ॐ नमः शिवाय
Another one side movment day ka decide kar liya Hai
Lekin bataunga jab
Jab is Tweet ko 1000 Retweet with comments ho jayenge
नहीं तो अपना राम अपन�� मन में।
जय श्री राम
🕉️🇮🇳🚩
@InvestorOfJAMMU Are you serious?
- 320 ipos in 2025
- mean reversion not happened post march 2020
- mtf book 1.12 lc crore
- markt cap to gdp 143%
List are still many.
Stocks wise it may but don’t you think a healthy mean reversion, for good market.
@ChikouTrader@piyush_trades is the brand ambassador of 20k and this furu believes that 20k will be hit this year itself..open challenges like leaving twitter if 20k doesn't come etc etc😂
@Rishabhh005 this guy having aug 2025 target as 21k..postponing date on monthly basis fooling people😂
@Rishabhh005@LatherSahil@Rishabhh005 , dear nifty is side ways isn’t it? There is no chance looking at current conditions that wave c is even forming. Can you please recheck your counts?
My #notes for you 🙏
#Bookmark for reference
Markets losing "surprise element" -
becoming predictable using Elliott Wave theory
•Last 4 months: able to predict every bottom with "utmost precision"
•Currently in consolidating market - ABC correction pattern
•Every 4-hour divergence working "like a charm"
Personal Trading Performance & Strategy
•Went "all in" on September 29th after deploying all money
•PnL this year already double last year's full-year performance
•Two accounts: Cash portfolio (Paytm) held until targets, F&O account (Zerodha) for active trading
•Currently long Bank Nifty and Mid Select futures
•Never trades options - advocates against option trading
•Focus on futures without time consideration
Recent Trading Calls & Accuracy
•Predicted bottom August 11th, top August 22nd, bottom August 29th
•Went all-in on realty and defense August 29th
•Shorted Nifty at 25,400 (actual top was 25,450 - within 30-40 points)
•Closed all shorts September 29th and went long again
•Used Elliott Wave theory with 4-hour and 2-hour timeframes
•Simple wave counting: find 5 waves and look for divergence between 3rd and 5th waves
Current Nifty Targets & Levels
•Current level: 24,900
•Three profit booking levels: 5%, 15%, 25% higher
◦5% = 26,300
◦15% = 28,600
◦25% = 31,000
•Will not short at these levels, only book longs
•Expects all 5 green days next week
•Ultimate target: 33,000 (99% probability based on 1.618 extension)
Bank Nifty Analysis
•Currently at 55,500
•Near-term target: 58,000 (4-4.5% higher)
•Long-term target: 73,260 (32% higher over 7-8 months)
•Kotak Bank showing strength at golden pocket (0.618 Fibonacci)
•Axis Bank breakdown in July signaled market correction
•Bank Nifty leading the way up
USD/INR Chart Analysis Secret
•Key insight: Look at Nifty divided by USD/INR on TradingView
•Nifty in dollar terms show clearer Elliott Wave patterns
•Rupee depreciated 1.5-2% in September, inflating asset prices artificially
•Many analysts failed because they weren't looking at dollar-denominated charts
•Recommends viewing all major indices in USD terms
Sector Outlook & Recommendations
Gold Analysis & Strategy
•Current level: $3,900+ (₹118,000)
•Gold has "no demand and no supply" - purely currency dependent
•Secret: Forecast gold by looking at DXY (dollar index) inverted
•Expects 2.5% correction to $3,790 before resuming uptrend
•Will wait for correction, not short the trend
•In India: Double tailwind (international prices + rupee depreciation)
Silver Analysis
•Started bull market 1.5 years after gold (late 2024)
•Rose from ₹82,000 to ₹145,000 (bought at ₹82,000)
•No divergence on weekly charts - top not close
•Expects to reach ₹170,000
•70% of move completed, 30% remaining
•Resistance at $47.4, expects 4-5% cooldown for 2-4 weeks
Investment view
Alternative Investments
•Brazil mutual fund (HSBC) over China exposure
•Structural stories: Defense, EV (Ola Electric disclosure), drone technology
•US-focused companies to benefit from rupee depreciation (97-100 target)
Safe Parking Options (when market tops)
•Government bonds > corporate bonds > arbitrage funds > money market funds > fixed deposits
•Arbitrage funds: Equity taxation (12.5% LTCG) with FD-like returns
Elliott Wave Education Advice
•Don't learn from 70-year-old books
•Learn from real-time practitioners with screen sharing
•Combine with ratio charts, Fibonacci, swing failure patterns
•Elliott Wave alone is "garbage" - needs multiple confirmations
Q&A Highlights
•Premium group: Capacity 250, entries blocked for 2 weeks
•SIF funds: Too new, wait for performance history
•US markets: Expecting major crash in 2030 (50% decline)
•Rupee target: 97-100 near-term, 60 in 5 years