The likely resolution of the conflict would be:
The United States severely damages Iran’s infrastructure and oil industry.
The United States withdraws from the war.
An agreement between Iran and the rest of the world, including Arab countries, Europe, Australia, and others. Iran allows passage through the Strait of Hormuz with a toll.
An agreement between Iran and Gulf countries. No further attacks in exchange for financial support from Gulf countries for reconstruction and joint business ventures.
Israel achieves its objective: a weaker Iran and, ultimately, what it really wanted “the Venice of Arabia”, meaning influence or control over part of Lebanon.
#iran #war #iranwar
Nothing new: ⭕️ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of the listed country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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