Senator Edwin Sifuna: Let me not give away too much of our manifesto because Kasongo has become a copycat. When I receive a goat in Meru, he will make sure that there will be someone to give him a goat at the next function. When I carry a child & speak to them, lazima atafute mtoto.
#ChamayaSifuna
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Retweet for your mutuals🙏🏼🙏🏼
@Dennis_Itumbi02 Bro, Sifuna akirnda kwa Ruto he will go by himself, the same applies to Riggy G. 2027 ni sisi tutapanga politicians, not hao kutupanga. Times have changed. And btw in 2027, Ruto will not be vying against the opposition, he will be vying against Kenyans. That's what u fail 2 get.
One thing Cristiano Ronaldo's legacy has taught me is that it's better to lose with honor than to win by deceit. Ronaldo was never handed a World Cup the way Messi was. No matter where life takes me, Cristiano Ronaldo will always be my GOAT. 🐐
It should. I remember back then when banks used to hawk loans at work places convincing guys to apply as long as your payslip guaranteed. Nowadays it's very difficult to get a loan from any bank.
@HusseinMohamedg Very befitting reward. But where is this money coming from? Also, Ruto sees the affordable housing units as personal property to dish out however he wishes forgetting they are built using money stolen from hard working Kenyans
I have just submitted the petition to recalling Nairobi Women Rep Esther Passaris for further directions from the chair of @IEBCKenya
RT to apply pressure.
#ThePeopleShall#Recall254
Mr Maraga / Dr Matiangi / Mr Omtata, what are the potential pro’s and con’s of each. What should we look out for. And what they need to focus on?
Winning a presidential election is attained through validation from a wide network of Governors, Senators, MP’s and MCA’s that run and win under your party. There is no one man ticket, it is thousands of tickets that validate the one.
This is a key thing that the Mr. Maraga / Mr. Okiya / Dr. Matiangi as the current announced ticket holders need to understand. Gen Z’s, Millennials and other supporters of these aspirants also need to understand this and put in strategies that will ensure that their victory is from the ground up. Focusing on a presidential candidate only is a sure losing strategy.
The need to carefully select and organize a network of a few thousand candidates for elected positions that will vie under their parties. If they fail to do this by mid-2026, it will be impossible for any of them to win an election and sustain a presidency. Each aspirant needs to know who will be running under their parties (assuming that they all run separately), as an MCA, MP, Governor and Senator in all 47 counties, 290 constituencies and 1,450 wards. This requires a lot of planning and has no short cuts.
What are the Mr. David Maraga Strengths, Risk & What He Needs to Do More or Better
Whether Mr D K Maraga will run on a co ticket with Senator Omtata is not clear as I write. Mr Maraga’s strength is seen in his 2017 post-election ruling of standing against a seating government. This is an indication of a person who is led by principal and can put the country first. His age gives out a sense of stability and maturity that is needed to neutralize the toxic politics that we have seen since 2013. His servitude in the judicial system, rising to the position of chief justice, implies that he has strong knowledge of how our government works and its challenges (most fundamental shortcomings in decision making by our government have been resolved through court procedures). His strength in matters legal, make him a very strong contender, as one of the biggest challenges we have faced as a country recently has been with legislation and the law creating process. He might just be the person that will end this and help the citizens unwind the barrage of laws created over the last 10 years that are clearly, anti progress and anti citizens. His age and maturity will appeal to our mature citizens and is already rising to popularity among the youth.
Where I see Mr Maraga getting challenged is his strong legal background, as much as it is a positive, it might be an impediment to progress. There is a risk that he brings in legality in decision making process, slowing down critical decisions that would have otherwise been sped up through executive orders. The current state of our nation and its challenges (mostly socio-economic) will need quick decisions for short term solutions as a government plans for long term solutions. And if the solutions are not provided in due time, he might end up leading an embattled government due to unfulfilled promises. Remember people once thought that President Ruto would be a good option and deliver progress and change. People want progress and change more than they want “just a good leader”.
Another risk that I see that could be attached to Mr D K Maraga, is with his minimal political involvement in the past, he might underestimate the role of politics in the development process. The intricacies of bringing elected politicians from all fronts and different parties together and convincing them to support a national agenda. Humans tend to revert to what they know most or are most comfortable with. In a political democracy, politics and its mostly ugly head cannot be avoided. He would have to get down with politics and get his hands dirty.
What Mr D K Maraga needs to do more (he has already started) is to build a country wide political machinery. He has one year to do so. He needs to know who his MCA’s, Governors, Senators, MP’s etc will be and he needs to vet them and build volunteer teams that will start working with them (kwa ground). The presidential ticket is a validation by winning all these other levels of election, it is not a stand-alone ticket, it is many tickets across the country that validate the one.
