Bitcoin closed down 0.99% on Tuesday and rejected again at the TBO fast line, but the broader market did not treat that as a clean risk-off signal. BTC is still moving inside a valid bear-flag structure until it proves otherwise, with support around 63,715 today and roughly 64,113 tomorrow. The Monday high also lined up almost perfectly with the short-term 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, so I’m still looking for BTC to either confirm the bear flag with a support retest or invalidate it by closing back inside the daily TBO cloud.
Ethereum printed a doji at the top of its bounce and still did not close inside the daily TBO cloud, which keeps the chart strong bearish for me even though the short-term move has been stubborn. Stablecoin dominance is stuck inside the cloud, Bitcoin dominance is falling, and that is why alts can keep catching a bid even while BTC looks rejected. TOTALS, TOTAL50, TOTAL100, and OTHERS all show the same tension: there is real alt strength showing up, but the bigger daily and weekly crypto structure still has not fully flipped bullish.
TradFi was mostly a nothing-burger day, but the dollar, euro, yen, S&P, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Nikkei, oil, gold, silver, and PAXG/BTC all still matter because the macro backdrop can keep pressuring risk assets. In my picks, HYPE, WLD, AERO, and SPX6900 are showing powerful but potentially late-stage breakout behavior, while UNI and CAKE point to a possible DeFi rally and several other names are flashing either early bullish reversals or red-flag rejection setups. Your picks and stocks had plenty of movement too, including TRIA, HNT, TSLA, DDD, AMC, OKTA, SLNH, ASTS, DEFT, SNDK, IREN, and AMZN, but the main takeaway is the same: don’t chase every green candle; wait for clean pullbacks, fast-line retests, and gap/fib levels that actually make sense.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 BTC rejects at the TBO fast line but the bear flag is still valid
03:30 BTC Fibonacci levels and Ethereum’s doji rejection
07:04 Stablecoin dominance, alt dominance, TOTALS, TOTAL50, TOTAL100, and OTHERS
14:42 TradFi check: DXY, EURUSD, USDJPY, S&P, SPX, NASDAQ, Nvidia, VIX, and Nikkei
21:58 Oil, gold, silver, and PAXG/BTC macro signals
23:55 TBT resources, journal, Kraken prop trading, Toobit, and viewer requests
25:56 My picks overview: late breakouts, closed shorts, bullish flags, bearish flags, and red flags
27:21 HYPE, WLD, AERO, and SPX6900 breakout exhaustion watch
30:34 UNI, KAS, CAKE, NEAR, FIL, CFX, BNB, CRO, ATOM, ZRO, MYX, PYTH, FF, BEAT, VVV, H, ZEC, TAO, and AAVE
40:11 Your picks: TRIA, HNT, and short-term oversold strategy
44:49 Stock picks: TSLA, DDD, AMC, OKTA, SLNH, ASTS, DEFT, SNDK, IREN, and AMZN
51:16 Sunday deep-dive reminder and final thoughts
Just like last two times.🔁
They rise ,rise, rise.
And then all of a sudden they Crash 📉
The point is that they do not give you the time to react.⌛
The moment that top is found the crash 📉 begins days after.
You do not have time to think or calculate.
Because that is not how they play.
This time it will be the same.
Three times in a row they will repeat this.
Will you be a victim of sacrifice three times❓
#btc #bitcoin #altcoins #crypto
Bitcoin finally got the Sunday peace pump: BTC closed back above 64K, ETH pushed through short-term resistance, and risk assets are reacting like the U.S. / Iran peace headline matters. I’m not ignoring the strength, but I’m also not flipping into full bull mode just because we tagged a weekend pump. My realistic BTC target from here is still the TBO fast line around 66K-66.6K, then I’m watching for rejection, lost support, and another move lower.
The bigger market read is still cautious. A fresh stop-loss hunting alert is active for the next 48 hours, combined stablecoin dominance is sitting in a springboard-bounce zone, BTC dominance just tagged the fast line, and total crypto market cap excluding stables is still macro bearish even after the bounce. TradFi is also reacting hard: DXY and EUR/USD are at decision points, USD/JPY is near a dangerous zone with Japan rate-hike risk, S&P futures and Nikkei are pumping, oil is breaking lower, and gold/silver are catching a headline-driven bid.
