MT

In an abusive relationship with all of my sports teams. Former Director of Basketball Analytics for One Week Season. All opinions are my own and also bad.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

The Thunder have been a really good "Ship of Theseus" this year for determining how many key players do you need to lose before you stop looking like yourself.

It turns out, for OKC, that number is seven.

I think this team will sort itself out, but the D rotations are poor rn.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

@SheaSerrano What the fuck the Rockets gonna do without Sharkasses?

[MT @AirwaveSays]

@GreekGreg @tomhaberstroh Philly just an elite food city. Dozens more that could have been added here.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

@JustinHerzig @PredictQmkt Would love to test this out.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

@DonGregorios @SamMonsonNFL Obsession sure, but Sinners was high-8, low-9 figure budget.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

@JohnLazarz @SheaSerrano My guy has "Nixon was a good man" in his bio

[MT @AirwaveSays]

@HaydenWinks Do you have a link to all of them for the week?

[LA Clippers @LAClippers]

Happy Birthday, Kawhi!🥳

For every comment/retweet, @Aspiration will plant one tree for Kawhi's birthday!

[MT @AirwaveSays]

@samfolkk It's too bad that the nerds are in charge of releasing patches too.

[Caitlin Cooper @C2_Cooper]

the switching is happening again

[MT @AirwaveSays]

@ShotQualityBets Will Scorecenter be fixed anytime soon or...?

[MT @AirwaveSays]

Magic playing like a team that fucking hates each other.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

I hate sports so fucking much.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

Was at a Super Bowl party yesterday where not a single person knew who Bad Bunny was. One of the best part of his performance is that more people will become exposed to him. Dude's an absolute fucking musical genius.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

@OWSPropz Wow, look at those guys.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

@NekiasNBA The defense from him has been absurd, while also unlocking JJJ on the weak side. It is fun basketball

[One Week Season @oneweekseason]

NFL DFS: WEEK 2

A first look at this weeks 12-game main slate through the lens of StatATL.

BROWNS (16.75) 🟤AT RAVENS (28.25)🟣

🟤I’m not sure it’s going to be sneaky, but this feels like another good spot for Joe Flacco. Coming off 45 pass attempts for 290 yards, in a game I expect the Browns to be chasing, Flacco stands out at just $5k flat.

🟤On the ground, rookie Dylan Sampson saw 20 touches last week, including 8 receptions. Assuming Quinshon Judkins is inactive, Sampson stands out as a potential pairing partner with Flacco and is only $5,200.

🟣On the other side of the ball, Derrick Henry had 182 total yards and 2 TDs in week one, and should continue to be the focal point of this Ravens offense.

🟣Zay Flowers led the way for Baltimore last week and appears poised to take a step forward this season. His price has elevated to $6,200 but I intially like him in lineups built around this being a high scoring affair.

🟤For the Browns, Cedric Tillman and rookie TE Harold Fannin stand out at their modest prices.

JAGUARS (22.5) 😼AT BENGALS (26)🐯

🐯Joe Burrow struggled mightily last week, passing for only 113 yards, however this is a spot that stands out as a strong bounce back spot for the Bengals offense.

😼On the other side of the ball, Trevor Lawrence didn’t have to do much against Carolina last week, but this also sets up well for him in a possible shootout.

😼The Jaguars traded Tank Bigsby (their co-starting RB in week 1), to the Eagles, signaling their confidence in Travis Etienne. At $5,700 and with involvement in the pass game, Etienne is an intriguing option.

🐯On the other side of the ball, Chase Brown wasn’t effective in week 1, but was the only Bengal to receive a carry. His 23 touches certainly keeps in him in early consideration as a strong bet on volume play.

🐯Ja’Marr Chase and Brian Thomas Jr. disappointed in week 1, but both saw a price drop for week 2 in what could be a very friendly fantasy environment.

GIANTS (19.25) 🔵AT COWBOYS (25.25)🤠

🔵The Eagles held A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith to 24 yards on 4 catches last week, which doesn’t bode well for Malik Nabers, especially after how uninspiring Russell Wilson looked in week 1.

🤠CeeDee Lamb is priced as the 2nd most expensive WR on the slate, after converting 13 targets into 110 yards last week. He’s in play every week, but initially I prefer Brian Thomas for less or Ja’Marr Chase for $300 more.

🤠On the ground, Javonte Williams converted 17 touches into 20+ fantasy points, but doesn’t stand out here against an above average Giants D.

BEARS (20.75)🐻 AT LIONS (26.25)🦁

🦁The Lions struggled last week, but Jared Goff historically has fared significantly better indoors. He doesn’t stand out initially here though however.

🐻Caleb Williams started the MNF game on fire, but didn’t do much after an opening drive TD. He’s only $5,400 and his rushing upside is interesting, but a divisional matchup on the road on a short week isn’t appealing.

🦁On the ground, David Montgomery out carried Jahmyr Gibbs in a game they were losing throughout. Gibbs salvaged his day with 10 (!!) receptions, but doesn’t stand out here either.

🐻On the other side of the ball, D'Andre Swift was the only Bears RB to receive a rushing attempt, but only averaged 3 yards a carry. Despite the inefficiency, Swift did see 20 touches and at $5,700 that volume is intriguing.

🐻Through the air, Rome Odunze played 94% of the offensive snaps and saw 9 targets, which aligned with preseason reports that Chicago would try to feature him more. At $4,800, he’s my early favorite play from this game.

PATRIOTS (21) 🟦AT DOLPHINS (22)🐬

🐬After allowing Daniel Jones to look like Joe Montana in his prime on Sunday, the Dolphins welcome Drake Maye to Miami this week.

