Muktar AbdiKadir Adow

[Abdirashid Hashi @AnalystSomalia]

UN member states can arrange access for guests to parts of the UN during the General Assembly, subject to tight accreditation and security arrangements during High-Level Week.

So, yes, with friends willing to sponsor and facilitate them — Netanyahu and the Israelis, presumably — the Somaliland travelling party may well get into the UN complex on Manhattan’s East Side and watch some proceedings.

And in September, delegations, officials and lobbyists crisscross the UN building and in Manhattan hotels, and receptions. There will be plenty of opportunities for photographs, but not necessarily meetings of any substance.

If in the USA they will probably also meet a couple of State Department officials or career diplomats. And may even travel a city or two to meet diaspora groups.

But the world is extraordinarily tense right now. Even leaders of major G20 countries struggle to secure meaningful bilateral meetings during UNGA week. Presidents of recognized African states or international organizations arrive in New York and sometimes barely register amid hundreds of bigger leaders and or crises competing for Washington’s and UNGA delegates’ attention.

I would venture to say all IGAD and East African states will barely meet anyone bigger than them , let alone a tahriibi-yed leader of an unrecognized enclave, smuggled into the proceedings by none other than perhaps the most unpopular politician at the event — Netanyahu!

Of course, there may be some Mickey Mouse meetings in real-world terms: a photo-op with Senator Cruz here, lunch with some magafayaal — lobbyists — there, and a feel-good luncheon with talkative-but-not-listened-to folks such as Ambassador Tibor Nagy, diplomat-pretending priest Peter Pham, Michael Rubin and others. Gavin Williamson, the British backbencher, may even trek across the Atlantic to help out with this unrealizable pet project. Some media and think-tank appearances can also be arranged and bankrolled by friends with cash.

None of this, however, will in my estimation register in U.S. policy circles.

What is more amusing is how badly some of their own people seem to be reading Washington.

The spokesman for the Somaliland president, @Huseindeyr, recently tried to sell recognition to the United States and Israel by warning that the Saudi-Türkiye-Pakistan defence agreement risked turning the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden into a sphere of:

“STRATEGIC DOMINANCE BY SUNNI MUSLIM STATES.”

He then asked:

“What strategic response do the #US, #Israel, #EU and their allies have to this emerging challenge?”

His proposed answer, naturally, was recognition of Somaliland.

He subsequently deleted the post.

The problem was not merely the rather extraordinary idea of trying to frighten Washington with “Sunni Muslim states.” Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan are all longstanding American partners; Türkiye is a NATO ally.

Worse still, apparently unbeknownst to him, President Trump was saying almost precisely the opposite.

Trump wrote after the agreement:

“Very happy to see that Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan have recently, and finally, signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement.”

He called it:

“A BIG, BOLD, AND IMPORTANT FIRST STEP — WOW!”

In short, I would not say the trip will be entirely futile. Shopping will happen in New York, and when they return, my friend @khadarlooge will brief the media that their travelling party was “received at the highest levels” and accorded maqaam aad u sarreeya — as has long been the habit when secessionist leaders return from overseas trips.

And, as you guessed, the recognition project will probably be exactly where it was before they left.

And no, there will be no real itinerary to speak of.

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

@DrBaadiyow Confronting a problem and giving it a name is not the same thing.

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

@DrBaadiyow It is a safer sort of despair, not courage, to make a diagnosis without stating who gains from the dysfunction. Declaring losing the capacity to envision a better future while providing no real alternative runs the danger of becoming the exact resignation it purports to criticize

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

@DrBaadiyow The boiling frog analogy is intelligent yet conveniently sidesteps responsibility; we have come to accept corruption, and violence obscures the truth that some have profited from each issue while others merely suffered through it.

[George Galloway @georgegalloway]

Netanyahu just indicated his intention imminently to use nuclear weapons against Iran. Any nuclear power in existential danger - as Israel clearly now is - would do so. This would be a world-altering moment however. Not only would hundreds of thousands of Iranians perish in the blast, fall out, and subsequent nuclear winter but the entire Gulf, US satraps included, would be blighted forever. US public opinion would be stress tested beyond endurance. European governments, all of them, would have to answer for their enabling of such an unambiguously genocidal act. Russia and China would draw certain conclusions…

[Shailesh Pal @pallshailesh55]

@georgegalloway Today Middle East crisis.
Tomorrow Taiwan Strait.
Next year Kashmir.

When the nuclear taboo breaks once it breaks everywhere.

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

@ahmednasirlaw Exporting human capital as a stop-gap solution is not a cause for celebration; it’s a glaring indictment of leadership’s inability to provide dignified opportunities within national borders.

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

@ahmednasirlaw The anxiety on the faces of these graduates reveals a deeper despair: They are a generation whose aspirations have been systematically undermined by governance failures, corruption, and a lack of strategic economic planning.

