At a dinner at the House of Lords earlier this year, I watched the British right's recombination in vivid miniature. The booze-fueled affair reveals much about the unprecedented division facing the British right as they head to the polls today @thenation https://t.co/IfXcdcZWFy
@rosewdc@BillAckman This caption is a blatant, racist lie. If you watch the original video she’s clearly standing in front of a supermarket chain (not her own small business), and there’s no evidence proving any of these assertions about her political allegiances
eu quero ser parte da classe média brasileira pseudo elite intelectualismo de esquerda core, mulher das artes e yoga vinho com os amigos na quarta lula no Instagram lacan da silva museu paulista chão de taco MPB caetanizada óculos e final de ano na praia incenso core
@tomphillipsin@BenjaminFogel Unfortunately, the disastrous format favored Flávio to some extent because, by letting the two stroll around, we got to see how much shorter Lula is. On the other hand, Flávio’s snide, necktieless antics made him look childish and immature
@sunraysunray I wonder: how much is this enthusiasm for Lula versus the shock that Flávio could win? Unhappy right-wingers had Cury, Renan , Caiado, and Zema (7.6% combined). The disillusioned left had no comparably prominent alternative. Did they sit out round one? and are they coming back?
@NathanJRobinson Right. We see the dilemma prominently in Brazil’s election. Beneath their sharply divergent climate rhetoric, both (!) Lula and Flávio support continued expansion of oil and gas extraction, treating fossil-fuel production as important to energy security, jobs, and national dev
If Flávio wins, the Amazon may be cooked. Despite Lula’s mixed climate record, his government has presided over drastic reductions in deforestation—enough to push Brazil’s overall emissions sharply downward even as emissions from energy, agriculture, industry, and waste go up
"the size of the municipality best explains the shift in voting patterns. It alone accounts for nearly 40% of the differences between municipalities. In those with fewer than 10,000 voters, Lula's support dropped 6.5 points; in cities with more than a million, it fell by only 0.4
US intervention in Brazilian politics on the side of Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of jailed former President Jair Bolsonaro, has inadvertently boosted Lula’s popularity.
But inflation and political scandal have made the contest closer than it should be. https://t.co/vQdjD2yMpK
What, you may ask, is that red patch in the Amazon? Santa Isabel do Rio Negro. One possible explanation: Lula resumed Indigenous land demarcations after Jair Bolsonaro froze them and vowed not to recognize “one centimeter more.” A Flávio presidency likely won’t be any better
Brazil’s right has swept six Senate seats in Brasília, Paraná, and Rio Grande do Sul, and leads for both in São Paulo. If it gets 54 votes, it could remove Supreme Court justices through impeachment—and, if Flávio wins, let him rule with basically no guardrails. Still early, tho
I’ve recently gotten to know @A1ex_MacArthur who is a great young writer. Here’s his latest: “If Bolsonaro’s son Flávio beats Lula in the presidential election, he will encounter much less resistance from state institutions.” https://t.co/CYGi6h5Kae