Another thing that the team should strongly consider is having a dedicated campaign strategy for the 5 main cities (Nairobi, Mombasa, Kisumu, Eldoret, Nakuru). More so for Nairobi. Whether a party wins an election or not, they need to win in at least two of these main cities. With him as a candidate attracting a youthful popular vote, a well-curated city strategy would go a long way, and a win is also possible. Power seats are in cities not villages, winning a city ticket or two means a lot politically, it provides a platform for a political party to be very relevant, and significantly contribute to development and to show case their development agenda. This is key.
Generally, with his strong leadership background and thorough understanding of our legal systems, Mr Maraga would be expected to make an excellent president if elected. He would however need to consider a running mate with strong politico governance background, and one who can get things done. This would balance out his team and set them out for success.
What are the Mr. Okiya Omtata (Senator) Strengths, Risk & What He Might Need to Do More and Better
If persistence and consistency as a word had a Kenyan name it would be Mr Okiya Omtata. He is a national unsung hero who has demonstrated exceptional goodwill towards the state and us as citizens. His dedication towards the country, and his understanding of fundamental issues that need to be restructured (demonstrated by his strategic petitions and suits against the government) is unparalleled and undeniable. This could be the first president that truly puts the people first (at last we will heal). In my opinion he is an excellent candidate. But what are the but’s that would probably come with his candidacy.
One likely risk that I see attached to him is his advocacy background. Politics, should be, but is not advocacy. Politics and political leadership at the helm, a president, would need the ability to make at times tough decisions for the benefit of all. Mostly, advocacy always imagines an utopian happy ending. This is not always the case with politics, which often requires tough negotiation and decisions. This would require him to wear a very different hat. Just like his fellow aspirant Mr D K Maraga, there is a possibility that he underestimates (maybe to a lesser extent) the role of politics in the process of developing a nation, and this could hurt him.
What Mr Omtata, needs to do more, just like Mr Maraga is to clearly understand that the presidential ticket is not a single ticket, it is a one ticket resulting from many tickets spread across the country. His campaign strategy should reflect this, and he should work on building a country wide network of aspirants and campaign volunteers. He has one year to do this. He should also consider having a dedicated strategy for the cities. Every presidential candidate must strive to win a city, more so Nairobi.
What are the Dr Fred Matiangi Strengths, Risk & What He might need to do More or Better
Dr Fred Matiangi has a strong history of good performance marked with getting things done. Which is important for the future of the country. The one caveat of his approach to getting things done, is his heavy handed style, that is hardly ever sustainable and fruitful in the long run. He represents the strong man approach to leadership, which historically has proven to be anti-systems and anti-good governance. He also faithfully served in the most corrupt government that Kenya has ever had. None the less, we need someone who can get things done. That is what as a candidate he is promising. What risks do I see with his candidacy?
The primary risk we run with electing Dr Matiangi as president is the resurfacing of the Uhuru Kenyatta regime and cabinet (Kenyatta has endorsed him as a candidate). This will be another five years of well managed (he has promised to manage the country well) cronyism and corruption. The state machinery called the Uhuru Kenyatta cabinet that looted the country dry and drove us from a debt level of Kes 1.7 trillion in 2012 to Kes 8.6 trillion will be back and nothing will change. The problem with taking this option is that, we cannot afford another 5 years of looting and no solution to our socio-economic problems. The country will implode. This is a given. What we need is complete immediate change marked with new ideas that will transform our country.
Secondly, the strong CS level experience that Dr Fred Matiangi has could translate into a hinderance. First of all, he served in a very corrupt government (bad habits die hard). Secondly, the current challenges we face as a society cannot be resolved by doing more (or better) what was done before / by previous governments. We need radically new solutions to give our society a chance of resetting our path to peace and prosperity for all. It is very likely that Dr Fred Matiangi’s frame of reference will be anchored to his past service and its winning moments. This might lead to him trying to replay the same old, same old song. This will not resolve our challenges as a society.
In addition, another risk that we run with electing Mr Fred Matiangi is putting a heavy-handed leader in place. His glorious achievements in the last government (which we cannot water down) were achieved with a lot of heavy handedness. A cabinet secretary exuding such like character with 10% of the power of a president is likely to be an absolute beast with the full power. This is not something that we should ignore. At this moment, Kenya does not need a heavy-handed leader, it needs calmness, clear vision and strategy and a pro people pro civil liberties leader. Money and power amplify character they do not change it. We are likely to see an amplification of this heavy handedness with him. Not a guarantee that things turn out this way, but a strong possibility.
