn't step up at all. I lean the under on AB's points but I lean the over on 3s here because AB should have some open looks off PNRs.
- Griner u5.5R initially drew my attention considering how lazy of a rebounder she is and how good the Fever are at limiting boards to centers, but last year vs AB, Griner put up 8/7/8 rebounds in all 3 games where she played more than 20 minutes. That's enough reason to give me pause here given the added motivation of not liking AB at all. Points wise, the Fever rank b4 in points allowed in the paint and B5 in post-up defense where Griner gets 48% of her production from, but I struggle with this as AB is a generally strong defender. The "stats" don't match up with the eye test and it's a stay away for me.
- What I do like is Brittney Griner assists. She had 8 and 9 Pas the last two games before injury and is getting a + money 3.5 line.
- On the flip side, I like Saniya u3.5A. With the full lineup in place, Saniya is averaging 1.7 fewer assists and has had 8 or fewer Pas in 6 of the last 8 games.
- Leila Lacan had a season-high 15 Pas last game and is coming back with a 4.5 assist line, but the Fever are allowing the fewest Pas and fewest assists to guards. Again, another stat that doesn't match the eye test. In PNR, the Fever are generally mixing up coverages right now all with the intent of not letting the ball handler get to the basket which in theory should provide more assist opportunities.
- You may be wondering though why the Fever get burnt by guards (they rank B5 in points allowed). Well, it's mainly in isolation and transition play types, not generally Leila's approach.
- Kelsey Mitchell and CC both have good matchups here with the Sun generally being bad at defending in transition and vs PNR ball handlers. Not sure I like either line enough to take though.
NYK @ SAS GAME 5 BREAKDOWN🏀
New York completed the biggest comeback in NBA Finals history, erasing a 29-point deficit and stealing Game 4 after OG's offensive rebound and putback with one second remaining.
Heartbreaking for San Antonio, but the Knicks are now just one win away from their first championship in 53 years.
Spurs Side
De'Aaron Fox
Fox finished Game 4 with 18 points, 7 assists and 5 rebounds, shooting just 6/16 from the field. His late contested layup attempt was blocked by OG and ultimately proved costly.
Despite the criticism, Mitch Johnson made it clear he still trusts his star guard:
"De'Aaron Fox will have the basketball in his hands at the end of the game tomorrow, and I have nothing but the utmost confidence that he's going to deliver like he's done countless times for us."
Fox also brushed off the outside noise:
"It's not like people have my phone number and can call me. I don't watch those shows. It doesn't matter. It is what it is. You can't change it now. We're trying to move on from that."
His O21.5 PA is somewhat interesting if we get the expected bounce-back performance.
Victor Wembanyama
Wemby looked fatigued after playing 44 minutes in Game 4, finishing with 24 points and 13 rebounds on 9/25 shooting.
Coach Mitch Johnson admitted they need to manage Victor's energy better late in games.
Wemby isn't concerned about being down 3-1:
"Everybody knows we're gonna do it. I think it'd be a mistake to waste our energy on multiple games. It's one game at a time."
He attempted 25 shots last game and I expect another massive workload. If his minutes are managed slightly better, efficiency could improve, making his overs interesting.
Dylan Harper
Harper continues to impress.
Game 4:
• 21 points
• 4 rebounds
• 3 assists
• +12 (team-best)
After the loss, Harper said:
"A whole new fire, I feel like, is ignited in me. We gave that game away. And if we're going to lose, we're not going out like that. We're going to put up a fight. We're going to keep swinging."
He played 32 minutes and should see another 30+ minute workload. Per 32 minutes, he's averaging 25.1 PRA, right around his O24.5 PRA line.
Devin Vassell
Vassell was on fire in Game 4:
18 PTS | 5 REB | 4 AST
First half:
• 15 points
• 5/5 FG
• 4/4 3PT
• +21
After the loss, Vassell said:
"We're not going to sit here and keep thinking about what we could have done. That's not changing the result. We've got to trust the game plan and be ready to go."
He continues to have the coaching staff's trust and should once again play 36+ minutes. I was on his O19.5 PRA last game and still like O20.5 PRA here.
Stephon Castle
When asked about coming back from 3-1, Castle said:
"I feel like we've made history all year. We've proven that with our backs against the wall that we can step up. I don't really expect this to be any different."
Castle had foul trouble throughout Game 4 and played just 26 minutes, finishing with 13 points.
The assignment of guarding Brunson is extremely difficult, but being back home could help him avoid some of those foul calls.
I was on his under last game, but now I'm looking the other way. I really like his O6.5 assists.
He recorded only 5 assists despite generating 13 potential assists, with Wemby missing several easy looks.
Knicks Side
OG Anunoby
OG was incredible:
33 points
10/15 FG
7/9 from three
He's shooting 19/28 over his last two games (67%), which is obviously crazy efficient.
Going on the road, some shooting regression could come. His line sits at 18.5 points, and he's only cleared that in 7 of 16 playoff games.
Expect San Antonio to make defensive adjustments after allowing him too many easy opportunities in Game 4.
Jalen Brunson
Brunson was much more efficient:
36 points on 12/25 shooting.
San Antonio’s defensive scheme has mostly been single coverage on Brunson, and it’s turned him into full scorer mode.
When asked about being one win away from a title, his answer was simple:
"0-0."
He's attempted now 25+ shots in three straight games. When taking 25+ FGA this season, he's gone over this line in 17 of 19 games while averaging 33.7 PPG.
Karl-Anthony Towns
KAT finished with:
13 points
10 rebounds
2 assists
Despite playing only 26 minutes due to foul trouble, he still posted a team-best +17.
KAT on the comeback win:
"We enjoyed the shell shock of what happened — but we understood the next morning we had to get back to work."
"In that moment of jubilation, we had to talk about the elephant in the room — we didn't play well at all."
The first two games showed how valuable KAT can be, but San Antonio has done a much better job limiting his usage over the last two games.
Jose Alvarado
One of the most interesting developments from Game 4 came when KAT got into foul trouble.
Instead of leaning on Mitchell Robinson much, New York went small with Jose Alvarado and moved OG onto Wemby.
The lineup worked.
Jose played 16 minutes and finished +11 (tied for second-best on the team), while Mitch Robinson played only 13 minutes.
Jose finished with 8 points and 3 assists and earned major praise from Mike Brown after the game:
“Last person I’m going to talk about is Jose Alvarado. I don’t — no, we can clap for Jose. [CLAPPING] … Jose was unbelievable tonight. He changed the game. His speed, his ability to touch the paint.”
Those are huge words from the coach.
I think Jose has earned a floor of around 12 minutes moving forward. Per 12 minutes, he’s averaging 7.4 PA.
His O5.5 PA caught my eye and I’ve already played it.
Main Takeaways ⬇️
• De’Aaron Fox is in a solid bounce-back spot after a tough Game 4.
• Expect some shooting regression from OG after his huge performance.
• NY’s small-ball lineup with Jose Alvarado was one of the biggest adjustments from Game 4.
• Wemby’s workload will be something to monitor after playing 44 minutes but should be more efficient.
• Brunson continues to be in full scorer mode with SA mostly playing him straight up.
If you made it this far, I appreciate y’all a lot❤️
A follow, like & repost is always much appreciated!
NBA Player Prop Trends for May 24th:
The Thunder look to steal another ahead 2-1, here are the notes for your NBA bets and parlays for Game 4. 🧵👇
💙 Any likes/reposts are appreciated!