Atticus Gonzalez

Cal State Los Angeles • Catcher/Pitcher • 6’0 208 • 4.0 GPA • email- [email protected]

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@HP__Trades @ZachNagel7 Sure if you want to rewrite the rule lol go for it... it was the right call

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Sox_Savant Right now Ohtani winning but we will see

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@FDSportsbook lol, a more realistic question would be 100 million if you could get a hit for the average person

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@sean0murphy @morepellent @MLB Appeal to authority

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@ryanrevans @JomboyMedia Wrong, statistically, Smith is a better thrower than Cal

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse He got worse from 2022 to 2023

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse You are acting like I made up some random stat that doesn't show anything; we are looking at the mean WAR of the players; another way of saying: what kind of WAR can we expect from this player next season.

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse You attempted to use the fact that you have never seen other people use that stat before, which is irrelevant to the merit of the stat. At one point, WAR had never been used before, and now you cling to it... point made

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse Bandwagon fallacy is all I'm seeing from you...

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse lol okay buddy

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse No, my original claim was that you should be more confident with Smith since you know what you're getting... showing the average WAR someone puts up in a season is a clear way to see this. Plenty of players of one-hit wonder seasons...Cal might be one of them

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse I told you that I calculated the mean WAR/game...not just as simply as WAR/game. You have to equate the average WAR per game per season. That is what shows that Smith has been better and more consistent for longer.

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse Incorrect

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse Yes! But only when accessing who you would rather have on your team for the course of a season...but both are healthy right now and on the team, so using how often they are healthy is irrelevant when choosing who to play the next 3 games.

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse I agree that it should be used. But when accessing who should be used right now in the WBC, an important factor is knowing what you're gonna get, and due to a clear outlier season, you can be more confident in knowing what you're going to get with Will.

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse Smith has the higher average OPS across seasons (.825 vs .753).

Smith has far lower OPS volatility calculated using standard deviation (SD .050 vs .132).

Smith has a higher WAR/game (0.0318 vs 0.0246).

Smith is 4× more consistent in WAR/game (SD .0054 vs .0191)

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse Incorrect. You show cumulative stats; I claimed variation amongst seasons. If you take the mean of the OPS produced by each catcher. Smith = 0.820 Cal = 0.752... showing an outlier season.

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@Dm_Cards_ @JesusBa17929360 @LADodgersMuse Although Cal posted a higher WAR last year, it was a clear outlier compared to his past production, making it less reliable going forward. Will Smith, meanwhile, has delivered strong numbers for years, giving you a much clearer sense of what he’ll provide season after season.

[Atticus Gonzalez @agonbaseball42]

@nestoverse Would you give up kamara to get chase brown