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

The SACP CC's analysis of 2024 elections, response to GNU @politicsweb https://t.co/YOCy9GUKXH

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

GNU really a grand coalition between ANC and racist DA – EFF @politicsweb https://t.co/vXkZnD5VL9

[Prof Jonathan Moyo @ProfJNMoyo]

ANC MAKES A FAUSTIAN BARGAIN WITH THE DA, GIVING THE WHITE-LED MINORITY PARTY VETO POWER IN THE INCOMING SO-CALLED GNU

On the eve of Cyril Ramaphosa’s inauguration as South Africa’s president for an uncertain second term he’s unlikely to complete; a term certain to be remembered as the lowest moment for the ANC since 1994; the white-led opposition DA is poised to take control of the new coalition government – wrongly called a ‘GNU’ – after the DA effectively secured veto power in the ‘Statement of Intent and Modalities’ pact, a Faustian bargain it signed with the ANC, in which Africa’s oldest liberation movement inexplicably traded everything to benefit Ramaphosa’s standing with white monopoly capital.

The DA’s effective veto power in the decision matrix of South Africa’s incoming coalition government is apparent under paragraphs 18 to 23 of the ‘Statement of Intent and Modalities’ pact.

Paragraphs 18 to 23 of the pact are about how decisions will be taken or made in the or by the so-called GNU; and they provide as follows:

“18. The GNU shall take decisions in accordance with the established practice of consensus. Where no consensus is possible, the principle of sufficient consensus shall apply.
19. Sufficient consensus exists when;
19.1 All parties have had the opportunity to express their views; 19.2 Despite reasonable attempts to resolve disagreements, and find common ground, there is no general consensus;
19.3 Parties to the GNU representing 60% of seats in the National Assembly agree; and
19.4 Any party that disagrees has been able to formally record their objections.”

In summary, the ANC/DA coalition government will “take decisions in accordance with the established practice of consensus”, which basically means decisions will be made by general agreement or by unanimous consent.

Where such consent or consensus is not achieved, decisions will be made in terms of what the ANC/DA Statement of Intent and Modalities describes as “the principle of sufficient consensus”; which, under paragraph 19.3, means a decision that does not have general consensus or unanimous consent will need or require the support or agreement of political parties in the coalition pact that represent 60% of seats in the National Assembly.

‘Sufficient consensus’ is therefore political parties in the coalition pact that represent 60% of seats in the National Assembly. With the ‘GNU” doors effectively closed for the MK and EFF, there is no way under the sun that the ANC can muster such ‘sufficient consensus’ without the DA.

As such, by agreeing to the 60% figure as the threshold of sufficient consensus for taking or making decisions in the ‘GNU’ government, the ANC effectively handed the DA veto power. Ramaphosa’s ‘government’ will not be able to make decisions without the agreement of the DA.

Put differently, 'sufficient consensus' is the DA's veto power in the so-called GNU.

This means that, effectively, the ANC has handed back power, essentially freedom, to the DA: a white-led minority political party, reminiscent of the white-led minority National Party in the apartheid years.

What this means is that the ANC, the first liberation movement to be formed in Africa way back over a century ago in 1912 when Chairman Mao was a schoolboy; and the last on the Continent to reclaim freedom in 1994; has made history yet again as the first liberation movement in Africa to voluntarily hand back power or freedom back to the white minority on a silver platter.

Finish and klaar.

This is why so many across the progressive world in the global south are genuinely concerned about the unfolding situation in South Africa.

It is breathtaking!

Link: ANC/DA 'GNU' Statement of Intent and Modalities
https://t.co/ymYpRQzPjc

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

Raceballs 24: Throttled by whiteness @politicsweb https://t.co/LAYI2MS3Cu

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

A new dawn for South Africa @politicsweb https://t.co/jFUmEOm502

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

wild dogs devouring a buffalo calf, the mother and other buffalo passively observed, illustrating the importance of unity, similar to the current situation of the Palestinian people. Seyid Mohamed Abdille Hassan's poem, "Maandhow cayaayirka iga daa, carabi waa naage,"

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

@agbontaen_peter @abassolami11 @renoomokri Being fluent or good in english does not mean that you are intelligent because having an intellectual mind is not just being educated and being good enough to use the international language. Learn to respect first before you treat yourself as an intelligent person.

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

@PresidencyZA Пожалуйста, познакомьтесь с президентом Зелнским, не нужно слушать лекцию от людей в военной форме. Вы там как посланники мира, а не войны.

[PEC @PECPuntland]

"The enthusiasm of voters is on full display. From the crack of dawn, as early as 5 a.m., queues have formed at polling stations, reflecting the determination of Puntland citizens to make their voices heard."

#PLGE

[Mindful Maven @mindfulmaven_]

Before you talk - Consider
Before you pray - Believe
Before you speak - Listen
Before you spend - Earn
Before you react - Think
Before you play - Work
Before you take - Give
Before you run- Walk
Before you quit - Try
Before you die - Live

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

https://t.co/tskoqug9N8

[Art of Thinking @Art0fThinking]

In 3 words or less how can you instantly change your mindset?

[Muktar AbdiKadir Adow @adow_muktar]

@FarahMaalimM it is not the time for a junior to counsel you on how to grow, develop and stretch your leadership skills to its full potential, but rather it is the time for you to empower and promote leaders from the larger Ausha for your imminent retirement replacement.