Exit Strategy
The balance between 'letting winners ride' and 'not roundtripping to zero' is thin.
95% either sell everything too early or hold back to zero.
Hardly any talk about this, so letās dive in: šš§µ
1. Mindset
1.1 Acceptance and understand the goal
Accept you wonāt sell everything at the topāitās not the goal.
95% of the people try this, and 99% sell too early or hold to zero.
Set a new goal: sell higher than you bought and leave with more money than you started.
1.2 Don't compare yourself
Seeing others make millions doesnāt mean youāve failed if you don't hit that while managing a 4-digit portfolio.
$10k is a lot.
$100k is a lot.
$1m is a lot.
Itās all relative.
Chasing Twitter exceptions will make you roundtrip. Donāt aim for their numbersāfocus on growing what you have.
1.3 Longer term view
Stop aiming to get rich and retire this cycle. Most will feel itās not enough at the end, even with multiples of what they started with.
This mindset leads to roundtripping. Think long-term.
Each cycle teaches you many lessons, and if you can manage to also end up with a big cash increase into the next bear market, you can compound gains and knowledge in the next cycle.
Many underestimate it how powerful it is to have a lot of cash into the next big downtrend.
Donāt aim to make it this cycleāaim for the next or the one after.
A few might get lucky with big wins, but most roundtrip 5-7 figures chasing more.
2. Have a plan
Donāt plan with the euphoric you during parabolic moves and falling dominance.
Plan with the current you:
> How will I scale out?
> Where (target zones) will I sell more?
> What do I not want to see in the markets?
> What do I do when I do see it?
> What if a position moves early but super hard?
3. Selling habit and gradually over time
Selling during strong price moves is hardāyouāll feel like it will keep going and youāll miss out.
Start now by selling small batches to build a habit and become more robotic.
Set a slow pace (e.g., sell 0.5%-1% every two weeks) and create rules for when to increase limits.
Focus on building the habit firstāyour portfolio will still grow. Later, shift to larger selling volumes as needed.
You have to have a plan with certain metrics and things you want to see to understand where to increase the selling.
Aim to capture the bulk of the move gradually, not by selling everything at the top.
4. Change your life
If a position outperforms the market and prints beyond expectations, forget your targetsāsecure the money.
Sell half or more, cash out, and change your life.
5. Lock it truly in.
If you sell but leave the cash or Bitcoin on the exchange, and euphoria kicks in later. Still overconfident from your last win, youāre back ināchasing the next 100x your favorite influencer found.
Cash-out or move it to a hardware wallet. Make it harder to access and keep it safe.
6. Stop rotating
You put $1,000 into a token; itās now $5,000, and you sold. Great! Do it again, and itās $50,000. Youāre sitting on $50k, thinking, āOne more time, and Iāll make life-changing money.ā
Your money goes into the next ācancer-curingā altcoin. It dips, but in a bull market, dips get bought up, right? This time it dips deeper and doesnāt bounce. You hold, telling yourself, ādiamond hands.ā
Itās now worth $20k. You feel terrible but keep holding. The market nukes again, and youāre now a community member. A year later, itās worth $750āyouāve roundtripped everything.
Stop rotating endlessly. Secure money and sell to cash out, not to chase the next plan. The longer the uptrend lasts, the more euphoric and irrational youāll get. Protect your gainsātake them out.
7. Example plan (rough draft for inspiration)
*Make your own plan*
A) Iāll start selling a mini amount daily/weekly to build the habit and starting today.
B) Once the Total Altcoin or 'Others' chart shows 1-2+ weekly candles in price discovery, Iāll slowly increase these amounts. (and will again increase after x)
C) If a play outperforms my portfolio or gives me life-changing money, Iāll take it outāno matter where we are in the cycle.
D) If we hit a key zone (BTC, Total Altcoin, or your preferred chart), Iāll increase my daily/weekly selling volume again.
E) Certain price action or indicator, whatever you like: If we see a blow-off top, a blow-off candle, or a bearish market structure break, Iāll sell X% or increase my selling volume.
F) Come up with things yourself š
Making it is simple, but keeping it isn't easy.
Have you heard about the gambler who walked away with $1M and never returned? Me neither.
Most will make it, but very few will still be good in the next bear.
This market is gambling on attention; attention will fade away.
99.9% of the tokens will trade lower again in the future.
Secure profits.
@ThisIsNuse gm breadbin, what makes you so confident thats a white flag rather than turning point? Looks like it wants higher to me on PA alone. Really want you to be right tho ā
@theo_crypto99 ooh interesting. ya, maybe - would have to get over $100k before a 30% pull back would restest 73ish so yeah more realistic than i was hoping :)
@MatrixMaarten as i understand it there are heavy regulations preventing mainland chinese from investing in these HK etfs... and that the HK market is much smaller š¤·āāļø i had high hopes too
@marwolwarl morning dude, I'm taking more seriously the idea we might peak before xmas this year (hope for best, plan for worst). How might that sit with these small caps that are not yet shilled much and will take longer that that for real world plans to bear fruit in RWA? cheers ears š
If there was one Advice I could give on how I ran my account From 0 to Million, it'll be this.
The Art of Copying.
Tip for becoming better at anything in life.
You don't have to invent anything new. I learnt all about trading from listening to my mentor, listening to other great traders, copying their trading mindset and then developing it.
I rarely have anything Original. All the tricks I use are already our there. I read, understand, ask questions, implement and find my own comfort.
Everything that can happen in trading has already happened.
My Cousin went to the Best Engineering school in the world. He did it by copying the style of His Senior year Students and adopted their method. Worked hard like them. Studied the same books. Solved the same questions. Many times over. Reiterated, copied, the same thing.
Mohnis Pabrai openly says he Copied Warren Buffet. And reiterates it many times while applying his mind.
The edge, the art, the information is out there. There's no secret to be unfolded in today's world.
All the lessons, videos, texts, are available, for free.
There's a lack of people ready to learn, copy, implement and then reap the benefits. Copy. Implement. Use your mind. Find your own method.
I also own a chain business in my area but I learnt all of that, by listening to people who were already great at it. Just listening, non stop. Asking questions.
My uncle's client ran 11 top notch restaurant and since we manage his Finance and accounts, I had access to him.
He once spoke about his Business and I listened to him, non Stop. People like to talk, they just need someone who can listen to them. Be a good listener, be good at copying.
I can tell you I know more about restaurant business by just listening to him nonstop for 1-2 hours.
Schools lack this. They teach us how to speak, how to give a speech, how to sound like a leader, they teach us to look impressive via our school.
No one teaches us to listen. Listening is how you extract value.
All you need is a mind that's ready to learn, a focus that's patient to listen, a heart that's ready to work hard and implement and a little bit of since to adapt, logically test.
Listen. Read. Copy. Implement. Grow.
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@MatrixMaarten they aren't chinese, mainland barred from participating. and their stock market is bottoming and getting juiced by ccp so there's other attractive investments for them. Diff situation for US so not fair comparison
@TraderMotif love your point, and feels intuitively spot on. out of curiosity, when you look at HTF charts does your subconscious pattern recognition kick in with possible swing trades too which you don't take as it's not your thing rn? or is your spidey sense LTF specific atm?
@kingpunkape heh, i got no experience of or advice for that bud. I do like you tho, and the art so will be wishing you well as we get underway. Stay strong breadbin āš¤