claude 1.0 - mar 14, 2023 (debut)
claude 2.0 - jul 11, 2023 (+119 days)
claude 2.1 - nov 21, 2023 (+133 days)
claude 3.0 - mar 4, 2024 (+103 days)
claude 3.5 - jun 20, 2024 (+108 days)
claude 3.7 - feb 24, 2025 (+249 days)
claude 4.0 - may 22, 2025 (+87 days)
claude 4.5 - sep 29, 2025 (+130 days)
claude 4.6 - feb 5, 2026 (+129 days)
claude 4.7 ???
average gap: ~118 days (around 4 months)
currently, @Polymarket traders are pricing a 55% chance it launches by june 30
what do you think?
this polymarket trader probably read every quant article before placing this trade, see the results👇
trader binarybrown opened 28 different positions on a single market
market: how many tweets elon musk will post between march 6-13 march
here’s what he did:
> opened 28 separate positions
> each trade sized between $600 and $1,377
> total capital deployed around $34,000
> covered ranges from 20 tweets all the way to 440 tweets
his winning position currently (went down from 75 to 50 while i was writing the tweet):
360-379 tweets
probability around 50%
invested about $1,377
potential payout around $39,982
next winning position:
380-399 tweets
probability around 50%
invested about $1,377
potential payout around $39,982
this setup has something interesting:
even if 27 positions lose, this single winning range could still cover the entire strategy
the math looks like this:
total deployed → $34k
potential return → $40k
possible profit → $6k
he also added nearby safety ranges upto 420-440 tweets with a similar payout structure, protecting the trade if elon tweets slightly more than expected
if you want to copytrade him next week, here’s the best tool: https://t.co/TbY87acXAf
stocks going down
crypto going down
oil going down
bonds going down
indices going down
economies going down
meanwhile polymarket volume going up
in the middle of global chaos, everyone’s hedging on @Polymarket
after the paid partnership update @nikitabier , can you make it mandatory for people posting about polymarket claude bots and quants to attach their profile links as well?
how to keep your girlfriend happy using @Polymarket
gf: babe, i need to go shopping
bf: how much do you need?
gf: 2.5k is enough
boyfriend: opens polymarket, places a bet with 1.3m on hamenei out by march 31 at 99.9
cashes out 2.7k
do you know who profited the most from the khamenei's death after trump?
this polymarket trader made $750k in a single day by placing two big predictions:
-khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 -> $576k
-khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by june 30 -> $72k
so was he just a degen or baron?
this trader had an absolute run yesterday
he pulled in a total of $400k in just one day across nhl matches and every single pick hit
here’s how it played out:
-detroit red wings win → $143k
-minnesota wild win → $96k
-calgary flames win → $64k
-columbus blue jackets not winning → $156k
whatever he touched turned to profits yesterday
hopefully this streak continues and you can copytrade him today via @ratio_dot_you
use this access code to get 10% off on fees: VAY9LR4U
the trader who made $1.5m betting on atlético madrid to win was back again yesterday
this time, he switched sides and went against real madrid
he placed a massive $1.3m bet predicting that real madrid would not win
the game was level in the first half, but an 80th-minute goal from vinícius júnior sealed a 2-1 victory for real madrid
and that snapped his winning streak
which match do you think he’s predicting on next?
while everyone else is trying to guess the right insider on the @zachxbt market
this trader decided to go full degen mode and just bet on pure luck
he picked up all the lowest probability options:
greyscale: $100 → $27,000
binance: $100 → $2,000
base: $100 → $32,000
aave: $10 → $2,000
flashbots: $10 → $5,000
jito: $10 → $3,500
what do you think, will luck actually be on his side?
you can make $1.5 million in a single day, if you have these two things:
> $3.6 million to predict
> atlético madrid on your side
this trader bought yes at 70 cents with a $3.6 million position, predicting that atlético madrid would win
atlético madrid defeated club brugge 4-1, with help of alexander sorloth's hatrick
in just one game, he walked away with a $1.5 million profit