The forest was shrinking but the trees kept voting for the axe, for the axe was clever and convinced the trees that because his handle was made of wood he was one of them.
-Turkish Proverb
Polls have been wrong every election, and will be wrong again this cycle. Polls can't predict a. the turnout (how many), and b. composition (makeup) of the electorate.
WOW. This is Penn State University waiting to see AOC campaign for Kamala Harris right now. Massive line of young people waiting in line. Gen Z is so fired up & ready to elect Vice President Harris. Amazing.
@EricTilbury_RTB Uses an AI-enabled machine-learning classifier which maximizes the impact of your creative in your target audience, while minimizing buy-side investment. aka bid low, increase your bid until you win.
Polls are underestimating Kamala's strength, not 'shy Trump' voters. Polls turnout models are outdated, and this year, more women and young people will vote. That benefits Kamala, not Trump. 2024 is a different game than 2016.
@NateSilver538 Does your model adjust for turn-out differences between '20 and '24? Some evidence that '24 turnout amongst women, African American, and youth may be higher
Rest In Peace "Der Kaiser" Franz Beckenbauer. The 7-year old me wanted to grow up to be him. One of the greatest players, coaches, and managers to ever play the game. He revolutionized the sweeper position, and made Adidas track suites world famous.
Franz Beckenbauer has passed. This is long but you’ll see why.
Lucky to have spent time with him at a charity event 18 years ago where I had done a comedy set. He came over to say he that appreciated my “I’m the only Iranian comedian in the world, which is technically 3 more than Germany” joke.
I wasn’t sure if he was being serious so asked if it was offensive to him and he said “not at all.” I asked why. He said “because I am NOT German. I am Bavarian.” I asked what’s the difference, he said “big difference. I have a soul.” When I laughed he suddenly went all mock mechanical and Teutonic “Ya, I am zo funny. You vant I write jokes for you?” and then proceeded to tell stories of Germans who thought they were funny but who were, in his opinion “less funny than Geoff Hurst goal that never crossed the line. Imagine!”
To win everything in a football you have to be sharp. And funny, obviously.
RIP a wonderful human being ❤️