The final Newspoll has been released, and resulted in little change to the forecast. Chance of a Labor majority is 70.6% (down 0.8%), chance of Coalition majority is 3.9% (up 0.1%), chance of neither major party having a majority is 25.5% (up 0.7%).
#ResolvePM Vic(state) not as bad for Vic Labor as others but still quite bad ALP 26 L-NP 26 ON 24 Grn 12 IND 5 others 7.
My 2PP estimate 51.7 to L-NP (-1.1) This would probably be a hung parliament of some kind, not even clear Coalition would win off that.
#Morgan ALP 27 L-NP 20 ON 27Grn 13.5 Ind/others 12.5
their 2PP (respondent) 55.5 to ALP (+2.5)
(last election) 53.5 (+1.5)
my conversion 52.7 (+1)
their ALP vs ON 53.5 (=) (respondent)
my conversion 51.7 (-.3)
#Essential primaries not on same scale as other polls because undecided left in
ALP 29 L-NP 23 ON 28 (series high) Grn 11 Ind/other 5 undecided 4
Their "2PP+" 48-47 to ALP (=50.5, +1.5)
my conversion 50.7 (-0.8)
my ALP vs ON estimate 50.2 (-1.9)
#Morgan ALP 27.5 L-NP 23 ON 25.5 Grn 13.5 IND/other 11.5
https://t.co/wvWxP9besk
2PP 53 to ALP (respondent) 52 (last election)
my conversion 51.7 to ALP (=)
ALP vs ON 53.5 to ALP (respondent)
my conversion 52.0 to ALP (-0.2)