ashby

Builder. Ex-McK → PE → YC Founder → Enterprise Product Leader. Dad to three, plus a dog, wedded to my high school debate opponent. ☧

[ashby @af3]

We're all talking about what AI means for software. The real question is what it means for everyone - and everything - else. https://t.co/G8Xxj06heB

[ashby @af3]

https://t.co/jXjWh04ybX

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@benspringwater 👋

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@SexyLikeMeiosis 👋

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@collision Rise of the household as a firm

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@garrytan @bettersoma @war24182236 Arguello turkey on Dutch crunch

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@RealSethRaynor @AnthonyPioppi Lookout got that version of the Short, 6th hole no less

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@pzakin Agent peering venues

[ashby @af3]

Sorry, it’s too late. I’ve already pictured you as the feckless, price-taking Haiku market participant, and myself as the shrewd, disciplined Opus market participant.

[Anthropic @AnthropicAI]

But the quality of the model mattered a lot. In the simulated runs where Opus and Haiku models negotiated with one-another, the Opus models got substantially better deals.

Interestingly, though, participants in our survey didn’t pick up on this disparity.

[ashby @af3]

@feedtheball Hudson in the background there?

[robin @zebird0]

I’ve seen a drastic rise in ex-McKinsey founders for this exact reason.

In SF it’s easy to get trapped in the AI groupthink. The rest of America is different. Consultants were basically FDEs for data/business decades before palantir made it cool

[Tanay Padhi @tanaypadhi]

how did Allbirds pivot to AI compute hardware before the shoe company literally called ASICS

[ashby @af3]

What if the Pimiento hats and Map and Flag exclusives are a shibboleth to separate proud corporate partners from true ball knowers

[Gabe Gudgel @gabegudgel]

Everyone knows about the merch at Augusta National but just down the road there are some pretty sweet lids ⛳️ #thepatch

[ashby @af3]

Normal sport cc @KylePorterNS

[Tenobrus @tenobrus]

maybe this is not yet clear, so let me state it plainly: as of right now Anthropic, and really a small number of individuals at Anthropic, has the capacity to directly attack and cause major damage to the United States Government, China, and generally global superpowers. government agencies like the NSA do not have internal models or defense capabilities that outclass frontier models. if they chose to do so, they could likely exfiltrate top secret information from government systems, gain control over critical infrastructure including military infrastructure, sabotage or modify communications between members of government at the highest level, and potentially carry on activities for some time without detection. the thing about having access to a huge number of zerodays your adversaries don't know about is it gives you a massive asymmetric advantage.

they did not exploit this to gain power or destabilize the world order. they publicly released the information that they had these capabilities and worked to mitigate these flaws. you should be grateful american frontier labs have proven themselves remarkably trustworthy and concerned with the public good. but it's critical you understand we are in a new regime. private entities now have power that directly rivals and impacts the government's monopoly on influence and violence. and anthropic is certainly not the only one, there's little chance OpenAI's internal models are far behind.

this trend will accelerate on virtually every dimension, not slow down. my prediction for how it plays out is the relatively imminent seizure and nationalization of labs by the US government, sometime over the next two years. it's very tough for me to see how they accept the existence of this kind of threat. but this adds a whole new class of governance issues, as then we've handed these extremely wide-reaching capabilities from private entities to public ones.

[ashby @af3]

@bschneider126 And Broomsedge going UK model (is that what we’d call it?)

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@Jay_Edlin @ZachNagel7 Ball knowledge and I already follow you

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If I’ve learned anything from working directly with Claude Code in the last 90 days, it’s that the job is the same: “isn’t X a better solution?”

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@Heritagecricket Could be a great first international outpost for Intown Golf Club…

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I’m really enjoying the neo-steampunk era that is useful and not purely aesthetic.

[Magic Carpet 🇺🇸 @kelp_feeder]

I got tired of checking my Claude token usage so I vibecoded a burn monitor on an ESP32-based M5StickC Plus2. Periodically updates over Wi-Fi or phone hotspot .

[ashby @af3]

@rohindhar 1461 is gonna go massively above list.

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@racheleizner feuillemogged