Abouvandabe

[Abouvandabe @abouvandabe]

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[Casey Barnett @caseydbarnett]

As of 12:00 a.m., December 22, 2025, Thailand has conducted 23 airstrikes on Cambodia, destroying military targets and civilian infrastructure, including primary schools, pagodas, and bridges (bombings listed below).

The Thai airstrikes are unanswered. Cambodia does not have its own fighter aircraft or any surface-to-air defenses. The conflict has resulted in the displacement of 518,611 Cambodians.(1) Thailand also reports 213,072 people displaced out of precaution from Cambodian artillery fire.(2) Khmer people are suffering. The Thai provinces along the border are populated by Khmer people, such as Surin province, which is estimated to be at least 63% Khmer.(3)

Thailand agreed to an unconditional ceasefire on July 28, 2025, pressured by U.S. President Trump. President Trump oversaw the signing of the Kuala Lumpur Peace Accord by Thai Prime Minister Anutin and Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet on October 26, 2025. However, on November 10, 2025, Thai Prime Minister Anutin announced that Thailand was suspending the peace accord.(4,5)

Anutin’s public reason for cancelling the peace accord was that four Thai soldiers were injured by a landmine on a jungle path in disputed territory on November 10, 2025.(6)

However, Anutin is influenced by political calculus. Anutin, leader of the Bhumjaithai Party (“Thai Pride Party”) became prime minister on September 5, 2025, with the help of the much larger People’s Power Party which called for a referendum on the constitution to shift power from the unelected Senate. Anutin falsely agreed to support a referendum as October 1, 2025.(7)

Anutin’s November 10 cancellation of peace accord occurred only after he was aware that he would face an election. On November 5, 2025, Anutin himself stated “If we can’t win the political game, we’ll dissolve the House”.(8) Early elections became even more certain for Anutin on November 9, 2025, when the People’s Party demanded an extraordinary session for constitutional amendment, rejected by Anutin.(9)

Adding to Anutin's desperation, his approval rating dropped from 48% to only 23% following the slow response to floods in Southern Thailand from November 21-24.(10)

The commencement of war with Cambodia on December 7, 2025, strategically positioned Anutin for reelection ahead of the dissolution of parliament on December 12, 2025.

References
Displaced people in Cambodia: https://t.co/2ap7472tnf
Displaced people in Thailand: https://t.co/KLxHuNryw8
Thai census including Khmer speakers in Surin province: https://t.co/nah4M7jnCS
Anutin suspension of peace accord: https://t.co/ltn0wjCURY
Anutin says the peace accord is void: https://t.co/I2KSi8B2Ug
6. Thai rationale for ending peace accord: https://t.co/mlKPhFSosq
7. Anutin public support for a constitutional referendum: https://t.co/5KzC6ypyIB
8. Anutin threat to dissolve parliament: https://t.co/sho13s1r2z
9. People’s Power Ultimatum to Anutin: https://t.co/CeLPUnxOW2
10. Anutin drop in the polls: https://t.co/tYYYBQQSXw
11. IMF report on Thai economy and weakness: https://t.co/0gdD4Fftej

List of Thai Airstrikes on Cambodia

July 24, 2025, F-16 bombs a road near the 11th-century temple Preah Vihear, https://t.co/taU40P073w

July 24, 2025, F-16 bombs border area (An Ses border checkpoint), https://t.co/ooOP2grXov

July 26, 2025, F-16 and Gripen bomb Ta Krabey area, https://t.co/HtoGO9WbDb

July 27, 2025, F-16 bombing of Ta Krabey and Ta Muan temple areas, https://t.co/Ff8ylspB0a

December 8, 2025 at 09:05 am, Thai force Attacked Cambodian troops using F16- Fighter Jet at Sra Em Commune, Choam Ksan District, Preah Vihear Province, https://t.co/ARisG5kCVT

Dec 08, 2025 at 13:02, Thai force began using F-16 Fighter jets to bomb Mum Bei 3 times with a total of 9 bombs
Source: CNC, Ministry of national defense

December 8, 2025, Griben bombin of Lim Heng Casino, O’Smach, https://t.co/j3c41BzwK7

December 9, 2025, F-16 bombing in Oddar meanchey province, https://t.co/zxte6eftFz

December 11, 2025, F-16 bombing of Banteay Ampil District, Oddar Meanchey province, https://t.co/jzumbGzcYz

December 13, 2025, F-16 bombing of Thmor Da bridges and hotel buildings, Pursat province, https://t.co/lVHZ1qr1TL

December 15, 2025, F-16 bombing of O Jik bridge, Srei Snam District, Siem Reap province, https://t.co/RJ8jtQmxxY

December 15, 2025, F-16 bombing in Banteay Meanchey province, https://t.co/nVexcKYre9

Dec 18, 2025 at 09:51am, the Thai military deployed F-16 fighter jets to bomb the area of Phnom Kmoch, Preah Vichear province
Source: Ministry of national defense

Dec 18, 2025 at 10:07am, the Thai military deployed F-16 fighter jets to bomb the area of Peak Sbeak.
Source: Ministry of National Defense

Dec 18, 2025 at 11:06am, the Thai military deployed 2 bombs F-16 fighter jets to bomb the area of Poi Pet Municipality, Banteay Meanchey Province
Source: Ministry of national defense

Dec 18, 2025 at 14:32, the Thai military deployed F-16 fighter jets and dropped 2 bombs in the area of Serei Saophoan, Banteay Meanchey Province.
Source: Ministry of national defense

Dec 18, 2025 at 14:45, the Thai military deployed F-16 fighter jets and dropped 1 more bomb in the area of Serei Saophoan, Banteay Meanchey Province.
Source: Ministry of national defense

Dec 19, 2025 at 15:30, the Thai military deployed F-16 fighter jets to bomb the area of Peak Sbaek
Source: Ministry of national defense

Dec 19, 2025 at 22:55, the Thai military deployed a first strike of F-16 fighter jets to bombard and destroy the O' Jik Bridge area at the border area between Chong Kal district Oddar Meanchey Province and Srei Snam District, Siem Reap province.
Source: Ministry of national defense

Dec 19, 2025, at 23:00, the Second boom of F-16 fighter jets dropped and destroyed the O' Jik Bridge area at the border area between Chong Kal district Oddar Meanchey Province and Srei Snam District, Siem Reap province.
Source: Ministry of national defense

Dec 19, 2025, at 23:10, the Third boom of F-16 fighter jet dropped and destroyed the O' Jik Bridge area at the border area between Chong Kal district Oddar Meanchey Province and Srei Snam District, Siem Reap province.
Source: Ministry of national defense

Dec 20, 2025, at 1:01am-11:16, the Thai military has deployed F-16 fighter jets to drop 2 bombs aimed to destroy Primary School, located in Thmar Da Commune, Veal Veng District, Pursat Province.
Source: Ministry of national defense

December 21, 2025, 1:00 p.m. Thai F-16 strike in the 5th Military Region at the area of Phkoam Commune, Svay Chek District, Banteay Meanchey province at around 1PM today.

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