Option trader focusing on SPY QQQ IWM GDX GLD SLV and Mag7. Investor and lifetime member in Trade Algo. Believe in Jesus Christ and the inerrancy of the Bible
$GOLD / $SILVER
GSR just did an Initial breakout, undercut, perfect backtest of the triangle I’ve been pointing out since March - literally to the T - and now another push higher.
That backtest matters....
If this breakout now sticks, I suspect the next move toward 70 could be rather quick.
Let’s see...
This is a ratio of the bullish vs bearish AUM for the major leveraged ETFs, it lags by a day so this is Monday.
Holy shit. Total bear capitulation. Record net long by a mile. This is the kind of thing that happens right at the absolute tippy top.
I have made over a MILLION in the last 2 MONTHS
My SECRET is having a watchlist for each sector to catch rotations EARLY
HERE IS THE SECTOR ROTATION WATCHLIST:
Memory: $MU $SNDK $WDC $STX
Semis: $NVDA $AMD $ARM $INTC
Networking: $AVGO $MRVL $CRDO
Photonics: $AAOI $LITE $COHR $NVTS $GLW
Infrastructure: $DELL $SMCI
Data Centers: $IREN $CIFR $APLD $NBIS
Software: $MSFT $NOW $SNOW
Defense: $PLTR $KTOS $AVAV
Drones: $ONDS $DPRO $UMAC
Robotics: $OUST $SYM $TSLA
Space: $ASTS $RKLB $RDW $LUNR
Quantum: $IONQ $QBTS $RGTI
Nuclear: $OKLO
Fintech: $HOOD $SOFI $AFRM
Copper: $FCX $SCCO $TECK
Autonomous: $JOBY $ACHR
I'll only say it once. This might be the fastest way to accumulate $1 million by the end of 2026:
My June advice:
$PFE (Pfizer) — Don’t buy
$BABA (Alibaba) — Don’t buy
$ASTC (Astrotech) — Don’t buy
$SPCX (SpaceX) — Buy at $167–$175
$IREN (IREN) — Buy around $54–$60
$NVDA (NVIDIA) — Buy at $204–$210
$MSFT (Microsoft) — Buy at $385–$395
$TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor) — Buy at $430–$438
People ask, Why don’t you charge?
I’ve made enough. Sharing is my passion ,that’s why I post for fre.
#XAUUSD
→ Patience pays here. The correction is not finished yet.
When everyone calls the bottom at the same time, it usually is not the bottom. Our analysis agree: one more leg down before the real turn. We wait for confirmation, not consensus!
$QQQ just how high can this bubble go?
The parabolic move since the 31st of March is the strongest bounce the $QQQ has ever experienced
Even stronger than the Covid V shape recovery and the Liberation Day recovery in 2025
This is what you would expect to see in a final Wave 5 melt up scenario, people are delirious, FOMO is on everyone's mind and people have lost all discipline....the market has you now.
This is typically where all strategies are thrown out the window and you chase everything.
Everyone can be guilty of this because humans never know when they have enough and want to keep buying out of fear of missing out on the next opportunity.
But how high can this melt up go?
The extreme level is $869 this year at the 1.618 Fib
By then, everyone will be convinced that this time 'IT IS DIFFERENT' the narrative has changed and nobody will be prepared.
Some will even think we are at the START of the bull market.
The market will humble you
We have not topped yet but the consequence of this parabolic move will be a devastating drop, there is no maybe about it.
This is why I say, take what you can from the market now before September because what comes next will hurt many.
The greatest 6-month stint for Silver is coming up.
History and macro environment both tell you this, not me. The holy grail set up for metals.
For the past half a decade, global macros have found a way to ease 10y yields anytime numbers started to creep towards 4.60 - 4.70%
In this case, WTI Crude played a significant role in creeping yields to 4.7%. Now with WTI Crude heading back to sub $80, as expected and shared my views many times over the past recent weeks, this creates the perfect opportunity for 10y Yields to plateau at that 4.60 - 4.70% mark and fear of hikes are not as strong any longer.
Every cycle from 4.70% down towards 4.00% has ignited a stronger Silver rally each time for a span of 6 months on average.
The idea that metals become a safe haven when inflation is rising is very misinformed. Metals become the safe haven in THIS environment, when Yields, Dollar, and Crude no longer become the safe bets and we enter a "sticky/uncertain" period of inflation.
My view in Feroce Research is that there will be a strong rotation towards Silver, even money leaking from Semis may find its way into Silver.
The fundamental view of supply/demand deficit continues to exist, as well as the technical resistance since 2023 turning into a support for the first time this year.
If silver were to replicate the move that happened last year, which we also had caught, we can expect $180 by the end of this year. My conservative target sits at $130 for now, until later upgraded.
This is one of the few moments where fundamentals, technicals, quantitative positioning, and macros all align for an industry.
Silver is of course “leveraged Gold”, here's a look at the daily chart of this awesome metal, highlighted the $70-$60 zone as a “must buy” for Silver investors.
The $90 area is in sync with the $4700 target price for Gold, and the price is at the top of that range now. In a nutshell: It’s not too late to buy Silver and a strong case can be made that $90 will bring only a pause that is followed by a spectacular surge to above the $120 area highs. ~ Stewart Thomson
The gamma cage I've been trading all week is already gone.
Net dealer GEX flipped negative. $SPY is sitting at $750.71, basically on the $751 flip line.
Above that line dealers absorb every move and pin the tape. Below it they have to sell weakness and chase strength.
We're balanced on the exact level where the mechanics invert. Right as a binary Fed lands Wednesday.
Then quad-witch Friday rolls all this gamma off the board. The pin dissolves the moment the catalyst hits.
Here's the kicker. Redbook just ran +9.4% YoY, a hot consumer print straight into the dots. Hawkish risk is live.
And the 0DTE crowd bought 97% calls into the $755 wall, leaving zero room above and a short-gamma trapdoor below.
Lose $751 and dealers do the selling for you. I think SPY tags 745 this week.
Am I wrong, or is this a coiled spring dressed up as a melt-up?
🟡 Bearish Reversal Structure Developing
Gold has formed a potential Head & Shoulders pattern on the 1H timeframe, with price currently trading around 4315. The right shoulder appears to be completing near resistance, while momentum remains capped below the recent swing high.
📉 Bearish Scenario
Neckline support sits around 4290–4285.
A confirmed break below the neckline could trigger further downside toward 4210–4160 (channel support area).
Sellers remain in control while price stays below 4335–4360 resistance.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Analysis