Ten years ago, AlphaGo’s Move 37 shocked the world.
It wasn’t intuition alone that produced it. AlphaGo could search possible futures, test its instincts and reason about what would happen next.
In a new piece for @techreview, I argue that today’s most advanced AI systems are still missing something fundamental.
LLMs are remarkably capable, but generating longer chains of thought is not the same as genuine reasoning. They typically have no explicit, inspectable record of what they know, what remains uncertain, what evidence supports a conclusion or whether genuine progress has been made.
This is why I recently left @GoogleDeepMind. I believe we need a fresh approach to machine reasoning, drawing on some of the architectural lessons from AlphaGo.
If AI is going to produce trustworthy and genuinely novel insights in science, medicine and beyond, we need systems whose conclusions arise from an auditable process of evidence, inference and belief revision.
@AvvocatoAtomico@gildo1959 Ove tanti rimangono spenti per mancanza di allacciamento o sovrapproduzione nelle ore centrali. Guardate il sito del GSE. Ma sono remunerate.
Last quarter I announced a milestone.
30% of our code is now written by AI.
I called it "engineering velocity."
The board loved that phrase.
They didn't ask what the code does.
Neither did we.
It compiles. Usually.
That's the metric.
Someone asked about testing.
I said "AI-assisted quality assurance."
That means the AI writes the tests too.
For the code it wrote.
It finds no issues.
Very efficient.
This week we admitted Windows 11 core features are broken.
Audio doesn't work.
Explorer crashes.
Updates fail to install.
Users asked why.
I said "we're investigating."
Investigating means reading the code.
The code the AI wrote.
That no human understands.
Because understanding isn't scalable.
Our CTO says 95% of code will be AI-generated by 2030.
I believe him.
I have to.
We fired the people who would check.
They were "non-essential headcount."
Essential means writes code.
AI writes code.
Humans are overhead.
Overhead gets optimized.
We optimized 10,000 engineers last year.
This year the bugs arrived.
Unrelated, obviously.
The engineers we kept are debugging AI output.
They don't understand it either.
But they're "cross-functional."
Cross-functional means they do everything.
Everything means nothing well.
A user asked why their audio disappeared after an update.
I said "install updated drivers."
They asked why the update broke the drivers.
I said "report it via Feedback Hub."
They asked what happens to feedback.
I said "it helps us prioritize."
Prioritize means add to backlog.
Backlog means never.
But politely.
Someone on Hacker News called this "a privacy and consent disaster."
I called it "an evolving user experience."
Same thing. Different framing.
We released a fix.
The fix broke something else.
The something else was also written by AI.
The fix was also written by AI.
They're collaborating now.
I call it "autonomous iteration."
The autonomous iteration has created 47 new bugs.
Each bug spawns a fix.
Each fix spawns two bugs.
Exponential growth.
Just like our stock price.
Unrelated, obviously.
Satya told Mark we're at 30%.
Mark said he didn't know Meta's number.
Sundar said Google is also at 30%.
None of us know what the code does.
But we know the percentage.
Percentage is a metric.
Metrics go in earnings calls.
Earnings calls move stock prices.
Stock prices determine bonuses.
Bonuses determine success.
Success means the bugs don't matter.
Users asked when Windows will work again.
I said "we're committed to quality."
Quality means it ships.
Ships means it's your problem now.
Thank you for being part of the Microsoft family.
Family means you can't leave.
We're in your enterprise agreement.
For three more years.
The circle of innovation.
This brilliant cartoon clearly explains Trump’s current position on Ukraine. It is in Ukrainian with English subtitles. Share it with anyone who keeps repeating russian propaganda.
Qualche giorno fa è apparso sul Wall Street Journal un editoriale dal titolo eloquente “Le Nazioni si preparano per un mondo post-europeo”. L’autore W.R. Mead, membro dell’istituto Aspen Italia e di Aspenia, non è un trumpiano e nemmeno un sostenitore dell’America First ma la sua riflessione è comunque dolorosa e purtroppo puntuale. Leggiamo:🧵
My photo kissing a nuclear waste cask went viral and people had… opinions about it.
There was outrage, with many claiming it was dangerous and that I was hurting my future children (lol).
Here’s why kissing a nuclear waste cask is actually fine🧵
La giornata del Blackout Friday sui Pos ci fornisce alcune lezioni:
1) Gli svizzeri possono fare danni da disattenzione;
2) Le linee dati, principale e di backup, interrate nella stessa canalizzazione, sono un inno globale all'italianità;
3) I commercianti che piangono per le mancate vendite scordano la mirabile saggezza: "Il panettiere non lascia seccare lo sfilatino: segna a credito"
4) Finalmente moltissimi tassisti non hanno mentito, per un giorno;
This is Dario Amodei.
He's the CEO behind Claude, one of the world's most advanced AIs.
Yesterday, in a 5.5 hour conversation with @lexfridman, he revealed our timeline to superintelligence.
Let me save you 5 hours: 🧵
Programming languages have widely varying ability to communicate logic succinctly.
If you look at character counts of 10 basic programs in each, Java has 2x higher entropy than Python.
Very different result for natural spoken languages.
Oggi abbiamo lanciato una proposta di legge di iniziativa popolare per chiedere al parlamento e al governo di smetterla con le indecisioni e reintrodurre, all’interno del mix energetico, anche l’energia nucleare.
È una proposta che nasce dal lavoro in questi anni di tante associazioni che hanno fatto informazione e aumentato la consapevolezza dei cittadini in merito a queste tecnologie.
Oggi, è giunto il momento di fare un salto avanti e chiedere a tutti i cittadini di firmare, sia digitalmente con spid che nei banchetti e negli eventi che organizzeremo in tutta italia col comitato promotore “energia nucleare sì grazie”.
Dobbiamo raccogliere tante firme per obbligare il parlamento a non ignorarci e discutere del tema subito. Firmiamo firmiamo firmiamo!
https://t.co/9GbjuBnVa3
La pessima “economia dei sacrifici”.
Che delusione: un paternalismo fiscale ancora più complicato, ispirato alla triade Dio, Patria e Famiglia.
Il governo usa le tasse come un codice etico, invece che come un meccanismo di incentivi al lavoro e allo sviluppo, imponendo agli intermediari finanziari prestiti forzosi che si scaricheranno su imprese e cittadini.
È illusorio, oltre che dirigista, pensare che l’elemosina di stato alle famiglie servirà a favorire la natalità: oltre il 42% dei bambini nasce fuori dal matrimonio.
Il mio commento alla legge di bilancio su @ilriformista.