Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️

CEO of FTSG. Quantitative Futurist. Prof @NYUStern. 4x bestselling author. Competitive cyclist.

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

Hello again!

I joined Twitter in 2007, back when it was a weird little experiment, and stayed for nearly two decades as it became the place where I did my public thinking — signals, forecasts, arguments that occasionally changed my mind. I was there for the fail whale. Then, all my people left, and I stopped using the platform too. My conversations moved to private groups, and I’ve been mostly quiet on social media since.

After a long hiatus, I’m now back... on Substack. I'm lurking here, but if you want to chat you'll find me over there. The next few years will be stranger than most people are prepared for. Let's make sense of them together.

https://t.co/VtpyxHFZxU

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

Who else is jazzed about Super Intelligence Dash SI? Sounds amazing.

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

@Patty_Tam I have a lot of thoughts. At the current moment, they all go something like this:

Stop talking. Stop writing manifestos. Get to actual work, and subject that work to accountability.

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

As you know, AI leaders are breathlessly calling for slower frontier model pacing to make sure humanity doesn't end.

In 2019, I wrote about this very situation in The Big Nine and offered concrete plans for what to do when we got to this day in the future.

I'm thrilled (read: extremely irritated) that our lawmakers sat on their hands and the debate now is more about market consolidation than safety. (1/ many)

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

@Z_bobby1 I have

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

Every green check sits in the top third of the table — the principles about how labs govern themselves.

The bottom two-thirds... explainability, the right to interrogate AI systems, plain-language terms, ownership of your own data... is silent.

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

Over the weekend, Dario and Sam said that everyone in AI needs to slow down development. I graded the announcements against all fifteen principles I published in The Big Nine.

Here is the full scorecard.

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

I've republished the chapter in full, unedited, with a new intro showing what held up and what I got wrong.

I see no reason to keep treating the people creating the danger as the only people qualified to decide what happens next.

I'm angry. You should be too.

https://t.co/URI5XOkEJh

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

The global alliance I proposed in that chapter — with independent inspections, shared vulnerability reporting, an actual governance structure — was never tried in the US.

I'd met with EU leaders several times, but by 2020 their attention had moved elsewhere.

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

In 2017, I thought that the Rolling Stones would be dead but still making new music thanks to a nascent generative AI tool for music. I got the band wrong but the tech right.

(Literally, how are they still performing?!)

I'm grading my previous scenarios -- read on to see how I scored on this one.

https://t.co/vcyH8zRJMn

[Future Today Strategy Group @FTSG_Consulting]

Please join all of us at Future Today Strategy Group in congratulating Brielle Saggese and Taylor Milana on their promotions to Senior Consultant 👏 We're excited to recognize this well-earned milestone and look forward to everything they'll continue to accomplish!

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

The bicycle is turning into one of the first everyday objects that can perceive its surroundings, predict what's about to happen, and act on it — a preview of what's coming for your car, your glasses, and your home.

I have a new piece on why the messiest tech market I know is about to converge, and what that means for everyone even if you don't ride a bike.

https://t.co/BXOQAezj4H

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

Is there by any chance a spreadsheet of the journalists laid off from the #WashingtonPost -- for those who might be hiring?

[Future Today Strategy Group @FTSG_Consulting]

🎙️ This week, FTSG's @amywebb joined host @meghamama on @Marketplace to unpack a growing shift in how ideas circulate online. Amy discusses what private forums mean for democracy, discourse, and the future of digital communication. Listen below👇

https://t.co/rdZUTlYdes

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

I posted this 10 years ago on Twitter and thought a reminder was warranted.

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

Ben Franklin lost a son to smallpox. His sobering advice to parents on vaccinations: http://t.co/dITuU49vCB

[Amy Webb 🤷🏻‍♀️ @amywebb]

@Pont_Life Hey - thanks for pinging me. I’m going to have my lawyer look into it. (My talk gets plagiarized more than you’d think!)