Get your 2026 Almanac, the 60th Anniversary Edition 2027 Almanac, my market calls, seasonality timing overlaid w/fundamental & technical analysis, sector ETF trades, and stock picks. https://t.co/aCT7Tv7G7N
Always a pleasure to visit @cvpayne on the @FoxBusiness set. Christmas in July, Summer Rally and midterm weak spot on Making Money w/ Charles Payne - July 1, 2026: Second Half 2026 Outlook https://t.co/b6KVCQkUgT via @YouTube
Stocks Fizzle After July 4th
Volume dries up as the long weekend clears out.
The day after the 4th, since 2011:
📉 $DIA down 11 of 15 years — up just 26.7%, −0.03% avg
📉 $SPY higher only 40.0% (+0.06%)
📉 $IWM down 60%, losses avg the first 2 days
📈 $QQQ best at 53.3%
July has historically gotten off to a strong start. Since 2005, S&P 500 has closed higher on the first trading day of July 90.5% of the time, while DJIA and NASDAQ have each gained 85.7% of the time. https://t.co/F0kPlyoBrJ
Running of the Bulls Before July 4th!
Stronger than days after.
Since 2011, three days before the holiday:
$DIA up 14 of 15 years — 93.3%, +0.62% avg
$SPY 500 80.0% (+0.58%)
$IWM 73.3% (+0.64%)
$QQQ 66.7% (+0.62%)
Day B4 4th higher 80.0% of time DJIA/NAS), 86.7% SPX/R2K
🎁 Christmas in July starts TODAY.
NASDAQ's 12-Day Midyear Rally — last 3 days of June through first 9 of July — has gained an avg 2.5% since 1985, hitting in 32 of 41 years (78%).
Grabbed $TQQQ this morn off the post-Triple-Witching dip.
#NASDAQ#Seasonality $QQQ
https://t.co/N8isN1YiRO
Recent history favors the bulls in July. NASDAQ has been the standout performer, while the S&P 500 and DJIA have also delivered consistent gains. However, midterm-year volatility remains a wildcard. https://t.co/wXOidEYyfM