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4/30 NBA Prop Play 🏀 Khris Middleton Under 6.5 Assists 🚨 THIS LINE IS WAY TOO HIGH 🚨 - Middleton is averaging 5 assists per game on 8.5 potentials throughout this series so far. He has NOT hit this line through the first 4 games of the series (0/4), with his most assists coming in game 2 (6). He has hit this line just 36% of the time this season when playing 30+ minutes (10/28). - Pat Bev has just been upgraded to available, so I expect him to handle the bulk amount of ball handling/distributing this game. This is huge as it means Middleton does not become the default ball handler, and will likely be set up for more scoring opportunities, as opposed to facilitating the offense. - In Games that Giannis misses, Middleton has hit this line just 9% of games (1/11). In games that Dame has missed, He has hit this line in 25% of games (2/8). In games that BOTH have missed he has hit in 0% of games (0/2). His most recent miss, the last matchup, He had 5 assists on 10 potentials. While the sample size with both Giannis and Dame OUT is small, the stats show us that this line is simply too high. - Middleton's conversion rate on potential assists to assists in this series is 58.8%, despite the Bucks shooting 47.25%. We can expect this to come down as the Bucks are shooting at an above-average clip so far this series, yet Middleton is still converting at a less than 60% rate. If the team's shooting percentage comes down even a couple of percentage points, it will drastically limit his realized assist opportunities. - I am loving this spot for Middleton, and Vegas clearly is too as this prop is currently favored at -120 to hit the under on DraftKings. This game starts SOON, so don't waste any time. Lock this prop in, and let's make some cash. LIKE IF TAILING 💰 FOLLOW FOR MORE FREE DAILY PLAYS 🔒 Data found using @propsdotcash 📊 #prizepicks #prizepicksnba #prizepickslocks #prizepickspotd #nbabetting #nbabets #sportsbetting #sportsbets #playerprops #playerpropbets #nbalocks #gambling #gamblingtwitter #nbaplayoffs #nba #prizepickstoday #sportsbets #freebets #propbets #NBAPlayoffs #tipster #NBAPlayoffs2024