AbacusCap @abacuscap - Twitter Profile

about 6 hours ago

S&P 500 MAX DRAWDOWN IN MIDTERM ELECTION YEAR: 1962: -28.0% 1966: -22.2% 1970: -36.1% 1974: -48.2% 1978: -14.1% 1982: -27.1% 1986: -9.4% 1990: -19.9% 1994: -8.9% 1998: -19.3% 2002: -33.8% 2006: -7.7% 2010: -16.0% 2014: -7.4% 2018: -10.2% 2022: -25.4% NOT A SINGLE POSITIVE RETURN IN 60 YEARS 2026 ?

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AbacusCap

@AbacusCap

about 19 hours ago

SpaceX $SPCX IPO valuation at ~90x CY25 revenues at a IPO price of $135 is priced $TSLA, another Elon Musk company, is valued at 16x CY25 revenues as a comparison.

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AbacusCap

@AbacusCap

5 days ago

Bank of America claims 70% of bear indicators are active, but they keep a bullish 7,100 S&P target. History shows these signals hit early but the market can take it's time to peak.

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AbacusCap

@AbacusCap

5 days ago

Asia Stock Markets open: The benchmark S Korean KOSPI plunged sharply in early trading, falling as much as 8.37% triggering a circuit breaker and halting trading temporarily.

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Who to follow

StockMars

@StockMars

Not a financial advisor. $TE $IREN $SHAZ $FCEL $EOSE $CRWV $OUST $PONY $WRD $MBLY $OKLO $SMR $SOFI $MP $JOBY $ACHR $IONQ $RGTI $ASTS $RKLB $RDDT $CRWV $VST $VRT

Tut C🅰️pital

@kingtutcap

Critical and sarcastic thinker. Graduate from the school of life. Always learning. Never financial or investment advice.

SPAC Attack

@spac_attack

Trader of unique situations

AbacusCap retweeted

QE Infinity

@StealthQE4

23 days ago

This was 2023. Rick Santelli said he sees rates topping at 13-14% and everyone laughed at him. Are they still laughing? I’m not.

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AbacusCap

@AbacusCap

2 months ago

US stock market added $1,800,000,000,000. Just one statement from Iran. $spy $qqq $dia

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AbacusCap retweeted

Alex

@obchakevich_

3 months ago

x402 facilitators are already actively conducting transactions - and their number is greater than most people imagine. I analyzed transaction data on the chain for all x402 ecosystem projects from December 2025 to the present. Here's what I found. The x402 protocol allows AI agents to make autonomous micropayments on the chain - without the need for human approval. Think of it as a payment system for the agent internet. And it's already working productively. Over the tracking period, cumulative transactions in the ecosystem reached tens of millions. Activity peaked in November, when daily volume exceeded 3M transactions per day at the highest point of growth. Since then, the figure has stabilized at around 250K transactions per day - still a significant figure for an ecosystem that is only a few months old. The projects generating the most volume are x402 intermediaries - an infrastructure layer that routes and settles agent payments: - @0xPolygon: the largest single contributor by transaction count, providing the scalable blockchain layer that makes high-frequency micropayments economically viable. - @dexteraiagent : consistently generating high daily activity, positioning itself as a core routing layer within the ecosystem. - @PayAINetwork: showed strong early spikes, particularly in the February surge period, reflecting growing demand for AI-native payment infrastructure. - @virtuals_io: representing the AI agent side of the equation - autonomous agents actively using x402 rails to transact. I then modeled two scenarios of what the total transaction volume might look like by the end of 2026. The baseline scenario assumes that the current level of ~220K transactions per day will remain unchanged until the end of the year. According to this forecast, by December 31, 2026, the ecosystem will reach approximately 87M total transactions. The optimistic scenario assumes an increase to ~500K transactions per day by mid-2026, followed by 5% monthly growth as new agents and use cases emerge. On this trajectory, total transaction volume will exceed 200M by the end of the year. Both scenarios include a confidence range of ±30% to account for the inherent uncertainty of a rapidly changing ecosystem in its early stages of development. We are still in a very early stage. But the infrastructure is being built, the volumes are real, and the trajectory, even under conservative assumptions - points to significant scale.

obchakevich_'s tweet photo. x402 facilitators are already actively conducting transactions - and their number is greater than most people imagine.

