Andrew Starr

Melbournian with interests in infosec, finance, politics, health and a bit of sport..

Mastodon: @[email protected]

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@liammannix The discussion in the paper seems much more nuanced, and whilst underpowered the SARS-COV-2 and RSV results in phase 1 warrant further study..

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@liammannix Do you think the study supports that tweet?

"In phase 1, there were significantly more ARIs in the control group (29 among 65 participants [44.6%; 95% CI, 32.9%-56.8%]) compared with the intervention group (21 among 70 participants [30.0%; 95% CI, 20.2%-41.5%]) (Table 2)."

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@AndrewHayen Seems like of those that didn't die during the study, there were 50% more infections in the control group versus intervention but the CIs crossed over so worthy of further study..

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@DavidDavisMLC @3AWNeilMitchell This your office David? Seems like a pretty vibrant location - would hate for other suburbs to be as vibrant..

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@MichaelSFuhrer Whilst I pretty much agree with you that the pandemic was over a while ago, I was surprised to read that the ABS says any deaths >78 lead to no YPLL. Would be interested to see a more nuanced approach to this stat..

https://t.co/ke6ZiCt6CR

[Bob Cumming @bobepidemiology]

Surprised that ABS calculates potential years of life lost (PYLL) using an upper age limit of 78 - deaths beyond 78 not counted at all. But someone who dies at 90, for example, still loses 1 or 2 potential years of life.

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@evcricket https://t.co/magNd5GBPZ

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@Fiona_M_Russell Thanks, that's the best data I've seen. Great Conclusion.

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@Fiona_M_Russell Obesity rates in adults 2022 in Australia had increased by less in Vic than in WA since 2011, but only marginally. The latest data I can see for adolescents is from 2017-18.

https://t.co/VsaOmRU8dG

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@Fiona_M_Russell What evidence is there that Vic has worse outcomes since 2020 than other states such as WA?

I'm looking at the PC data re education and they don't seem all that different, in fact Vic seems to have the smallest drop in attendance from pre to post covid.
https://t.co/rDid6x2wrf

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@psvbluemts @Marc_Veld In a bad flu season like 2017 the ABS reported ~1,300 influenza deaths, but the mathematical models suggest it's much higher (up to 5k per below) due to lack of testing.

https://t.co/QHiOTP27hj

[James Wood @JamesGWood_UNSW]

@k_eagar @abcnews @normanswan @CroakeyNews @abc730 @latingle @Mark_Butler_MP @AlboMP @gedkearney Underlying cause of death data depends on the probability of being tested for the causative pathogen. Fairly good evidence that 2017 flu deaths of the order of 5K and annually in the 1-3K range. So a more correct comparison is 2022 COVID ~3x 2017 flu and ~5x average flu season 1/

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@Fiona_M_Russell Should be pretty easy to compare outcomes from zero covid locations with prolonged lockdowns (eg. Vic) with those of zero covid locations without lockdowns (eg. Perth).

What does the data say?

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@matt_barrie @Bowenchris Matt wants to ramp up coal and gas, what a dumb idea..

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@Fiona_M_Russell But the linked article is from 2021.

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@MargaretSimons "Parag Agrawal.. came up with an important concept. Speech should be free, he said... But “reach” was a privilege."

Agrawal didn't come up with it, the earliest I can see if is from the brilliant Renée DiResta in 2018.
https://t.co/ijEl3BM3S3

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@MargaretSimons "Attempts were made to automate regulation.."

Is this meant to read 'content moderation' instead of 'regulation'?

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@johnb78 Although not sure about the praise for the Vic approach in the previous paragraph, the outcome of public trust isn't exactly higher down here..

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@darkturkey27 @j_g_allen https://t.co/w2VUzytfTz

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@jeff_kennett @Mon4Kooyong This makes no sense at all Jeff, have you been on the red tonight celebrating Geelong's demise?

[Andrew Starr @ajsta]

@KosSamaras Isn't it more about the changes from multi representative wards to single representative, which means the bar for getting elected is so much higher? In my ward in 2020 people got elected with 16% of the primary vote..