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BEAR MARKET & ALTSEASON
#Bitcoin topped at $126k in October 2025 as per my pinned tweet (read it!🙏), and we are 8 months into the current bear market, BTC sitting around $64k
This is the FIRST CYCLE where we didn’t get a proper altseason. In past bull runs, after Bitcoin ran, money rotated hard into altcoins and we saw crazy gains across the board. This time, it never really happened and most alts just lagged badly, or only had small selective moves.
• 2011–2015 cycle: Bull started Dec 2011 - Nov 2013.
Bear started Nov 2013 - Dec 2015.
• 2015–2019 cycle: Bull started Jan 2015 - Dec 2017.
Bear started Dec 2017 - Dec 2018.
• 2019–2023 cycle: Bull started Dec 2018 - Nov 2021.
Bear started Nov 2021 - Nov 2022.
• Current cycle: Bull started Dec 2022 - Oct 2025.
Bear started Oct 2025, bottom expected Dec 2026/ Jan 2027
The classic pattern is roughly one year of bear market after each top. This one’s following it so far, but it could stretch in my opinion!
MY EXPECTATION is for $BTC to bottom anywhere between $15K - $10k, during this cycle that I have named Catabolic Cycle/Reset Cycle
So far, from the peak, Bitcoin has dropped about 49% and is sitting around $64k
Past cycles have seen 77% to 85% drops, so my target is on the rougher side, but possible.
To hit around 14k from the top at $126k, that would be an 89% drawdown to be reached around Dec26/Jan27
If I am wrong then $BTC could bottom around October/November at $45k - $43k
I have started to accumulate this altcoin $INJ! The other 2 large bags I’ll be buying soon are $NEAR & $FET, as their bull cycle should start before BTC’s in my opinion!
Will explore more coins and share with you! All the other altcoins are likely to keep going lower and lower during this bear!
Did you find this helpful?
🙏PLEASE let me know 👇🏼, and also like & share so the rest of the community can see please 🙏
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A 10% loss needs a 11% gain to get back to even.
A 20% loss needs a 25% gain to get back to even.
A 50% loss needs a 100% gain to get back to even.
A 90% loss needs a 900% gain to get back to even.
This is why it is more important to preserve capital than to make big money.
Today on the Mediterranean with one our biggest clients, @asr_rabiu of BUA Group, aboard his yacht, “The Raniya” 🛥️ Strengthening our partnership and exploring new possibilities … F.Ote💲
You just made your first $1M. Your brain immediately jumps to the bigger house, the nicer car, that business idea you’ve been itching to execute.
Resist all of it, that instinct is exactly why most people who come into money are broke again within a few years.
The move nobody teaches you: do nothing.
Let it sit. Don’t deploy it, don’t try to flip it, don’t show it off. Park it somewhere safe that pays you while you think. Lock it into a 2–3 month yield-bearing instrument e.g T-bills, low-risk positions, safe and battle-tested protocols.
You’re not trying to get rich off it; you’re already there. You’re buying yourself time to think clearly and getting paid to do it.
Run the numbers. $1M at just 5% APR:
→ $50,000 a year → $4,167 a month → $137 a day
Every day you wake up, $137 landed in your account. You didn’t touch your principal. You didn’t lift a finger, and if that 5% compounds daily, you’re closer to $51,200 a year, the money starts making money on the money.
So before you spend a single dollar or naira, ask yourself one question: can this purchase pay for itself from the interest alone? If yes, you’ve earned it. If no, you’re eating your seed.
Anyone can GET money. Keeping it is a different skill entirely and it starts with the discipline to sit still while everyone expects you to splurge.
Sometimes parking it and letting it pay you is the best play ever. This is from experience, don’t joke with your once-in-a-lifetime SEED when it comes your way.
🇳🇬🇿🇦 "I'm a legal immigrant. I have spent over 13 years building a business in South Africa, creating jobs and training more than 20 South Africans. I pay my dues and have all the necessary documents.
If the government asks me to leave, I will. But I won't be driven out by threats or mob pressure.
Ironically, many of those demanding that immigrants leave are unwilling or unable to take over the businesses and responsibilities they want us to abandon."
— Nigerian businessman in South Africa
If you wear nice clothes, people think you're showing off. If you wear simple clothes, people think you're poor. If you speak your mind, you're rude. If you stay quiet, then you're a coward. If you're successful, then you're arrogant. And if you're struggling, then you're lazy. You see no matter what you do in life, people will always have something to say. So ignore people and their opinions. Because so long as your creator is pleased with you, who cares what people think.
Monaco no really go far sha for those wey dey dig am too much (for those wey guide o before Una come for me again)
🇲🇨 Monaco vs 🇦🇪 Dubai for the rich:
For Monaco: Freeze €500K+ in a bank (your money, but locked) and you get to live there 90+ days/yr. No income tax so that’s a plus.
Dubai: Buy AED 2M (about $550k) property (you get an appreciating asset you put up for rent and recoup your investment), get 10yr Golden Visa. You OWN an appreciating asset, ZERO days required to stay. No income tax, huge upside.
Cost of living comfortably a month is basically same or very similar, $5k - $10k a month and you can live in comfort.
Monaco makes you prove you’re rich.
Dubai lets you build richer.
I choose the UAE 🇦🇪 ✅