None the less, there is a big opportunity for a result driven individual like Dr Fred Matiangi. We need to get things done. He would need a Damascus moment, and a genuine one, if he is to offer Kenya the leadership that it needs. In my opinion, under good leadership, he would be the best option for a prime cabinet secretary, not a president.
Other Nuanced Thoughts
If Maraga is to run separately (maybe with Omtata as a running mate), and Matiangi separately, this will mean three candidates with very varied appeal, the most likely result will be a re-run. I would assign a probability of 75%+ on this as an outcome of the first run of the election. This will be the norm in the future, we will end up having coalition governments in most of future elections. With this in mind, the voting supporters for all aspirants should openly and clearly ask their presidential aspirants, whom they would support in the event of a re-run. This is important to know before hand on an absolute basis. With the financial muscle that UDA currently has, we should not fully rule out the possibility of one of these candidates getting bought out in an election re-run. Never say never.
The biggest problem facing Kenya is a youthful population with a bad economy characterized mainly by unprecedented government debt levels that are sucking up capital and purchasing power from the real economy through over taxation and local borrowing. Every running candidate should give a very clear plan of what they will do to remedy this situation. Not open positive statements. Their manifestos should have a very clear plan and roadmap on this. This is critical because it is a very difficult challenge to resolve globally and it is very possible to end up with a preferred, pro people president that will not resolve this situation, that will be another 5 years of us getting closer to the cliff edge as a country. We are closer to imploding as a state than we think and every year wasted with no solutions drives us closer and closer to the cliff edge. In my opinion, there are very few viable options that any Govt has to address this situation, my strongest three possibilities are:
· Review of Government debt & expenditure – review debt levels, write off odious debt (I would estimate less than 20% of our debt is Odious in nature), in that we can only push to write off external odious debts and recover Odious already repaid debts through international legal means). Declaring local government debt (mostly treasuries bought by pension funds and banks) as odious will lead to a collapse in the local capital structures and financial system. This would be catastrophic and will set the economy back a few decades. What could be done is to pseudo declare local debt as odious and negotiate for an interest rate cut on all repayable debts. This way, the banks and pension funds retain their capital structures but do not fully benefit from lending to an irresponsible regime. The executive should also force zero based budgeting on all government departments (corruption and looting starts at budgeting). These three items could release maybe up to Kes 400 billion of liquidity annually for the government. This is a huge amount of money that if administered properly can bring immense change.
· Energy, Special Economic Zones (SEZ’s) and Taxes - the government would need to very quickly fund the expansion of energy production as a strategic national interest issue. our geothermal power capacity has its current production at circa 1,000MW with a potential of 10,000MW. Even just moving geothermal production to 3,000MW would significantly increase our available energy. Economic growth is significantly influenced by energy availability and consumption. There is no high growth economy with low energy utility. More available energy would give room for the government to offer energy at a significantly lower cost. A progressive government would offer close to free energy for companies employing a certain number of people especially in manufacturing. Kenya needs a duplication of SEZ’s in our four next biggest cities (Mombasa, Kisumu, Eldoret, Nakuru), Nairobi also needs two more SEZ’s. With the abundant energy, SEZ’s should have exclusive free energy (free, not subsidized) and close to zero corporation taxes, with a guaranteed minimum number of employees. Corporation taxes should be reduced significantly, with employers offering a promissory note for increased employment. Combining these two offers will drive investment to Kenya significantly and will boost one of the key government revenue bases (PAYE). Industry / Investors win, the citizens win (more employment), the government wins (more PAYE).
· Mining – in the mid-term (5 to 10 years), a responsible government that is forward looking would need look at exploiting mining fully (review all existing licenses and leases and issue new ones). A government would ensure that they derive maximum utility from the miners for the country and surrounding communities. If mined resources can be processed locally this should be done. The challenge with this is that big mining investment takes considerable time to onboard a good company to mine, and even more time to set up, even with the best team it would take 3+ years to onboard good mining companies and draw good contracts with them. This would require an onboarding process that is very well facilitated (reduced bureaucracy). A well-structured mining industry can in the next 10 years inject significant investments to the economy, create employment and earn the government FX that will stabilise our currency.
At the end of the day, Kenya Needs a President that will put Kenyan’s first. Kenya has not had a single president since independence that has put the citizens and the country first. We are like children who have grown up in an abusive and violent environment, we have normalized being abused by every government. We have an opportunity to elect a president and leader who will put the citizens and the country first.
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