Alibaba $baba will be above $200+ by September
Chinese equities entering a period where momentum, improving fundamentals, and seasonal tailwinds are very favorable!
@skgoodwin23 Simply there is not enough credit for AI demand, the real bottleneck is not enough available debt, take banks and LPs lagged time to bring and refresh capital base
@GavinSBaker Everyone talks about AI demand. Almost no one talks about the credit required to finance AI demand. That’s where the next bottleneck may be. @GavinSBaker
@xEBITDA Baffoon, Warsh tried to be the smartest person in the room, backfired quickly…Powell handled pressers 1000x better. Hopefully Warsh improves in the next emergency meeting!!!!
@zerohedge Worst press conference in a decade. Warsh tried to be the smartest person in the room, backfired quickly. Going to be interesting to see how he learns to communicate after that debacle of a first presser!
Was that the worst Fed Chair speech in decade?
Warsh trying to be smartest person in the room, backfired quickly!
Only 30 pressers left! My hope is he learns to improve very quickly and find some humility…@KevinWarsh@FedChairPro@federalreserve@NewYorkFed
Everyone debates Alibaba’s AI.
Few start with the balance sheet.
~$75B in cash/ unrestricted liquidity.
AND Potentially $150–200B in strategic investments.
Then ask yourself:
What is the market valuing the core business at? $baba
Quick thought experiment:
If one asset on Alibaba’s balance sheet increased in value by ~$20 billion overnight…
…should the stock move:
A) 1%
B) 3%
C) 6%
D) Something else
Curious how others think about this. $baba $kweb
Alibaba moved ~1% on the CXMT IPO.
Yet the value of its stake appears to have increased from roughly $5B pre-IPO to ~$25B today.
Sometimes the market is incredibly efficient.
Sometimes it takes a while to connect the dots $baba