Alien OPS

Where structure, liquidity & human error converge. Est. ’16
@AlienTradingLab | Premium Discord ↓

[Alien OPS @alienops]

just do it.

$btc

[Alien OPS @alienops]

@DanJohn7z i don’t think so

[Alien OPS @alienops]

Last two times this happened, alts ran.

Alt risk line just climbed back above 25%. March 2016. June 2020. Now.

Next stop I expect: the 55-60% zone.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

@spetsnaz_3

[Alien OPS @alienops]

$BTC MINER OUTFLOWS, LAST 8 DAYS:

Total: 17,200 BTC ($1.34B)
Alerts: 12
Largest: 8,478 BTC ($648M)
Share of total: 49%

[Alien OPS @alienops]

@CryptoCapo_ altcoins says “yes”.🤝

[Alien OPS @alienops]

Bitfinex $ETH longs: 4.4x since September.

Positioning like this is either very early or very crowded. The chart will tell which.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

Believe it or not. Like it or not. Positioned or not.

Alt season is coming.

Last time I say it. Next time, I'll just quote this.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

Billions stolen.
Fed on the mic.
Alts barely blinked.

Decoupling isn't coming. It's here. Watch where the money flows, not where the headlines point.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

@Trader_XO critical level, hold or rekt.🤝

[Alien OPS @alienops]

$BTC

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿-𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗳𝗿𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝘂𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗮𝗸.

Still, I believe the most unexpected path for 2026 may also be the most logical: a convincing bullish rally above the weekly moving averages, strong enough to rebuild optimism and make the broader weakness appear resolved.

𝗠𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘀𝗶𝘀: 𝗮 𝗳𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗲𝗱 𝗯𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗯𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗼𝘂𝘁.

A temporary reclaim of the weekly MAs, followed by rejection and acceptance back below them, then the capitulation phase.

Only after that would I begin looking for a genuine higher-timeframe reversal in 2027.

𝗕𝗼𝗼𝗸𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀.
We’ll revisit the roadmap as we enter 2027.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

Called the $BTC rally in July. Called it a fake bull too.

Now it's back at the weekly MAs. Hold them, or roll over like the map says?

[Alien OPS @alienops]

$BTC

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿-𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗳𝗿𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝘂𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗮𝗸.

Still, I believe the most unexpected path for 2026 may also be the most logical: a convincing bullish rally above the weekly moving averages, strong enough to rebuild optimism and make the broader weakness appear resolved.

𝗠𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘀𝗶𝘀: 𝗮 𝗳𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗲𝗱 𝗯𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗯𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗼𝘂𝘁.

A temporary reclaim of the weekly MAs, followed by rejection and acceptance back below them, then the capitulation phase.

Only after that would I begin looking for a genuine higher-timeframe reversal in 2027.

𝗕𝗼𝗼𝗸𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀.
We’ll revisit the roadmap as we enter 2027.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

$BTC this week:

FOMC: shrug.
Binance hack: shrug.
Withdrawals frozen: shrug.

Low volatility isn't calm. It's pressure building somewhere.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

Last time Binance froze withdrawals after a hack was May 2019. 7,000 BTC gone from a hot wallet.

Here's how it played out:

1. Deposits and withdrawals frozen. Trading kept running.
2. Security rebuilt from the ground up. API, 2FA and withdrawal checks, the exact gaps the hackers used.
3. A full maintenance window. Every service offline.
4. Back online with a cancel-only window first, so stale orders didn't fill at prices nobody wanted anymore.
5. Deposits, then trading. Withdrawals right after.
6. SAFU covered the entire loss. Users didn't eat a single coin.
7. The market shrugged it off. Not just $BTC, the whole market. Total crypto market cap ran 125% in Q2 2019, hack and all.

Start to finish: about 8 days.

This time the number has a B on it, not an M. Same playbook, bigger bill.

We'll see if history rhymes.

[Tree News @TreeNewsFeed]

[🌲] POTENTIAL BINANCE HACK ONGOING - ONCHAIN

[Alien OPS @alienops]

OI is back up 2.7K too. As long as spot keeps leading, fine. If leverage takes over, I'll say so.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

Everyone waited for FOMC. $BTC spot didn't.

+1K BTC in a single 4H candle, +6K off the low. Spot is still the one leading.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

$BTC +2.3K off 79.2K while OI drops 8K.

Short covering or real demand? Spot CVD +4.9K BTC says there's real demand in it too.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

Get through FOMC in one piece.

What comes after will pay for every boring hour you waited.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

@crustyphilos yes, its spot cvd. velo

[Alien OPS @alienops]

$BTC +2.3K off 79.2K while OI drops 8K.

Short covering or real demand? Spot CVD +4.9K BTC says there's real demand in it too.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

Said spot leads, it holds. $BTC spot is finally leading.

+1.7K BTC off the CVD low, higher lows since 79.2K. OI spiked to 277.7K and is already fading.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

$SOL update: tagged the STH at 125 and rejected. Step one, done.

101-84 can give us the bounce. One more leg down, and the grey zone is where I look for the reversal.

Still not getting ahead of the chart.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

$SOL HTF outlook:

A rejection at the STH followed by a rotation back into the grey zone remains my base case.

For bullish continuation, the marked TS low needs to hold. Until the red-marked high is reclaimed, there is no reason to get ahead of the chart.