Himothy 🥽.

spread negativity.

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

@16vchq Predictive

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

Hi, we’re UK based, building a startup and we’d like to connect.

Currently building a probabilistic multi domain system with current focus on sports analytics and equities (to simply put it, we’re into forecasting sports and also look at investments based on the other half of our model)

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

We looked at five seasons of Premier League players to see which stats
stay true from one year to the next.

Compared like for like against players in the same position.

How often a player takes someone on, gets in duels, gets on the ball:
mostly the same the next season.

How often his shots go in: barely any connection at all.

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

An honest review.

https://t.co/OdVk24Y3Rj

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

Our last World Cup read

World Cup final.

Our model sits on the same line as the sharpest books in the world: Spain 42, draw 32, Argentina 26. Spain shade it, but only just. This is no procession.

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

World Cup’s settled. So are we. 22 real picks, every one logged before kick-off: 14 won, 8 lost. 64% strike rate at 1.78 average odds. Full board below

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

Ferran Torres for the win 🤭

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

A big thank you to everyone that has followed and supported us during the World Cup season, now on to club football!⚽️❤️

[Himothy 🥽. @_jedriel]

@xGPhilosophy @PolymarketSport Our model has this far more open than 39% for France. France and Spain are in the same half, they meet in the semis next, so France are barely 50/50 to even reach the final. Closer to a four way race for us: France 27, Spain 26, Argentina 25, England 22.

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

🫣

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

Steady on, England haven't played DR Congo yet. We’ll see after tonight.

Here's what our model gives England's actual path:

Beat DR Congo: 74% to win. likely, but not a lock, one flat night and it's a scare.

Then beat Mexico: a coin flip. We have our model that makes England just 50% to win in 90. Mexico put Ecuador away 2-0, they are no gift.

Stack those and Mexico vs England is only about a 37% shout to even land as England wins both. Don’t book anything yet lad

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

Three scoreline calls last night. Three correct. 🎯

Before kickoff we published our model's most likely score for every Group G and H decider. The receipts:

Didn’t bet but showed the analysis in our telegram .Cape Verde 0-0 Saudi we called 0-0 the likeliest ("a war of nerves"). The debutants drew their way into the knockouts. ✅

Again called in telegram. Uruguay 0-1 Spain we had 0-1 as the 2nd-likeliest ("Spain control, Uruguay can't break them down"). Spain stroll into top spot. ✅

Can see on our Twitter before KO. Egypt 1-1 Iran we called 1-1 the likeliest ("a draw suits both"). Both took the point, both went through. ✅

Not the result. The exact scoreline. Three times.

We don't bat 1.000 Belgium tore up our they'll misfire caveat and won 5-1, hands up and we bloody missed here tbh. But nights like this are why we trust the model.

DATA. MODELS. EDGE.

VAMOSSSSSS

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

As advised by our betting model. 🤝

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

What did we say 🤷‍♂️

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

The market has Canada at 1.85 to beat Bosnia tonight comfortable favourites.

So we ran every scoreline. Look what's missing 👇

A single comfortable Canada win.

1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-0, 0-1 — tight, low-scoring, and Bosnia very much alive. The host nation is over-bought. 🇨🇦🇧🇦

#WorldCup2026

[SEUN Yk @YKoluwaseun9]

Tyla didn’t even know her country was losing😂

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

✅ Our FREE pick just cashed — Under 2.5, Mexico 2-0, called before a ball was kicked.

That's the one we give away for nothing.

WC Pass members locked it FIRST — and they get the full slate: every pick stamped pre-kickoff, settled live. Day 2 is already loaded.

110 bets. +21.6% ROI. All on the record 👇
https://t.co/zASDYvOeBe
#WorldCup2026

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

Our first World Cup pick is locked 🔒

🇲🇽 Mexico v South Africa
📉 Under 2.5 goals @ 8/11

Placed before kickoff, on the record. Mexico control but don't punch hard, SA dig in — we're backing the 1-0 / 2-0.

No corners bet: we backtested it, found no edge, walked away. That's the difference.

🌍 https://t.co/HRV9pIUVY1

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

Here we go. Let’s see how the model goes.

No changes since pre lineup.

#WorldCup2026
#MEXSOU
#Mexico
#SouthAfrica

[Quant Edge Syndicate @QuantEdgeSynd]

We simulated the entire 2026 World Cup 100,000 times. 🌍

Here's exactly where our model expects all 12 groups to finish — and who makes the last 32.

Advance % = chance of reaching the knockouts.

Save this. 🧵👇