Alison Sile Chen-Zhao

PoliSci PhD candidate @UCSD. Study surveillance, authoritarianism, domestic-IR diffusion. Former award-winning journalist (pen name: Sile Zhao 趙思樂)

[Alison Sile Chen-Zhao @AlisonSileCZ]

X (Twitter) 估計是不會再用了，實在是不欣賞它現在的取向。有興趣聯絡我或了解我的工作，可以到個人網站 https://t.co/PPqrnY2mpa 我也會繼續在臉書https://t.co/GBwAgovfS5。這個帳號之後可能只會有一些幫朋友代發或轉發的內容。敬請諒解。

[Alison Sile Chen-Zhao @AlisonSileCZ]

Quiting X—really don’t like its current approach. Feel free to use my site https://t.co/PPqrnY2mpa to stay in touch or learn about my recent work. Still on FB https://t.co/GBwAgovfS5. This X account may only be used occasionally to post or share content on behalf of friends.

[Free Xu Zhiyong & Ding Jiaxi 厦门聚会案关注组 @FreeXuDing]

今天是许志永绝食抗争的第40天。关注组呼吁大家继续关注尚处于危急状态中的许志永。中国当局正在使用他们惯用的“拒绝回应”和“封锁信息来源”等手段，让事件逐渐被遗忘，甚至默许鲁南监狱进一步迫害许志永。
欢迎关注转发这封公开求助信：https://t.co/LNY2A98Pkz

[Alison Sile Chen-Zhao @AlisonSileCZ]

One of the most iconic activists in China since 2003. Hope there will be more attention on his situation!

[Free Xu Zhiyong & Ding Jiaxi 厦门聚会案关注组 @FreeXuDing]

Today is the 40th day of Xu Zhiyong's hunger strike. The Concern Group calls on everyone to continue to pay attention to Xu Zhiyong, who is still in a critical condition.
Please help by forwarding this open letter of appeal: https://t.co/yk5qYdgi6x

[Alison Sile Chen-Zhao @AlisonSileCZ]

Any of the 3 is non-starter for security establishment, but for Trump, they are the starters. Imaginably even the medium would be outrageous...In terms of Taiwan, similar to “just give them” Kinmen and Matsu. So, how likely Trump is “good for Taiwan”…you can judge yourself (end

[Alison Sile Chen-Zhao @AlisonSileCZ]

Some people think that Trump coming to power is a good thing (or at least not a bad thing) for Taiwan. Lets talk about this. Reasons I’ve seen/can think of behind this view:
1. Trump is anti-China, which benefits Taiwan. (1

[Alison Sile Chen-Zhao @AlisonSileCZ]

In the Taiwan case, imagine if China occupied Kinmen and Matsu, and the US recommendation was “just give it to them,” and demilitarize Taiwan’s western coast. (8

[Alison Sile Chen-Zhao @AlisonSileCZ]

5. 我同意獨裁者只會看威懾力，但問題是，Trump的美國對中國在台灣問題上的威懾力並不大，在貿易方面可能大一些。

[Alison Sile Chen-Zhao @AlisonSileCZ]

有人覺得Trump上台對台灣是好事/不是壞事吧？來說一下。。我看到/想到的這種觀點的���由 1. Trump上次對台灣算友好，沒有明顯的負面政策，所以這次也應該還好。2. Trump反中，所以對台灣是好事。3. Trump即便生意人思維，上了台總歸會被國安體系（五角大樓+軍隊+CIA）影響+制衡，對台政策不致於離譜 (1

[Alison Sile Chen-Zhao @AlisonSileCZ]

3. （会在国际舞台上加大投资，增强对同盟的支持和介入）那種是傳統共和黨，但孤立主義的話是不會想在國際關係上加大投資的，反而覺得支持同盟=美國虧錢。
4. 老實說，從美國的角度，所有的台灣政策都是中國政策。。。我的意思是說，Trump的中國政策很有可能是對台灣和中國都不利。。