Andrew Brown

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh No chance she can win it. Puzzled as to why it wasn't called an hour ago.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh No reason why Georgia hasn't been called. The numbers I see there is no chance she can win.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh This is great news. His early votes are nearly as good as his final tally in 2020.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@FrankLdR3 @EricLDaugh That's only early votes. If you are for Trump this is very good. His early is nearly as good as the final from 2020.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh I did quite well in Civics. And I voted for Donald Trump.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh @SocalStrategies You sure about that? LOL. Seltzer poll was so bad.

[Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh]

On Tuesday, we will be fortunate enough, folks, to know the tone for the night very early on. If you know where to look. Maybe this will give some of you hope of not waiting until 1AM to know where this thing might go:

1) All day, FLORIDA will have live election day turnout numbers. That means knowing how many Repubs/Dems/Inds are voting... it is a red state, BUT again, the trends seen in FL early voting are in other states. So, we will watch for any "surge" from either side in Florida, and it will set the tone for what we might see in other states, such as North Carolina and Georgia.

2) Once again, we will have quick results from Florida bellwethers like Duval and Pinellas by 7:30 easily. Duval has always voted to the LEFT of Georgia in modern history. So... we will watch Duval County early in the night to give us an idea of Georgia.

3) Then, North Carolina + Georgia counting should come in relatively quickly. Obviously, we will watch the urban counties for "blood in the water" as the rurals pour in as well.

Indiana + Ohio will also start coming in earlier in the night, and there are some counties and indicators to watch there.

4) Pennsylvania is a bit of a wildcard, but I hear Allegheny County may drop some results quick. That's a county we can compare the margins to Trump 2016/2020 to see where he may be at.

5) From there, we are likely at 9/10/11PM as we wait for more meaningful results from PA/MI/WI, and of course Iowa... and then NV and AZ. At that point, we hopefully know where the race is trending.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@enthusedman @crensonator @IAPolls2022 Anytime. I’ll do it again on Tuesday night and we’ll see who the clown is buddy.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@enthusedman @crensonator @IAPolls2022 Atlas Intel was the most accurate poll in 2020. They just dropped eight polls. Trump was ahead nationally, and in six of the seven battleground states, only Wisconsin was barely for Harris. No chance Iowa goes to Harris.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@kimber67909 @weenywaney @Polymarket So why did Emerson just release a poll that said Trump up 9 in Iowa?(Every other poll agrees with Emerson)

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@Polymarket And then the more reliable Emerson released a poll today that Trump up 9 in Iowa...

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh I'm puzzled. Someone help. The one stupid poll in Iowa, Emerson released an Iowa Trump up nine, the rest looks great for Trump, but the markets are plummeting for Trump? Why?

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh Eric Thanks for all the info. You're my go-to for election information. Trump 2024

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@TheDancuso Put down what you're smoking. Trump 99.99% takes Iowa.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh What a joke of a poll.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh I was wondering about this. She’s had a couple of decent polls but nothing you would think that should cause this much of a reaction.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh @Rasmussen_Poll Why do you think the betting markets are moving so much towards Harris last couple days. Manipulation or some other cause?

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@Polymarket What has happened to give Harris momentum?

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@EricLDaugh It's the only blue poll of the last ELEVEN on Real Clear in Pennsylvania.

[Andrew Brown @abrown0077]

@dennisrumet @EricLDaugh As much as they've demonized Trump over the last 8 years I can't imagine anybody thinking " Well I was going to vote for the guy they've tried to prosecute, impeach, and falsely call a racist, but this joke that an unaffiliated comedian told crosses the line."