Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD

Political affairs

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

Time Remaining until 30 November 2029
https://t.co/HBbrgSh3NB

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

SAUDI OIL | ENERGY SECURITY
The Houthis claim new attacks on Saudi oil-pumping stations. Any escalation threatening oil fields, refineries, pipelines or export terminals could disrupt supplies, increase price volatility & send shockwaves through the global economy #SaudiArabia

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

Why not, at this point, build the EU’s new space infrastructure in the Arctic—Greenland, Svalbard, Faroe Islands—or in Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, the British Virgin Islands, French Guiana, Curaçao? Then claim you’re saving the Arctic or investing in the new green economy! 🚀🛰️

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

Earth observation can save lives—but it can also strengthen defence capabilities. As the EU expands its space infrastructure, who sets the priorities, who captures the industrial benefits, and how does European strategic autonomy shape the use of dual-use technologies? #EUDefence

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

Mr @KubiliusA presents Earth observation as a tool for humanitarian aid, disaster response and crop monitoring. Yet, as Commissioner for Defence, Industry & Space, he also oversees a portfolio in which satellite technology serves security and military objectives. #EUDefence

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

Message to PA. My email is: [email protected]

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

NAME "P." — if you recognize this message, please DM me. I’m seeking independent legal assistance for ongoing CJEU cases in Luxembourg. For your safety, please send only a brief message initially; no sensitive details or documents.

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

ABI Observatory | Democracy Watch
🇷🇸 Serbia: Student-backed opposition challenges ruling bloc.
🇧🇷 Brazil: Lula’s victory faces a potential legal challenge.
🇦🇱 Albania: Anti-corruption proceedings and protests.
🇬🇪 Georgia: Court considers banning opposition parties.

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

3/3 Before Brussels orders more icebreakers, perhaps the Arctic needs more fire prevention, too. 🔥🛰️ @eu_eeas

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

2/3 In the Arctic, lit areas may include:
🏘️ Settlements — towns, villages and buildings.
🏭 Industrial sites — mines, oil and gas facilities.
🚢 Transport infrastructure — ports, roads and other illuminated facilities. @eu_eeas

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

1/3 Arctic rearmament & fire prevention
A 2026 study found Arctic fires occurred 2.45× more often in artificially lit areas than in climatically similar unlit areas (2001–2013). @eu_eeas

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

🇪🇹🇰🇪 ETHIOPIA–KENYA | SECURITY
Reuters reports 9 deaths near Moyale and 2,500 Ethiopians displaced into Kenya. A volatile border zone.

⚠️ EEAS: Coordinate with EU Delegations in Addis Ababa and Nairobi; verify security before deployment.

#Ethiopia #Kenya #EEAS

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

🌍 MY WORLD MONITORING | 24 OCT 2026
🦠 Ebola: Central and east Africa.
🌀 Taiwan: Typhoon damage and power outages.
🚢 Hormuz: Rising maritime security risks.

Satellite night-light changes not yet verified.
#Ebola #Taiwan #Hormuz

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

🇲🇲 MYANMAR | POLITICAL & ENVIRONMENTAL WATCH
Aung San Suu Kyi has reportedly spoken to her son for the first time in over five years.
Government garden NDVI: A tentative seasonal range of −0.02 to +0.02 is a hypothesis only—not a satellite observation.

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

📊 ABI | Authoritarian Backsliding Index
5 risk dimensions:
🏛️ Institutions 25%
🗞️ Civil liberties & media 20%
⚖️ Rule of law 20%
🚨 Security powers 15%
💰 State capture 20%

Scale: 0–100; higher = greater risk.
#Democracy #ABI

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

🇸🇩 Sudan's reported drone strike raises urgent questions about civilian protection and accountability. Responsibility remains unverified.

My analysis of drone warfare:
https://t.co/9C13FUbco6
#Sudan #DroneWarfare

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

🇪🇨 Ecuador, 22 October: Former presidential candidate Luisa González was arrested in an investigation into alleged campaign-financing irregularities involving about US$500,000 in advertising expenditure. The allegations remain subject to due process.

#Ecuador #RuleOfLaw #ABI

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

🇧🇫 #Burkina le Faso, 20 October: The transitional legislature unanimously restored the death penalty for offences including terrorism, espionage and treason. Adoption is confirmed; future use against political opponents remains uncertain. Due process matters.

#RuleOfLaw #ABI

[Alfio Cerami, BA, MA, PhD @acerami]

🇻🇪 Venezuela 23.10.2026: Thousands demand free elections. No date is set. When the lights go out, democracy, livelihoods and accountability are all at stake.

My analysis: https://t.co/QrEO85X1zi

#Venezuela #Democracy #ABI