Aestus Value Lab

Ten year fintech vet ex & - Building the world's best prediction market research terminal.

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

Month and ten days into the life of @AestusValueLab

Hopeful we can crank out about double the amount of volume this next month. Going to put extra emphasis on the culture markets because it is low variance.

Want to share in the alpha? https://t.co/A2nFjqOtmK and sign up!

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

Slow day today with little value in the Elon markets. Also little good stuff going on in sports during the international soccer break.

Time to focus on some new product development.

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@VadimStrizheus That is the angel investing of larpers, actual angels invest hundreds of thousands if not millions of dollars.

"as founder" haha cringe.

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

Sports bettors watch the game. Traders watch the price. I haven't watched a game I bet on in years, and my results have never been better.

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@0XBaseMessiah Not sure what you mean by fact sheets? As for the advice, I think any real lesson has to be learnt the hard way. But a little advice here and there never hurt nobody.

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

Win rate is the most overrated stat in betting. I can show you an 88% win rate tomorrow: buy every 92c contract. You'll lose money. The only number that matters is price vs probability.

[lauren @poteto]

when the restaurant only has pepsi instead of coke

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@oliverbrocato DMed

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@Ten_axX It is how I am able to bet sports I don't even understand.

You don't need to be an expert, you just need to not be an idiot. And be willing to say no to betting most of the time.

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

All models are wrong, but @AestusValueLab models sure are useful!

Winning day after winning day, just super solid performance across the board.

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@zerohedge I like the stock! Bound to make a comeback!

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@AlexAuroraDev That's a bold strategy Cotton!

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@adam_cypher @AlexAuroraDev Those are three things.

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@DanFarfan @phil_hellmuth so much missed opportunities for additional action and bets.

Dumbest game I've ever seen. Like it were put together by a teenager.

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@deepvaluebettor We do our best to provide signal through the noise. What do you think of our platform?

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@giadotai exactly this

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

They actually think this is good? Or are they just selling?

[Garry Tan @garrytan]

Pretty wild the woman in this video is a realtime generated agent

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

Now that Ronaldo has left his team like a crying baby, I want nothing more than for Portugal to win this tournament!

[Kalshi FC @KalshiFC]

What do you think this celebration means? 🤔

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@vkhosla It is funny that after all this time in fintech, this isn't even that toxic or strange to me.

This happens all the time.

Disgusting bunch of people we are when you come to really think about it.

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

@ScottWu46 Did you guys run fake interviews?

[Aestus Value Lab @AestusValueLab]

This post means that Car is laying in the orderbook waiting for as many idiots as possible to buy up a long shot. One that will be engineered to impossibility by him and all his UMA sock puppet accounts.

Seriously, that man is a cancer and he knows it. He takes pride in it.

[Car @CarOnPolymarket]

It’s the first of the month, and Polymarket traders are pricing Trump insulting Joe Biden and Barack Obama at 99.9%

Hilariously high