@MesoAnglic Germany is also stuck with an institutional architecture that imposes rule by consensus and makes taking hard decisions impossible. During the Merkel years money flooded public accounts and problems could be fixed by throwing money at them, not anymore.
@StatisticUrban The only chance they have is somebody coming in with a big mandate and pushing these policies in the first months shock therapy style. The Starmer that could have been...
@shogunhojo@dianhuburlon Jajajj pero se supone que ha habido un control por parte de tu supervisor. Además si hay un output importante se hace una publicación, el TFG/M en sí no lo lee nadie
A major talking point for those who think AI will cause mass unemployment is the recent slowdown in junior-level hiring. Lambert and Schindler, in this new working paper, point to a different culprit: work from home policies.
Using data on ~250 million hires across four countries,they show that AI exposure strongly correlates with a role being work from home. So you have to disentangle the two to get a clean estimate.
Which is the driving variable? They find that the effect of exposure to AI on junior hiring ~vanishes when you control for WFH, whereas the effect of WFH remains ~unchanged when you control for AI exposure.
In other words: it's WFH, not AI, that is slowing junior hiring.
Why? Their theory: "WFH makes supervision, monitoring, and on-the-job learning harder, all of which hit junior-workers more. Firms less willing to invest in junior talent when these frictions rise."
I think that makes sense. WFH involves a certain degree of trust and makes management harder. If an employee is less experienced, all else equal you're less likely to prefer them for a WFH position.
Bigger takeaway, though: if AI is going to take all our jobs, it's sure not there in the data yet!
@fjmpiq@hititlover Es que comparar la cantidad de un alquiler mensual con una letra de hipoteca no tiene ningún sentido... No sabemos si la persona dejó 5k o 500k de entrada, claro que pueden ser pisos muy diferentes
@hardinpol Exactly, an "everybody against the AfD" coalition with the Linke and SPD will only make it easier for the AfD to keep peeling conservative voters off the CDU.
@mrierathelen Surt barat si ets turista amb el yen en ruïnes, però si hi vius i has de fer el mateix trajecte regularment no és tant barat, sobretot si has de combinar línies! L'abonament casa-feina a Tokyo meu costava ~100€ per uns 15 min de metro...
@btharris93 What the British have in common with the Spanish is that anybody with an ounce of agency or risk tolerance left for overseas centuries ago, leaving behind a nation of busybodies and gossips.