For the watchlist, I walk through the difference between real bullish reversals and early warning signs. CAKE, XRP, SOL, ADA, MON, HYPE, TAO, ONDO, FET, VVV, TIA, ZEC, WLD, VIRTUAL, 2Z, and COAI all have setups worth watching, but many are already at fast-line rejection zones or still lack volume. I also cover the requested charts - TRX, NEAR, CC, PUMP, USD/KZT, VELO, DDD, INTC, HPE, SPCX, and SMR - then close with why the Sunday deep dives matter as we move closer to the next accumulation phase.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 BTC Sunday pump and the realistic 66K fast-line target
02:05 BTC RSI reset, volume, and why the bottom still may not be in
03:50 ETH joins the peace pump and short-term resistance breaks
04:38 Fresh BTC stop-loss hunting alert for the next 48 hours
06:57 24/7 CME futures and why old CME gaps may matter less
08:24 Combined stablecoin dominance springboard setup
11:05 BTC dominance at the fast line and what it means for alts
12:13 Total crypto market cap and OTHERS remain macro bearish
13:41 DXY, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, Japan risk, S&P futures, VIX, and Nikkei
17:58 Oil breaks lower while gold and silver gap up
19:43 TBO, Better Traders resources, Kraken, Toobit, and viewer requests
21:57 CAKE close-short signal and why fast-line entries matter
23:35 XRP, SOL, HYPE, ADA, MON, BEAT, and SIREN
28:24 DEXE, TAO, ONDO, FET, VVV, TIA, H, ZEC, ICP, and VELVET
31:52 WLD, VIRTUAL, 2Z, COAI, TRX, NEAR, CC, and PUMP
35:35 USD/KZT and stock requests: VELO, DDD, INTC, HPE, SPCX, and SMR
41:20 Sunday SUI deep dive and why accumulation-mode prep matters
I’ve had a number of conversations with folks inside and outside government about the current situation with Anthropic, and here is what I believe to be true:
— As we know, Anthropic publicly released its Mythos class models earlier this week under the commercial name Fable.
— Fable is Mythos with guardrails. But if those guardrails fail, then you’ve exposed Mythos and its advanced cyber capabilities to people who shouldn’t have them. (Keep in mind that Anthropic itself widely promoted the idea that Mythos was a cyberweapon and needed to be regulated as such. They asked for government regulation of Mythos and championed the guardrails on Fable. If there is a vulnerability — big or small — it is Anthropic’s responsibility to patch.)
— A highly credible trusted partner of both Anthropic and the USG who was testing Fable came forward with a jailbreak of those guardrails. The Admin asked Dario to fix the jailbreak or de-deploy the model. Dario refused.
— In their blog post, Anthropic defended its decision by saying the jailbreak isn’t serious. That is not what the trusted partner and the USG believe; nor is that kind of minimizing language consistent with Anthropic’s brand as the AI safety company. It’s difficult to fathom how they could claim a jailbreak allowing operability of a cyber weapon could be defined as not “serious.”
— In the past, Anthropic has always said that safety must be top priority and taken super seriously. In this case, Anthropic prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety.
— In reaction, the Admin issued the export control. The Admin did this reluctantly. It’s been very surprised that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to cooperate with a reasonable safety request (ie fixing the jailbreak issue). Anthropic’s reaction is very much at odds with their branding and ethos as a safe AI research community.
— The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue, the export control is lifted, and Fable goes back into general release. The Admin wants all of this to happen as soon as possible. It is frankly bewildered that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to comply with safety requests that it previously said were its highest priority.
— Those trying to misdirect and tie this action to the prior DoW/Anthropic issues are wrong. The Admin values Anthropic’s technical capabilities and feels that this issue, while serious, should be easily resolved. The ball is in Anthropic’s court.
$BTC
Bottom is coming in next few days
How to predict bottom?
- Watch Monthly RSI 40.26 will be level for bounce back
- Usually weekly consolidation before bounce give a liq wick that will lie in 57K to 54K area
Next Few days going to be crucial especially after 17 June (FOMC), a flash crash possible after FOMC in the red zone marking this cycle's bottom
Time duration of occurrence?
17 June to early July
After mid July we will start movement for upside
Bias: Downside till 54K then up
bro immigrated from Mexico and took a $28/hr contract welding job in 2015.
didn't even know what SpaceX was.
they gave him $10,000 in stock and let him buy more through payroll deductions.
that stake is now worth $880,000.
and he's one of 4,400 employees who became millionaires on Friday. welders. technicians. cafeteria staff.