https://t.co/oYUs3s38lk
The foundational model layer feels similar to early telecom and internet infrastructure: massive CapEx, intense competition, and eventual commoditization pressure. Durable value may accrue at the application layer, where companies control distribution.
Why $TTD’s dismissal of Amazon DSP as a competitor is a structural weakness
This mindset was understandable a few years ago when Amazon’s DSP was largely a walled-garden performance tool for retail media. But that framing no longer reflects reality.
1. Control of First-Party Data
Amazon sits on unmatched commerce and streaming signals — the very currency driving future audience targeting. When buyers consolidate budgets, they prefer platforms with proprietary shopper & streaming data.
2. CTV Share Shift
Amazon Prime Video’s ad-tier is scaling rapidly. ADSP plugged in Netflix and Roku recently. ADSP is a preferred buying destination outside of Google DV 360. ( prime video doubled ad load in Q2 )
3. Workflow & Switching Costs
$TTD often positions itself as the “open internet champion” and counts on workflow lock-in as a moat. But Gen-AI-driven workflows are lowering switching costs. Buyers can move budgets into Amazon DSP with minimal friction when the incremental performance is superior.
4. Strategic Implication
By not treating Amazon as a primary competitor, TTD risks:
•Under-investing in product areas (like retail-data-driven optimization.
•Over-indexing on narrative battles against Google instead of addressing the most immediate share threat from Amazon
•Missing the chance to invest in SMB and long tail advertisers.