🟦Maye set a career high for pass attempts (46) last week, while continuing to work in designed runs. At $5,200 he’s probably my favorite pay down option at QB.

🏈While Tua struggled last week, Geno Smith had a big day with 362 passing yards as did Jakobi Meyers (8-97) and Brock Bowers (5-103) against this Patriot defense.

🏈I doubt this matchup will catch the eye of many, but it’s a game environment that stands out to me initially.

🏈Through the air, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, and Kayshon Boutte are interesting, as is TE Hunter Henry.

49ERS (23.25)⛏️ AT SAINTS (19)🟡

⛏️Big news here is the injury status around the 49ers. SF placed George Kittle on IR Tuesday morning. Jauan Jennings suffered a shoulder injury, but the Niners haven’t released an injury update on his situation yet.

⛏️If Jennings misses or is limited, a rule of at least one of Ricky Pearsall or Christian McCaffrey feels appropriate as I expect the offense to be completed condensed around those two.

🟡On the other side of the ball, Chris Olave is coming off a 12 target game, and saw his price DROP to $4,900. He stands out as a screaming value here as well.

⛏️Jauan Jennings and SF backup TE Jake Tonges are both intriguing pay down options as well.

BILLS (26.25) 🦬AT JETS (20)✈️

✈️If you had to guess which week 2 matchup consisted of the two highest combined scoring teams in week one (with 72 combined points), and you guessed the Jets, then Bravo to you.

✈️After giving up 34 points to Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers, the Jets host Josh Allen this week and this spot stands out for both offenses.

✈️Along with both QBs, Garrett Wilson is initially interesting as Zay Flowers just put up a 7-143-1 line against BUF last week and played on 100% of the offensive snaps.

✈️Breece Hall saw 23 touches last week, and at $6,200 also caught my eye in this spot.

🦬On the Buffalo side, Keon Coleman led the team with 88% of the offensive snaps, and is just $5,100.

SEAHAWKS (18.5) 🟢AT STEELERS (21.5)🟨

🏈Despite Pittsburgh’s success last week, this isn’t an offense or game environment that stands out to me. I would expect both teams to lean on the run, however the nature of each split backfield generates very little interest from me.

🟢The only player of initial interest is Seattle WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba at $6,000. JSN saw 13 targets last week and was the only Seahawk with more than 3 targets. He figures to be heavily involved again this week.

RAMS (23.75) 🐑AT TITANS (18.25)⚔️

🏈A matchup between two defenses that held their week one opponent to 20 or less points, this isn’t a game environment that jumps out to me initially at all.

🐑On the ground, Kyren Williams is at least intriguing as he saw 95% of the teams rush attempts, and the Titans allowed 133 yards and a TD on 22 rushes to the combination of J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey last week.

⚔️Tony Pollard operated as a bell cow back last week, however the Texans RBs only totaled 77 yards on 21 attempts last week against this Rams defense.

🐑Through the air, Puka Nacua converted 11 targets into 130 yards and is a consideration every week, however my favorite player in this game is the LA defense.

PANTHERS (19.25) ⚫️AT CARDINALS (25.75)🔴

🔴Neither QB stands out here as I don’t think we’ll see more than 35 pass attempts out of Arizona in a game they likely control throughout.

🏈On the ground, both James Conner and Chuba Hubbard set up well, but neither scares me at their price.

🔴Through the air, Trey McBride continued where he left off last season as the primary focal point of this pass attack, and saw his price drop to $6k. Initially, he’s my favorite play at the TE position on the slate.

⚫️On the Panthers side of the ball, rookie WR Tet McMillan was the unquestioned top wideout, however Xavier Legette saw 7 targets and is priced at only $3,900. He’s an intriguing punt option at the position.

BRONCOS (22.25) 🟠AT COLTS (20.75)🐴

🏈This may be a battle of top defenses as Denver and Indy held their opponents to a combined 20 points in week one.

🏈Both QBs are fairly priced, but neither jumps out upon first pass.

🐴On the ground, Jonathan Taylor saw 21 touches last week and would be a bet on volume in a tough on paper matchup.

🟠The Broncos absolutely suffocated the pass attack of the Titans last week, leaving my only initial interest in TE Tyler Warren at $4,500.

EAGLES (24) 🦅AT CHIEFS (23)🏹

🏈A matchup of last year’s Super Bowl, both teams come in to this game after shaky week one performances.

🏹The Chiefs looked overmatched against the Chargers and will likely be without both Rashee Rice (suspension) and Xavier Worthy (shoulder).

🏹Coming off 16 (!!!) targets last week, Hollywood Brown should operate as the WR1 and at only $5,200 will likely garner some heavy ownership.

🏹Patrick Mahomes saw his price rise to $6,200, however he’s topped 29 fantasy points only once in his last 45 starts.

🦅The Eagles played a tight game against DAL last week where their offense continued to flow through Saquon Barkley (and Jalen Hurts’ legs) in week one.

🦅Barkley is expensive at $8,000, but of initial interest to me in what will likely be the late game hammer.

Upon first pass, the DST units that stood out to me were:

SF, LAR, NE and CHI

NFL DFS First Look is created by
@wgabelman and live on
@oneweekseason each week!

[MT @AirwaveSays]

going back and deleting old tweets. Thought, "ah fuck that's still a good idea" then I googled it and somebody did it 15 years ago and I'm sure they're like gazillionaires now.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

My other great recent ideas are a cheese grater shaped like an alligator and a cooking apron that just has the body of an ape. All my ideas just make animal puns out of food preparation items.

[MT @AirwaveSays]

Everytime I hear a basketball analyst complain about every team playing the same i wonder if we're watching the same sport.