It appears that a Polymarket account called "Magamyman" made $515,000 in a single day betting on last night's U.S. strike on Iran, with the first trade placed 71 minutes before the news broke publicly.
When this person bought in, the market had this at a 17% probability. They turned roughly $87,000 into over half a million dollars overnight.
Reminder that Donald Trump Jr. sits on Polymarket's advisory board and his firm invested double-digit millions into the platform last year. The DOJ and CFTC both had active investigations into Polymarket that were dropped after Trump took office.
Prediction markets cannot be a vehicle for profiting off advance knowledge of military action.
We need answers, transparency, and oversight.
Breaking news at Bounces:
Serena Williams is going to gain reinstatement to tennis before the end of this month, when she will have completed her six months back in the tennis testing pool.
The Serena comeback is now officially official.
https://t.co/51CzD5wRWS
A familiar face in downtown Cleveland. I often greet this well dressed gentleman and compliment his style. Each time he offers a new name. This day it was Mossesa Cleveland. He usually skips photos but made an exception, proud of his footwear on a December 2025 afternoon.
@StarbucksHanna so so so sorry you’re closing. I adore this team: Liz, Nathan, I will miss you!😢 I’m sending you hugs and prayers for new, lucrative jobs for everyone.
@joecimperman@DowntownCLE They’re entering a crowded market! B&J is too sweet and cloying for me. The gimmicky flavors drive me nuts, too. I’m Team Mitchell’s!
@J6ssicaWatkins Hey Jessica. I believe people actually love me. I get too blinded by fear and depression sometimes to see it. I agree that everyone will have their own experience with dying. I pray to live my life in such a way that I am ready to let go. 🎈
Members of #CLEFIRE E2 responded on Marine 21 & rescued a deer stranded on rocks behind the Rock Hall yesterday. The exhausted animal was loaded into a stokes basket, strapped, down & relocated to the wooded area near Gordon Park. Thanks to @clevemetroparks & ODNR for their help.
@joecimperman Agreed. Also, JP2 reigned from 1978 to 2005. Someone tried to assassinate him. Was pope when the Berlin Wall fell. Traveled everywhere. Part of the Greatest Generation. Lots of reasons why he was more popular.