@PhillipsPOBrien I think the problerm is no one is presenting a positive case for membership: what problems it would solve, why now, etc.
The closest I have seen is a guy in twitter imagining that the whole island was teleported to eastern europe. That is about the quality of debate.
@PhillipsPOBrien I am not surprised that there is support. I certainly see people arguing for it or for caring about defense more generally. However it is unlikely to go to referendum until it is a slam dunk win.
@devilmonastery@d_feldman I replied to at least one survey request with something like “it sounds like you are collecting mental health data. Can you confirm this is being stored in line with policy and local laws?”. Magically I didn’t have to do the survey.
@andrewflood Ach, I just can’t see it. I think Leo will hang on as long as he can. I can’t see landlords selling for 90% when they could delay and sell for 100% of property value. Unless the landlord thinks the situation will become less friendly in the next year.
@andrewflood One answer is you need cash not assets (see svb or every developer in 2009). Another is you think prices are about to peak. One rational reason you think prices might be about to peak is that you think Ireland is about to build more houses, which it will not do.
@0xMatt Ireland has no equivalent but also no large pool of combat vets, the uk has military healthcare but I think mostly for serving or just discharged folks.
@andrewflood This is in line with every outdoors plan in Ireland - vast effort is expended in making the farmers happy, the farmers do the Lucy moves football thing, and no one is happy in the end.
@luisbruno I don’t think the situations are comparable. Svb would have been fine if it wasn’t for thiel telling everyone to panic, and it will likely manage a happy recovery once the VCs find something else to groupthink about.
@sgreenfie@stkirsch The mission, should you chose to accept it, is to explain to some aml person how you came by 100k in cash and are carrying it through an airport.