Raj

Investor. Grace Investments. Since 2016.

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@Sanjay__Bakshi Positive feedback loop keeps feeding until negative in place and pendulum swings to opposite direction. Still feel traditional research cannt be beaten as the likes of Pulak Prasad who doesn't use AI beyond basic level .

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@Sanjay__Bakshi AI has same info for everyone, what is competitive advantage of researcher using AI? For Eg buy and sell recommendation is same for all and one in buy rating will continue to be in buy and price will reflect same if people act, Vice v like
$mu was buy recommendation month ago

[Raj @_rehamat_]

$pltr with less than 2 B revenue this Q with market cap $300. Not willing to buy This expensive business ~65 P/S TTM.Revenue is peanut to its market cap and a lot needs be shed for me to think about it seriously . At least half.

[Raj @_rehamat_]

ROIC matters and I see lot of
Companies restricting token cost and this time
Came come very soon.

[Raj @_rehamat_]

Twitter is good to know sentiments of crowd.

I See many confident posts lately as how they Nailed AI trade and calling how simple it is and others congratulating as well😊.

Few making waves lately labelling themself AI expert.

Market is in no one's pocket.

A Reminder.

[Raj @_rehamat_]

They all freaked out last week when there was 10 percent draw down. Well if there is no ROIC , many will suffer.

Hyperscalers are here to stay and are fine companies who are financing this maniac.Pulling back to restrict at one point to avoid cash drain will only benefit them

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@hiddengemsindia @kushallodha548 Loved the podcast and had great learning . Your answers are so honest, natural and insightful. First time I got to know why 10-K are important and what to look for. You are a great teacher, wish to keep keep learning from you. You are Real SME(subject mater expert) of SME space.

[Raj @_rehamat_]

Are we not Drowning in information yet lacking wisdom when people even use ai to decide as what to buy?

Ask what competitive advantage you have as ai is telling everyone same story and it's no more private?

Overvalued will keep on getting overvalued vice v

invert Ai(Cramer)?

[Raj @_rehamat_]

One can make fortune in great business yet boring low beta stocks if right and sizing is https://t.co/iiaCPxIv6N doesn't have to swing on each pitch but right temperament is needed to hold and build position.

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@BourbonCap It's not revenue or eps but rate of change what matters, hope you understand. Market gave $nvda it's due from 2022-2025 now it's other semis like $amd
$mu. Don't be emotional on some name like nvidia , $meli etc but just keep an eye as where constructive change is happening imo

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@Deenobrown123 @JeffW008 Math is not always math and 2 plus 2 not always 4. Micron 12 X
in one year unlike nvda, rate of change will fade as their margins going forward. With your logic gpu/memory price are same, they are not! nvda market cap need not be micron 's . Growth will slump due to cyclicality.

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@StockMarketNerd @amitisinvesting Irony is, no one complains
If stock price keeps on increasing and doesn't crash. Soros Theory of reflexivity in play.

Content was same when price was $134 and now at $72.

I feel management doesn't want to make deal/acquisition for sake of It , being conservative and is good

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@amitisinvesting Netflix is nice bet the way others like $uber $dis is. AI/Tech heavy portfio could be too polarized and not a bad idea to buy some visa, mastercard, sbux, uber, disney, jpm, unh here and there on down days to diversify bit. If AI bubble were to pop even cheap Mag7 $amzn suffer.

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@amitisinvesting $NFLX is at compelling valuation than 6 months ago and ~45% down. Mag 7 & NFLX serve different need. Humans need entertainment, travel, food as basic need and comparing to Mag 7 is unwarranted.

Remember on contrarian bet you reap benefit of bet one took 3 years ago(not today).

[Raj @_rehamat_]

(Cap Coming Public 2021 Vs 2026)

2021 IPO + SPAC boom

==$1.5T–2.5T

2026 OpenAI + Anthropic only

==$1.9T–2.0T

$spcx=2T

2026 including other mega listings

==Could exceed $5T

Capital will be sucked to few and we know what happened in 2021.

Time to be cautious not fearful.

[Raj @_rehamat_]

Elon Musk is genius.Jensen is genius and same is
https://t.co/YVRvtZCgMv doubt. But for how
Long normal investor will continue to fool themselves. Clearly all three (+SamA) are trying to attract most capital in name of IPO or pumping AI in name of echosystem before anyone else.

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@elonmusk @JonErlichman Rather than X post, I will wait to see what will you will guide even for next quarter and better to guide with same sentiment..

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@elonmusk @JonErlichman Can you please explain how you came to this number? Why not 1.2T or why not 600 Billion - it (1T)sounds appealing that's why ? Why did not you reach this number in 24 years and how only after IPO only you are enlightened to see clearly? Better to do something different than $tsla

[Raj @_rehamat_]

Not loosing money is equally Important as making money in stock market. My responses can sound negative at time but not to person but to subject. I try to throw a lot to too hard pile to filter noise out than experimenting. Go out for great business with moat (than just great)

[Raj @_rehamat_]

@BillAckman @BernieSanders @elonmusk @SpaceX How much more respect one can get ?His salesman quotient is 10 times than that of innovator.He evaluated $spacx 20 Times more than it deserved.His 4000 folks became millionaire but millions will become bag holders in turn .Like $tsla he will shift narrative again in few yrs.