今天美股为何暴力反弹,因为指标在警告空头!
前天和大家分析了最多跌4%,纳指就要进入价值大底;
如下图, $QQQ fw PE昨天已经到了21.8倍;
指标(下图)在警告对冲基金空头,可以见好就收了;
结合PCE的降温,
于是,我们看到了今天大量的机构空头回补和大反弹;
再不平空,就要等着被轧空了!
结合最新的SP500 eps变化,个人预测:
2026年底,标普8000点的目标位不变!
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Why did $IXIC stage such a powerful rally today? Because the indicators were warning the bears.
Two days ago, I pointed out that the Nasdaq was only about 4% away from entering a major value bottom.
As shown below, $QQQ's forward P/E fell to 21.8x yesterday.
The indicators (see chart below) were sending a clear message to hedge fund bears: it's time to take profits on your shorts.
Combined with the cooler-than-expected PCE inflation data, the setup was in place.
What followed was exactly what you'd expect—massive institutional short covering, triggering a sharp market rebound.
If the bears don't cover now, they risk getting caught in a powerful short squeeze.
Looking at the latest S&P 500 EPS revisions, my view remains unchanged:
I continue to expect the $SPX to reach 8,000 by the end of 2026.
Like, follow, and stay tuned!