Market sentiment has decoupled from logic; both war escalation and a ceasefire are now spun as positive catalysts. We’ve reached a point where news outlets are recycling old negative headlines to justify price action.
@APompliano How did it come in lower than expectations? Please look up the data..Consensus was 2.9 and it came in at 2.9. Headline consensus was 4.2 and it came in at 4.2
And you know for sure he's not a hawk? Don't assume. The fed will remain independent. When inflation remains elevated, there WILL be a hawkish tilt. If inflation starts to decline again then he will have a dovish tilt. You dont know warsh, you haven't spoke to him and have no idea how he will approach monetary policy.
@_ita_vero@JavierBlas Buddy. Travel season hasn't started yet. Just wait. I am paying attention to the data. Travel season officially starts when school is out which is end of June. Again anything above $4 is STILL HIGH.
@_ita_vero@JavierBlas Thats not even 10%. Its a 8% drop thats not "quite a bit"...mind you travel season is about to start as well. Anything above 4 per gallon is very high. 33% increase year over year
I guess we will ignore the historic, monumental rally since april 2nd. This sell off is peanuts in comparison. People are so conditioned to "buy the dip". This will only last while trump is in office. The markets will be completely different once he's on his way out the door. We have never had a president like trump that his actively trading stocks and having the government purchase large stakes in AI companies. The music will stop eventually
Federal Reserve independence is essential, as enacting interest rate cuts during inflationary periods risks negative implications. Public skepticism regarding alternative economic strategies is reflected in Trump's 59% disapproval rating, while current treasury market signals further reinforce the danger of premature rate reductions.
I agree. The current administration's messaging is deeply inconsistent and erratic. It appears their main goal is to drive market algorithms using targeted trigger rhetoric. A recurring pattern has emerged where market sell-offs are quickly followed by announcements of pending deals, which are then retracted shortly after. Consequently, it seems Trump is leveraging his political authority for personal financial gain and to benefit his associates.
#BTC $BTC #SPY $SPY #QQQ $QQQ #NASDAQ100#SPX500 weekly failed to hold the higher low so far. If 65k is breached, then we were just making a lower high on the monthly (which is the likely scenario below 98k).
#BTC $BTC #SPY $SPY #QQQ $QQQ weekly timeframe. First potential weekly higher low and bullflag.This will be confirmed on a break of 82.8k and will be the first higher low and higher high since October.
#BTC $BTC #SPY $SPY #QQQ $QQQ weekly timeframe. First potential weekly higher low and bullflag.This will be confirmed on a break of 82.8k and will be the first higher low and higher high since October.