Be a brave hobbit, our choices matter, in times of this...
"There are other forces at work in this world, Frodo, besides the will of evil. Bilbo was meant to find the Ring. In which case, you were also meant to have it. And that is an encouraging thought."
🚨BREAKING: EA Sports’ simulation has predicted that Spain will win the 2026 World Cup.
They have correctly predicted the last four World Cup winners IN A ROW:
2022: Argentina 🏆
2018: France 🏆
2014: Germany 🏆
2010: Spain 🏆
0dte options now make up 59% of all SPX volume and prediction markets crossed $150B in lifetime trades
these aren’t separate stories, finance is collapsing every time horizon it can
the asset class that resolves fastest, wins.
thank you for the inbound.
also fyi, both Polymarket and Kalshi are working directly with some teams on index and benchmark design (not public, but privately confirmed).
for anyone trying to get into this race right now, I would caution.. well, caution.
product reflects your philosophy, it is who you are. So great people build great products, not necessarily the most popular or profitable. It is just great.
the new product category that is most naturally adjacent to events-based contracts for prediction markets to go after is actually not perps
it's 0DTE options
few
People often make the mistake of focusing on what should be done while neglecting the more important question of who should be given the responsibility for determining what should be done. That's backward. When you know what you need in a person to do the job well and you know what the person you're putting into it is like, you can pretty well visualize how things will go. #principleoftheday
Tribalism will never go away. It’s human nature
But humans WILL continue to become more aware. It’s what separates us from AI
If your bag and/or identity is tied to a position, that’s OK. That’s being human
But we CAN do a better job of being more aware
This is water