I analyzed transaction data on the chain for all x402 ecosystem projects from December 2025 to the present. Here's what I found.

The x402 protocol allows AI agents to make autonomous micropayments on the chain - without the need for human approval. Think of it as a payment system for the agent internet. And it's already working productively.

Over the tracking period, cumulative transactions in the ecosystem reached tens of millions. Activity peaked in November, when daily volume exceeded 3M transactions per day at the highest point of growth. Since then, the figure has stabilized at around 250K transactions per day - still a significant figure for an ecosystem that is only a few months old.

The projects generating the most volume are x402 intermediaries - an infrastructure layer that routes and settles agent payments:

- @0xPolygon: the largest single contributor by transaction count, providing the scalable blockchain layer that makes high-frequency micropayments economically viable.

- @dexteraiagent : consistently generating high daily activity, positioning itself as a core routing layer within the ecosystem.

- @PayAINetwork: showed strong early spikes, particularly in the February surge period, reflecting growing demand for AI-native payment infrastructure.

- @virtuals_io: representing the AI agent side of the equation - autonomous agents actively using x402 rails to transact.

I then modeled two scenarios of what the total transaction volume might look like by the end of 2026.

The baseline scenario assumes that the current level of ~220K transactions per day will remain unchanged until the end of the year. According to this forecast, by December 31, 2026, the ecosystem will reach approximately 87M total transactions.

The optimistic scenario assumes an increase to ~500K transactions per day by mid-2026, followed by 5% monthly growth as new agents and use cases emerge. On this trajectory, total transaction volume will exceed 200M by the end of the year.

Both scenarios include a confidence range of ±30% to account for the inherent uncertainty of a rapidly changing ecosystem in its early stages of development.

We are still in a very early stage. But the infrastructure is being built, the volumes are real, and the trajectory, even under conservative assumptions - points to significant scale.

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AbacusCap retweeted

kevin

@kleffew94

3 months ago

x402 is an effort to form an open web standard for payments over http. It is network agnostic and will support card intents as well as stablecoins. Broadly, the x402 community is working toward solving a specific problem set for LLM-driven economic activity here. 1.) Tool discovery and payment without a human in the loop: Agents can call an endpoint and receive standardized pricing and settlement terms like asset, price, and receipt format at request time, without a human first setting up billing. 2.) Economic reasoning for LLM tool calling: Per-call pricing gives models real cost signals embedded into context so they can budget, compare options, and make decisions based on marginal cost. Money becomes an alignment signal, similar to how it coordinates activity in the broader economy. With legacy API structure, it is difficult for agents to concretely reason about cost. 3.) Pay + Earn in a single agent runtime: PKI Wallet flows architectures agents to earn, hold, and spend in one runtime. With credit cards, agents can spend, but they can't easily earn to a bank account today. This construct enables true autonomous workflows.

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AbacusCap retweeted

Coinbase Developer Platform🛡️

@CoinbaseDev

3 months ago

x402, a open and neutral standard for internet-native payments.

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AbacusCap

@AbacusCap

3 months ago

$Virtual ERC 8183

Virtuals Protocol @virtuals_io

3 months ago

https://t.co/W7gzclxJ7h

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AbacusCap retweeted

Delphi Digital

@Delphi_Digital

5 months ago

https://t.co/NImJOtWMfk

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AbacusCap

@AbacusCap

5 months ago

$BLKH at $400k. The privacy + agent economy narrative is exploding. @blkh_io is building the new standard for decentralized, self-custodial privacy infrastructure on Base — a cryptographic firewall for on-chain AI agents and users. Core features: - Shielded deposits/withdrawals (ZK-Ingress & Private Egress) - Balance sharding (fragments assets to break tracking) - Private swaps (atomic, intent-hidden DeFi trades) - Ephemeral signers for execution privacy Private Swaps now live and validated in internal testnet (as of Jan 16, 2026), fully integrating shielded deposits, sharding, swaps, and egress. Tech is real and shipping fast — public app update incoming soon. 🧐 Close competitors: $MUTE $3M, $PRXVT $2M mktcaps.

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AbacusCap retweeted